Kunpeng Project
In 2024, the impact of the real estate market will affect at least 60 households
Although 2022 has passed, with the successive introduction of various favorable measures across the country next year, the call for the recovery of the property market is getting louder and louder. Along the way, we've heard a lot of different sayings. It is true that the real estate market in some cities has indeed picked up, but it is more of a hype atmosphere created by real estate developers and real estate agents.
Under the macroeconomic situation, a series of regulatory measures introduced in the past two years have played a positive role in promoting the healthy development of China's real estate industry. In this case, real estate** does have the potential to rise. For example, lowering the down payment ratio, lowering mortgage interest rates, easing restrictions, coupled with optimal sales strategies, all of these have in a sense lowered the threshold for buying a home, stimulating enthusiasm and confidence to buy a home.
Although the current housing market situation looks good, most developers are still in a difficult situation, and the foundation of the real estate market has not fundamentally improved. At present, real estate enterprises generally have problems such as inventory and cash flow shortages, and some real estate companies have experienced a cash flow crisis. The real estate market is in poor condition, and the expectation of a decline in real estate** has strengthened, making buyers less likely to buy. In order to solve the financing difficulties, real estate developers have adopted a sales strategy of reducing prices.
Although real estate developers and real estate agents are trying to create a situation of price increases, selling at a reduced price is still a practical option. However, this does not mean that the future of real estate companies is bleak. With the implementation of relief measures such as "guaranteed delivery of buildings", the difficulties faced by real estate enterprises are only a temporary measure.
However, the risks in the real estate market are still too high to ignore. Since 2022, China has implemented two stimulus plans, but its long-term effects have not yet been fully reflected. If it continues, the real estate market will be greatly affected, which will lead to problems that are more difficult to solve than the decline in real estate**. When 2024 comes, three unavoidable problems will have a profound impact on at least 60% of humanity.
1. Residents' income has dropped sharply.
The decline in houses** was the main cause of this storm. It involves two fundamental issues for people: property rights and salaries.
The descent of the house ** is a nightmare for all. Real estate is one of the most important assets in China, and its ** fluctuations are closely related to a person's property. At the same time as the decline in real estate, the personal property of Chinese residents has also depreciated seriously, which has had a certain impact on their purchase and purchase behavior. For example, some residents rely on mortgages to expand their businesses, and when the house is ***, the amount that can be issued will also be reduced, which will have a certain impact on their operations.
At the same time, the decline in housing ** also has a significant impact on the level of wages of residents. Due to the contraction of the property market, the number of jobs and wages in properties related to property has decreased. In addition, rising unemployment has increased the competitiveness of the labour market and put more pressure on wages.
2. The unemployment rate has risen sharply.
The decline of real estate ** this time, like a silent hurricane, although it is difficult to be discovered, but the chain effect it has produced is enough to shake the economy of the entire society. Not only the property market has been hit, but related industries such as construction, decoration and home furnishing sales have also been greatly affected. In times of economic prosperity, this type of industry can bring jobs to a large number of workers, but with the decline of housing**, business also begins to shrink, and many workers lose their jobs. Data shows that Meituan alone has more than 7 million takeaway brothers.
The rising pressure of unemployment not only brings a heavy burden to individuals and families, but also sows unstable factors for the whole society. In addition, the decline in housing ** has also greatly affected investors' confidence in the property market, resulting in a sharp decline in transaction volume, which in turn affects the financial and legal services industry.
3. Housing prices**, a large number of real estate are facing a shortage of funds, while the number of French auction houses is increasing.
When it comes to real estate, many people want to improve their property by borrowing. However, along with the rise of the house, the house has fallen sharply, and some have gone bankrupt and have been forced to stop.
The interruption of the mortgage market has not only caused a lot of property losses, but also endangered the financial system of the entire society. Due to the continuous decrease in home buyers, the bad debts of banks have increased, and the financial risk has increased. In addition, due to the auction of a large number of land, **is also continuous**, and the impact on real estate is also increasing.
Statistics show that by the end of December 2023, the total number of foreclosure houses in the country was 796,000, an increase of 36 year-on-year7%。This upward trend is not only unsettling, but also exposes a series of chain reactions triggered by the decline of houses. The above problems are entangled with each other, forming a virtuous circle and increasing the economic and social burden on our country.
In order to get rid of this vicious circle, it is necessary for the state and enterprises to unite and take more proactive measures to stabilize the fluctuations in the property market, promote the healthy development of the economy, and ensure the basic livelihood of the people. On this basis, it is proposed to improve the land policy, strengthen financial supervision, establish a diversified housing security system, and realize the smooth operation of the real estate market; At the same time, enterprises can also improve their market competitiveness through the innovation of business models, the improvement of product quality, and the improvement of service quality.
However, we must also be soberly aware that the stability of the property market is related to economic development and the quality of life of the people. To this end, more cooperation between enterprises and enterprises is needed to effectively deal with various problems caused by the decline, so as to promote the stable and stable development of China's real estate industry.