After the former Trump of the United States lost to the incumbent Biden in 2020, he has not given up his intention to re-run. However, his plan has recently suffered a major blow. The U.S. Colorado Supreme Court ruled on the 19th that the disqualification clause in the 14th Amendment to the U.S. Constitution applies to Trump, who is not eligible for the 2024 ** election party primaries in the state. The ruling, based on Trump's support for the Capitol riot on Jan. 6, 2021, in an attempt to block Biden's election victory is considered to have violated a constitutional prohibition on anyone participating in or assisting the insurgency from holding federal or state office.
In this regard, Biden responded in an interview with reporters on the 20th that it is "self-evident" that Trump's support for the Capitol riot is "self-evident", but whether this will disqualify Trump from running ** is up to the court to decide. Biden also tweeted a message denouncing Trump's experience in office, including his economic, employment, health care measures, "spoiling extremists" and "inciting violent mobs."
The question of whether Trump can still run for the election has attracted widespread attention in American political circles. On the one hand, Trump still has a strong personal influence and loyal supporter base, his approval ratings in the Republican Party are still high, and he has already begun to prepare funds and personnel for the 2024 campaign. On the other hand, Trump is also facing unprecedented difficulties and challenges, and his road to another election campaign is not smooth. Here are the multiple headwinds that Trump faces in his re-election campaign:
Four-year record in power. When Trump first entered politics in 2016, he had no public office, so he could make promises that would appeal to voters' expectations. But four years into his administration, his policy successes and failures have been exposed to the public, and he can no longer appeal to voters as a "political outsider." Trump has had some notable policy achievements during his tenure, including tax cuts and criminal justice reform, but he has also had some notable failures, including his inability to repeal the Democrats' health care reforms, and the infrastructure investments he has repeatedly promised have never materialized. In addition, Trump's handling of the new crown epidemic may also expose him to attacks from many sides. Democrats have long criticized him for not responding aggressively enough to the pandemic, but there are some on the right who feel he has gone too far in supporting mandated mitigation efforts.
The shadow of the Capitol riot. After Trump's defeat to Biden in 2020**, he has consistently refused to recognize the election results, claiming that there was massive fraud in the election, but did not provide any evidence. He also filed several lawsuits in court in an attempt to overturn the election results, but all of them failed. On January 6, 2021, Trump delivered an incendiary speech near the White House, urging his supporters to go to the Capitol to prevent Congress from certifying Biden's victory. Subsequently, some Trump supporters stormed the Capitol and violently clashed with police, killing five people and injuring dozens, temporarily disrupting the normal functioning of Congress. The incident is considered one of the worst episodes of political violence in U.S. history and a serious challenge to American democracy. Trump has been widely condemned, including some Republicans, for his role in the incident, and has become the first person in American history to be punished twice. Although he was not ultimately convicted, his reputation and popularity were severely damaged. The midterm elections show that what happened that day, and what Trump said and did in the weeks leading up to the riots, may still be influencing voter behavior. Many of the Republican candidates who expressed full support for Trump's refusal to accept the 2020** results lost this midterm election. Many of them also fared worse in their states than those candidates who did not publicly deny the election results.
Risk of legal action. One reason Trump may be running again is that he hopes to win sympathy and support for himself by turning the many criminal and civil investigations he has been involved in into a larger political operation. However, this does not eliminate the legal risks he faces in these cases, nor does it prevent the disruption and negative impact these cases have on his campaign. Among the cases Trump currently needs to defend himself are: a criminal investigation into election sabotage in Georgia, a civil fraud case against his business empire in New York, a defamation lawsuit involving allegations of a criminal, and an investigation into his role in the Capitol attack and a federal investigation into his handling of classified material after taking office. Any of these investigations could lead to a full-fledged and in-depth trial.
Can Trump still run for **Time will see.
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