If Russia does collapse, whether China will be the next target of the West is a question that many are pondering.
In fact, Russia is in an unbearable situation in the face of growing pressure from NATO. If the situation does require China to intervene, are we strong enough to respond to a Western offensive? What strategies should we adopt to deal with it?
First of all, Russia, as one of the few countries in the world that dares to confront many countries in the West, if it collapses, it will have a huge change in the global landscape.
Despite the fact that Russia inherited most of the political and military power of the USSR, the shock ** taken since the creation of the state caused serious economic damage to the country, resulting in the overall economic level being much inferior to that of one of our provinces.
Constrained by slow economic growth, Russia's standing army has only been able to maintain a relatively small level. Therefore, in the face of the momentum of NATO's five eastward expansions, Russia can only helplessly wait and see.
As a result of the developments with Little Ukraine, Russia is under comprehensive sanctions from Western countries, and even neutral Switzerland has imposed sanctions against it, making China, which has always remained neutral, essential for Russia.
Of course, in China's view, Russia is also a country that is vital to itself.
Overall, after entering the 21st century, the world has basically entered a three-legged state. The United States, as the only superpower today, is in an absolutely dominant position in all respects.
Russia, with its legacy from the former Soviet Union, is still able to wrestle with the United States in places like West Asia, but most of the time it is inadequate.
China has always followed the path of peaceful development, and although its international status has been continuously improved after decades of obscurity, it is still at a low level compared with the United States in terms of economic strength and scientific and technological development.
Therefore, China and Russia, which are in a weak position, have naturally formed a close cooperative relationship and barely maintain a balance of confrontation with the United States. A decline in the power of either side could upset this delicate equilibrium.
Recently, as the situation in Little Ukraine has gradually spiraled out of control, the Russian army has gone from being unstoppable at the beginning to now being blocked in various offensives. As a result, more and more people are beginning to speak of Russia, believing that the war is doomed or has already been lost.
Speaking of this, it is necessary to clarify the concept of when exactly Great Russia can count as defeat on the battlefield?
In fact, there are still different opinions about the criteria by which Russia will be defeated on the battlefield.
From the point of view of the West, as long as Russia cannot maintain the pre-war secession of independence, it can be considered a defeat.
And for Russia, only the inclusion of Little Ukraine in its territory, or the fact that it becomes an area under its jurisdiction, can be considered a victory.
No matter how you look at it, Russia has fallen into a predicament from which there is no turning back. If they win the war, they will still be a fighting nation that stands proudly in the world, and the country will be able to get a little respite.
If Great Russia is defeated at the end of the war, its international standing will decline at least and become a second- or even third-rate country, or at worst, it may lead to domestic disintegration and the danger of disintegration again.
Therefore, this war can only be won for Great Russia, because the chain reaction of defeat will be difficult for them to bear.
Naturally, our country does not want to see the fall of this fighting nation that once stood proudly in the world, after all, for a long time, Great Russia has exerted a huge restrain on the United States, which has greatly reduced the international pressure on our country.
If Great Russia is defeated, then our country will become the second most powerful country in the world without dispute. Without the constraints of Great Russia, Western countries led by the United States will focus their suppression on our country.
With the intervention of Western countries such as the United States and the United States, the relationship between Great Russia and Little Ukraine has evolved into a protracted war, and the contradictions between the two sides have deepened. If the fighting nation really falls in this war, the United States will point the finger at us.
Judging from past experience, the United States will never tolerate China's rise. After all, NATO had promised not to expand eastward, but in order to completely block the path of development of Great Russia, they have expanded their power to the east five times.
As a matter of fact, the United States has always adhered to the principle of fighting on two fronts. On the one hand, cooperate with NATO countries to blockade Great Russia; On the other hand, it will unite with Japan, South Korea and other countries to create island chains in East Asia and besiege our country.
There are a large number of U.S. ** teams stationed in Japan and South Korea. Japan has always been wary of our country, and the two countries have a deep hatred in history. With the rise of China, Japan gradually developed its military power with the tacit consent of the United States.
To this day, South Korea still does not have the right to war, and it is not even a completely independent country. In order to restrain our country, the United States has risked deploying the THAAD anti-missile system in South Korea.
