**: A bad potato.
If we talk about the Ukrainian army that defended Mariupol two years ago,Combat effectiveness is 80, then today's Ukrainian army,The combat effectiveness is not even 20 anymore.
On February 17, Russia fully occupied the strategically important Avdeyevka in the Donetsk region.
And this time the Ukrainian army cannot even be said to be defeated, nor evacuatedRather, the whole line collapsed.
At present, the morale of the Ukrainian army has collapsed, the road is rushing, and the equipment is lostCovered up by the Russian army all the way, the escape route was covered by the fire of the Russian Aerospace Forces and the running soldiers, and the army was crushed, and it is estimated that more than a thousand people were killed on the way to escape.
What's even more heart-wrenching, a large number of wounded were abandoned, and the Ukrainian army didn't care about it at all, so let them wait for death.
The strategic position of Avdeyevka is very important, covering an area of about 20 square kilometers, after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Ukrainian army spent more than a year to build a large number of fortresses and fortifications here, forming a complete firepower systemKnown as the steel defense.
Theoretically, it is much more difficult to fight here than Mariupol, and even if the Russian army eats it, it will have to pay a lot of **.
And it is located on the high ground, only about 10 kilometers from the city of Donetsk, where the Ukrainian army can constantly shell Donetsk, but it is not easy for the Russian army to attack them.
This is equivalent to Ukraine always hanging a sharp sword over the head of Donetsk, posing a long-term threat.
And Russia nowAlmost zero lossesThe occupation of this place is not only conducive to controlling the entire territory of Donetsk, but also more than 100 kilometers to the west, Ukraine is almost in no danger to defend.
In such an important place, Ukraine actually said that if you don't want it, you won't want it, which is equivalent to opening the door to Russia to go west!
So why was this place lost?
The first is because Ukraine has a serious shortage of firepower, and the amount of ammunition cannot keep up at all.
After the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Ukraine has almost run out of food, and now although the EU has passed a 50 billion euro aid bill for Ukraine, it will take two or two years to put in place, and the process is extremely long.
Ukraine's defense forces said,At present, the gap between Russia and Ukraine has reached the level of 15 to 1The Russian army fired 15 guns, and the Ukrainian army could only barely return fire.
The Russian army uses a large number of guided bombs, firing at least 60,000 shells a day, bombarding indiscriminately, and the positions of the Ukrainian army have become a ruin, and there is no place to hide.
The second reason is that Ukraine has changed its commander, which has led to the discouragement of the military.
Some time ago, Zelensky thought that Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny did not listen to greetings, and at the same time, because Zaluzhny has always enjoyed a good reputation in Ukraine, he considered a threat to his own ** statusSersky, who is 58 years old, has just been replaced.
That's not all, Zelensky also carried out a wave of purges and replaced a large number of senior officers.
I don't know what Zelensky thinks, it is said that although Syrsky has always advocated a strong offensive, he is an ethnic Russian, he also participated in the military parade on Red Square 40 years ago, and he has a large number of relatives and friends in Russia.
And Syrsky's prestige in Ukraine is much less than that of Zaluzhny,As a result, this change of commander has aroused a large number of suspicions and dissatisfaction among the Ukrainian army.
It can only be speculated that the reason why Zelensky chose Syrsky was to find someone who could not pose a threat to himself.
The third reason is because the Russian-Ukrainian war has been fought for two years, and the veterans of Ukraine's rich combat experience, including the so-called elites of the Azov battalion, have basically died dead, wounded, and captured and consumed.
Among the current Ukrainian army, more than 4 percent are captured strong men, simple training is pushed to the battlefield after a week or two, and there is neither combat experience nor will to fight.
Moreover, in 2023, corruption scandals broke out in all the military recruitment offices across Ukraine, such as Yevhen, the head of the Odessa conscription committee, who made his fortune in less than two years, buying at least $4.5 million worth of mansions and multiple luxury cars in Spain alone.
The method of corruption, simply put, is that as long as you pay bribes, you don't have to go to the front to become a soldier.
At the end of last year, all the heads of the recruiting stations were replaced by Zelensky.
This information has caused a serious psychological shock to the Ukrainians, so that no one wants to be a soldier at all, and the so-called dream of protecting their homeland has long been shattered.
These are the above three main reasons, the lack of ammunition, the purge of the army, and the corruption scandal, forming a linkage effect, the Ukrainian army has long been without a struggle, and it is often crushed at the first touch.
Now Ukraine ** says that Syrsky issued an order in the early morning of February 17 to allow the Ukrainian army to withdraw.
In fact, this is not the case, since February 10th, under the strong firepower of the Russian army, some Ukrainian troops have begun to be unable to bear it, and they feel that staying here can only become a live target shelled by the Russian army, which is a dead endSo it collapsed on its ownAt first, it was a small force running awayBy the 15th, a group effect began to form, wave after wave began the escape journey.
