The U.S. interest rate hike failed, and the world raised its sickle to harvest dollars! Where is the U.S. economy headed?
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The logic behind the meta hike and the real secret 1The logic behind the meta rate hike.
The dollar remains in a strong position, and the measures to raise interest rates first and then cut interest rates are aimed at controlling inflation and economic risks. Interest rate hikes promote the health of the economy and financial system by reducing inflation and reducing financial risks. However, these measures have simultaneously led to a global monetary tightening, reduced business activity, a loss of manufacturing, and the negative effects of currency depreciation in other countries.
2.The global impact of rising dollar interest rates.
The interest rate hike triggers global exchange rate pressure, affects the production of producing countries, leads to capital outflow of commodities, and puts pressure on debtor countries, which may trigger a financial crisis. Then, the dollar lowers interest rates again, recovering global assets and confiscating wealth.
3) The reason why the dollar failed to raise interest rates.
The current round of interest rate hikes did not meet the expected target. Inflation in the United States is not within the expected range, and there is a cycle between rising and falling interest rates; The United States has been less affected abroad, and countries around the world support this round of interest rate hikes. The yuan interest rate cut will cause capital outflows, ** crashes, financial crises, economic recession and other risks.
4.A double-edged sword from rising interest rates.
The rise in the yuan exchange rate is inevitable for self-adjustment, but if it is not adjusted properly, it will cause serious consequences. The year 2024 in the United States** increases risks and uncertainties, and political battles in the United States will affect economic trends. We must be cautious in raising interest rates, releasing bubbles, easing crises, and achieving a soft landing.
5.* Future trends.
Goldman Sachs**, the Fed will cut interest rates cautiously and slowly, and will not implement large-scale rate cuts quickly. The dollar rate cut may be delayed until the second half of the year, and there may be fluctuations between rate cuts and rate hikes. The whole world is preparing to harvest the meta capital, waiting for the moment when the meta will cut interest rates.
2.Internal and external reasons for the rise in the interest rate of the yuan.
The U.S. has maintained financial and economic stability by raising and cutting interest rates in the dollar, but the rapid rate hikes have made inflation difficult to control. The strong position of the yuan has led to the depreciation and reduction of the currencies of other countries, constituting a"Financial hegemony"。
2.Meta external influences.
The meta-policy has had a profound impact on the world economy, bringing about negative effects such as world reduction, capital outflow and raw materials. The rise in interest rates has not served its purpose, but it has also exposed the risk of the world economy becoming dependent on the yuan.
3) The criteria for the success of the dollar rate hike. 1) U.S. internal standards.
Controlling inflation and stabilizing unemployment are signs of successful interest rate hikes in the United States. High inflation indicates that the economy is overheating, while rising unemployment indicates that the economy may be entering a recession.
2.Global standards.
Global capital flows to the United States, reduced international activity, depreciation of currencies in other countries, and commodities all point to the success of the dollar rate hike. In fact, this rate hike was not as successful as expected, which could pose more risks.
4) Incorporate personal perspectives.
As the vane of the world economy, the rise in interest rates has a far-reaching impact on the economies of various countries. While the current rate hike has not been as large as expected, the financial hegemony and global financial complexity behind it remain. In the future, the slow and cautious pace of interest rate cuts will become an inevitable choice for a smooth transition of the economic cycle. At the same time, countries around the world must strengthen cooperation, deepen financial market reform, reduce dependence on meta-currency, and improve their ability to resist risks. In the context of economic globalization, all countries must jointly cope with the fluctuations of financial markets and promote the sustainable development of the world economy.
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