Details related to the matter were also revealed after the U.S. military launched a retaliatory strike against pro-Iranian forces on Biden's orders.
On the whole, in the case of the attack on the US military base, the United States and Iran have finally taken a step back. Before the U.S. military used bombers to retaliate, an order from Iran's Supreme Spiritual Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was even more crucial.
Khamenei ordered to avoid conflict with the United States
As we all know, the security situation in the Middle East has further deteriorated since the US military was attacked by drones in the Middle East. But both the United States and Iran have been very cautious on this issue.
Earlier, Iran's Supreme Council held an emergency meeting to discuss the attack on US military bases in the Middle East. Immediately afterwards, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Ali Ali ordered to avoid a direct conflict with the United States.
He also said that in the coming period, Iran needs to distance itself from the armed groups that participated in the attack on US military bases, but if the United States chooses to attack Iran, it must also be prepared to retaliate.
As far as is known, the Iranian armed forces have been put on high alert, ballistic missiles have been deployed on the border with Iraq, and air defense systems have been activated.
The U.S. military base was attacked by drones].
But judging by Khamenei's response, Iran may not want its own preventive deployment to come in handy one day.
On the American side, it is similar to the idea. Statistics show that since the outbreak of the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict, US military bases in the Middle East have been attacked more than 160 times, but the US military has only taken single-digit countermeasures, which has explained a lot.
And this time, the drone attack on the US military, although the nature is unprecedentedly serious, there has been a large-scale **. However, the fact that the United States did not retaliate immediately shows that it has not yet been carried away by radical sentiment at home. If the situation further ferments, then the United States will really be stuck in the Middle East and will not be able to get out.
At present, Biden is facing a dilemma. If the situation escalates, the United States' strategic interests in the Middle East will be damaged, which will be detrimental to the election.
But if the impact is downplayed, the Republican Party will seize the lever and be regarded by the outside world as a "sign of weakness", which is even more unfavorable to the election.
Biden is also considering the extent of retaliation
Therefore, although Biden said that he would respond to the attack, he also stressed that he did not seek to escalate the conflict.
Therefore, the United States should especially consider the intensity of its strikes, not only to accurately hurt Iran and give itself a bad breath, but at the same time to leave a little leeway for both sides to avoid escalation of the conflict. To put it bluntly, I just want to find a balance point and explain it internally and externally.
The United States has determined that Iranian-backed militant groups were responsible for the attack. But if it only cracks down on armed groups linked to Iran and does not make Iran trouble, it will be an itch in the boot, and it will even make people wonder whether the United States can effectively deter Iran.
Moreover, the United States has not been able to produce concrete evidence that Iran was deeply involved in the attacks on US military bases, and in the final analysis, Iran has indeed supported armed groups in Iraq for a long time, but generally does not interfere in specific affairs and dictate to these people.
This also leaves a certain amount of leeway for itself to remain flexible in regional diplomacy. Although it is unrealistic for Iran to completely dissociate itself from relations at this time, the United States is also unable to pursue further investigations. What's more, the United States does not want to push Iran into a hurry.
Neither the United States nor Iran wants the situation to continue to ferment
As for the armed group responsible for specifically planning the attack, it has announced a suspension of attacks on US military bases and warned the United States not to carry out malicious actions. They also said that the reason for this decision was to avoid embarrassment for Iraq.
It has to be mentioned here that when US Secretary of State Blinken visited the Middle East, he went to Iraq specifically, hoping that Iraq would be able to restrain the armed organizations in its territory and not strike at US military bases every once in a while.
As a result, within a few months, such a big thing happened. If the United States ignores the in-depth investigation, Iraq may passively become involved in the conflict.
Khamenei's reaction is also a signal to these armed groups that you have caused the trouble, clean up yourself, and Iran will not help them on this issue, and it will not affect Iran.
This just shows that Iran is also afraid that the United States will launch a large-scale retaliation against itself. Iran is now in the Middle East, sparing no effort against the United States and Israel, with the core intention of consolidating its voice in the Middle East and enhancing the regional influence of the arc of resistance, but it is not negotiating with the United States now. The stakes are too high for Iran, and the benefits are almost non-existent.
The U.S. side has a similar mentality. Now that the Asia-Pacific region is the strategic center of gravity, the Middle East only needs to maintain a limited military presence on its own, because returning to the Middle East in an unexpected event will only completely disrupt its next strategic deployment.
What's more, the conflict between the United States and Iran will affect the whole body, and once the situation escalates, the development of the situation will be beyond the control of the United States.
The United States needs to give an account both internally and externally
It can be seen that from Iran, to the pro-Iranian armed groups in Iraq, to the United States, they all want to expose this matter as soon as possible. It is precisely because of this that although the two sides have not had much contact on the surface, they have secretly produced some tacit understanding.
Now, before the US military officially retaliates, Khamenei has also chosen to give in and continue to hold high the banner of opposing the United States and Israel at this critical juncture, and the US military presence in the Middle East is shouting and shouting and killing. Since the United States and Iran have taken a step back, it is very likely that this matter will not be resolved.
We can also see that despite the fact that the security pattern in the Middle East is in a drastic situation, the decision-making level of the United States and Iran, which are on the cusp of the storm, can still maintain the most basic rationality. They know that it is not in their respective strategic interests to plunge the situation in the region into chaos.