When Sersky saw on the 17th, he really had no choice, so he had to issue an order to retreat, which was actually to save the last bit of face for Ukraine.
Therefore, it is not so much a retreat as a rout, without any organization, intercepted and killed by the Russian army all the way.
After the fall of Avdeyevka, the United States and the Western bloc were shocked, so they began to save their respect, all kinds of downplay, saying that this place is not important at all, this is just a strategic transfer.
And Biden was furious, and the White House reacted very violently.
Because U.S. military aid is now being rejected by Republican lawmakers at every turn, on February 17, Biden scolded and criticized this behavior, saying that lawmakers will not save them when they see deathThis behavior is "ridiculous and immoral."
Subsequently, the White House also issued a statement, believing that it was precisely because of the inaction of Congress that the war between the Ukrainian and Russian armies was lost and the situation between the Ukrainian and Russian armies was eliminated, and Ukraine fell into an extremely passive situation.
At this time, Zelensky was in a meeting in Germany, and he couldn't help but be furious when he saw the news, and then urgently signed a bilateral agreement with Germany, clearly stipulating the specific components of Germany's security obligations to Ukraine. Zelensky said that Germany will provide Ukraine with a total of more than 7 billion euros in military aid in 2024, and Ukraine is fully confident that it will continue to fight the war and achieve a final victory.
In fact, I am sure that in 2024 until the end of the United States, the Russian-Ukrainian war will become more and more fierce.
Why? 
Let's take a look at one thing, Putin and Trump have begun to "show affection" in the air.
On February 8, in an interview with Carlson, Putin repeatedly stressed that Russia has no intention of becoming an enemy of the United States, and at the same time said that if Trump returns, Russia is expected to ease relations with the United States.
Maybe Putin felt that it was inappropriate to say thisSo on February 14, Putin specially emphasized in an interview when attending the forum: I prefer Biden to be elected as the United States.
Because Putin said that Biden is a traditional American establishment elite, an old-school politician, and his behavior is acceptable, while Trump dares to do anything, he is more threatening, and we don't even know what he wants to do.
At the same time, Putin also said that Blinken "is our own people."
Hearing this, I want to say: Oh hey, brother, aren't you obviously giving Trump an assist?
That's too obvious, isn't it?
Who do you Putin want to do ** who in the whole world is not clear? Who doesn't count in their hearts?
Sure enough, as soon as the news was released, Trump was overjoyed and said to **: This is an appreciation for himself, and he feels flattered!
Trump said: Look, I'll just say that Biden is useless, you see how much Putin is afraid of me, for fear that I will be a **.
Now, many people believe that in 2024, the possibility of Trump returning to the White House is very high.
Then the critical node of 2024 is very important for Putin.
Because once Trump returns to the White House, then aid to Ukraine will be stopped, so that Ukraine will have to agree to peace talks with Russia in desperation, and finally temporarily suspend the war in the form of a temporary ceasefire, and the territory actually controlled by the two sides will become a new border.
Therefore, the opportunity must not be lost, and in the remaining time, Russia will definitely rush and attack, and the territory it has beaten will become the actual controllable range of Russia.
And another more important reason, if Putin fights more fiercely and wins more, the more it shows that Biden's participation in the Russian-Ukrainian war is a completely wrong decision, and it also shows that Biden is old and deaf and has no achievements at all.
From the side, this will be the most powerful assist for Trump!
To put it simply, the more victories the Russian army achieves, the better the chances of Trump's return.
So Biden is now in a hurry, and he wants military aid to arrive in Ukraine as soon as possible.
And the Republicans are desperately pulling back, dragging Biden to death, and making military aid far away.
Putin wants to fight now, what about Zelensky?
He wants to fight even more!
If he doesn't fight, it will be equivalent to the Russian-Ukrainian war will cease to dwell, and Biden will have no way to explain, and he will be even more shameless.
Therefore, on the one hand, they are crazy about catching strong men, and on the other hand, they are holding meetings everywhere to solicit foreign aid, and on the other hand, they are desperately attacking the Russian mainland, attacking Gorbedro and Crimea at every turn, and the war will burn more and more.
So, you see, both sides want to fight, and in 2024, the Russian-Ukrainian war will only become more and more intense.
And what about the allies in Europe, they don't want Trump back, otherwise they will have to add money and pay more protection money.
So the EU is very active now, including Germany has just promised new military aid to Ukraine, so Zelensky must hold on!
So everyone was playing chess, and it wasn't them who died anyway, and the Ukrainian army on the front line finally couldn't bear it anymore and came to a big rout.
Therefore, the Russian-Ukrainian war in 2024 will be very exciting, and it will not stop at all, and the two sides will only fight more and more.
Let's just wait to see the show.