It can be seen that with Great Russia as a counterbalance, the United States has been making small moves. As soon as Great Russia falls, the United States will have more space, and our country will face an even more serious situation.
The impact on China is mainly reflected in three aspects: domestic politics, external development, and the international situation.
The first is the issue of the treasure island.
The biggest challenge we face is the issue of the treasure island. If Great Russia loses in this showdown, the international ** will strengthen its image as an aggressor, and it is also possible that Little Ukraine will truly achieve independence and join NATO.
Once the United States and its Western countries find this strategy effective, they are likely to apply similar tactics to our nation's treasure island issue.
Therefore, after the fall of Great Russia, the path to a peaceful return to the Motherland in the Treasure Island region may become even more distant. With the intervention of foreign forces, the issue of the treasure island may become more acute.
The second is external development. China's most important external development project is the Belt and Road Initiative, which is a modern Silk Road, which aims to actively carry out economic cooperation with countries along the route and jointly build a community of responsibility, interests and destiny.
Great Russia not only plays an important role as a political and economic hub in the construction of China's Belt and Road Initiative, but also an indispensable part of the development of China-Europe trains.
If Great Russia is defeated, its domestic environment could fall into chaos, and there will inevitably be an impact on China's Belt and Road Initiative.
The last consideration is the international environment. Although Japan has always pursued a foreign policy of peace, it is difficult to stop the hostile actions taken against us by Western countries led by the United States.
As mentioned earlier, if Great Russia falls, the world will be left with only China to confront the United States. At that time, their strategic focus will naturally shift to our country.
Therefore, the United States will not hesitate to unite with the Western world, as well as Japan, South Korea, and other Eastern countries to isolate and block China.
First of all, we must recognize how strong our opponents are.
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization was originally created to counter the Soviet camp. However, they did not dissolve with the collapse of the Soviet camp. On the contrary, they insisted on expanding their sphere of influence to the east, despite their original promises to Great Russia, and even placed mass destruction at the gates of Great Russia**.
Then, NATO even planned to include Little Ukraine in the system, inflicting a severe blow on the heart of Greater Russia and forcing Russia to start this military operation.
No one can be 100% sure about the final course of this war, but at the moment Great Russia is very tough and shows a kind of "win or win" mentality.
It is worth noting that Great Russia has even more nuclear bombs in its arsenal than the United States, which is enough to envelop the whole world in the haze of nuclear war. As a result, a strong military can still deter external forces, but there are many potential crises inside.
So, if Great Russia is defeated, will it disintegrate again, like the Soviet Union, and eventually become a small country with no voice?
The answer is that there is a possibility of disintegration, but the probability is relatively small. Even if the country disintegrates, the chances of becoming a small country with no voice are slim.
First of all, the reasons for the possible disintegration of Great Russia mainly involve three aspects: political system, demographic composition and regional development.
In terms of political system, Great Russia is a federal state with more than 20 autonomous republics in the country. These republics not only have their own constitutions and **, but also have certain autonomy in military and diplomatic aspects. This unique political system has laid political risks for its disintegration.
In terms of demographics, despite the fact that the total population of Greater Russia is only 14.6 billion, but it covers 194 unique ethnic groups. This makes it difficult for all ethnic groups in the country to form a common faith foundation, and the sense of identity with the country is relatively weak, so it also poses a potential hidden danger of national disintegration.
In terms of regional development, although Great Russia straddles the Eurasian continent, its economic and demographic center of gravity is concentrated in Europe, resulting in a serious imbalance in the development of the eastern and western regions. This situation has led to the emergence of independent currents of thought in both Europe and Asia.
In order to maintain the stability of the country, Great Russia resorted to tough political means for internal repression. However, if one day the power of the state is not enough to continue to effectively suppress internal forces, then the likelihood of the disintegration of the state will increase significantly.
Even if Great Russia disintegrates, it will not be reduced to a small state with little power, mainly because of its strong military and political power.
After the collapse of Great Russia, the emerging states will still inherit the core in the political, economic and military spheres, and this heartland will remain located in Moscow and its surrounding European regions.
Just as a skinny camel is better than a horse, the new country will inherit a huge treasury and maintain a prominent voice in international affairs. Therefore, even the disintegration of Great Russia will give rise to a new state that will play an important role in the international arena. List of high-quality authors