With the New York court in the United States rejecting the request of the former ** Trump to withdraw the "hush money" lawsuit on Thursday (February 15) local time, Trump will face unprecedented challenges. He will be the first former in U.S. history to be tried on criminal charges. This incident has undoubtedly brought great uncertainty to Trump's political career, and at the same time made his prospects for the 2024** election uncertain.
Since the start of the Republican primaries for the 2024** elections in the United States, Trump has been strong in his party, winning four states in a row, and his approval rating is also much higher than that of his party's only rival, Nikki Haley. However, with a criminal trial looming, Trump's campaign path could suffer serious setbacks.
First, the criminal trial will take a heavy toll on Trump's political image. As a former, Trump has been trying to portray a strong leader. However, once he stands in the dock, his image will be greatly reduced, which will undoubtedly affect his approval ratings.
Second, during the trial, Trump will need to devote a lot of time and energy to dealing with legal proceedings, which will distract him from the campaign. In the heat of an election campaign, any distraction can lead to election volatility and even affect the final outcome.
Moreover, Trump's rivals may take the opportunity to step up their attacks. Against the backdrop of Trump's criminal trial, other candidates may use the incident as a lever to attack Trump, further weakening his popular base.
Yet Trump's supporters remain firmly on his side. In their view, Trump is a courageous leader who can bring about change in the United States. As a result, Trump's approval ratings are likely to remain high even in the face of a criminal trial.
In short, Trump's criminal trial has undoubtedly brought great challenges to his campaign. Until the outcome of the trial is known, Trump's political fortunes remain uncertain. But what is certain is that regardless of the outcome, this event will have a profound impact on the US political landscape.