On February 27, the trend of pig prices may slow down, and how to balance consumption and consumption.
After the Spring Festival, there is less and less good news in the pork market, and under the dual influence of supply and consumption performance, ** began a cycle of decline! However, in the current situation, the ** of pork has fallen to the bottom, and the farmers are still holding a wait-and-see attitude, coupled with the entry of the second batch of pigs, under the action of multiple factors, the ** of pork will have a temporary rebound! But logically speaking, pork ** has entered the cycle of "grinding bottom", and during the period of March and April, the pull of pork ** in a lower position may be highlighted!
At present, with the return of schools, the consumer demand of the catering industry and the catering industry has gradually recovered, and some downstream businesses have begun to supplement, and at the same time, the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises has also begun to rise, so farmers are still more optimistic about selling pigs at low prices! However, due to the slowdown in the production rate of pigs, the supply pressure at the end of the month, and the lack of follow-up basis at the consumer demand level, the price of pork is "weak", or it will enter the correction period again!
Judging from the data, due to the increase in pig **, it is expected that by February 27, the average ** of ternary lean pork will be 1364 yuan kg, 001 yuan kg, live pigs continue to **, however, the increase is too low, and the pig prices in the north and south of the national market are adjusted in a narrow range! Among them, the rise of live pigs continued to fall, and the 26 main monitoring areas were: Sichuan-Chongqing, Yunnan-Guizhou, Shaanxi, Guangxi, Jiangxi, Anhui, Jiangsu, Hubei, Henan, Jilin, and there will be 0 per kilogram05-0.1 yuan kg increase!
According to the following situation, from the current situation, in Beijing, Shanghai and other major cities, the amount of white pork has increased, but the enthusiasm for trading has decreased, the sales of white strips in Beijing are mediocre, and there is a large surplus in some places, and the ** of white pork is 8-9 yuan a kilogram. In Shanghai, white strip trading is widespread, inventory overload is serious, and some wholesale markets have greater inventory pressure!
According to the company's research, as the New Year passes, domestic consumer demand will decrease, the support of group consumption will also be limited to a certain extent, with the opening of schools, the downstream inventory will gradually approach the end, so in the wholesale market, the sale of white strips has become more difficult, therefore, the pressure on the production of white strips of slaughtering enterprises will also increase greatly, so their production costs will reach a relatively low level. At present, the operating rate of sample slaughtering enterprises is about 2486%, down 22% from the high level at the beginning of the year, consumers are still very constrained on fresh meat, and the sales of fresh meat have become more difficult!
From the flow of pigs, in the northern market, the farmers have relaxed their attitude towards the price, the enthusiasm of small farmers and large pig enterprises has increased, and the local slaughtering enterprises have begun to smoothly carry out the acquisition, but with the narrowing of the pig price gap in various places, the difficulty of the Northeast slaughtering enterprises to transfer the white strip has increased, and the mentality of collecting pigs at a lower price has increased. In East China and Central China, due to a large number of pigs from the north, the local procurement speed has become sluggish, and the demand for pigs in some slaughtering enterprises has declined, and the demand for pigs has also declined. In South China, due to the increase in local secondary fattening, the enthusiasm for pig trading has risen, and the support is slightly larger, and the production areas of Sichuan-Chongqing, Yunnan, and Guizhou have risen slightly!
On February 27, the pig ** rebounded "slightly", supply and demand are declining, and pork **will be ** again? What do you guys think? This article is the author's personal opinion, and all **are** on the Internet!