In 2024, the world will face great changes, and China should be vigilant.
Belarusian Lukashenko once said that the world is on the eve of the most ambitious events, and Belarus will have a very difficult time and must walk on thin ice. In 2024, something big will happen. So, what will happen to the big thing that Lukashenko said?
China, our motherland, be careful!
Fang Ning, former director of the Institute of Political Science of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and professor at Sichuan University, gave an outlook on the international security situation in 2024 at the "Macro Situation Forum" held by the Chinese People's University. He pointed out that in order to reduce the pressure on the battlefield in Ukraine, Russia will try to create hot spots in other regions to distract the attention of the United States and the West, and Northeast Asia, especially the Korean Peninsula, may become Russia's next target. He reminded China to be cautious and precautionary, because the turmoil on the Korean Peninsula will have an impact on China's peaceful development.
Professor Fang Ning's views have sufficient basis and indications. Since last year, Russia has been stirring up water and creating hot spots in West Africa, the Middle East, Latin America and other regions, trying to disrupt the strategic deployment of the United States and the West and reduce its support for Ukraine. For example, the coup d'état in Niger, the war in Gaza, the dispute between Venezuela and Guyana, etc., are all Russian tactics outside the battlefield. However, these hot spots have not achieved the desired effect for Russia, the West still maintains a tough attitude towards Ukraine, and Russia is also mired in war and cannot easily get out.
Therefore, Russia may turn its attention to Northeast Asia, especially the Korean Peninsula, this year. North Korea and Russia have a deep military cooperative relationship, with Russian technical support for North Korea's missiles, satellites, nuclear weapons, and even hypersonics**. Moreover, the war on the Korean Peninsula did not really end, only an armistice was signed. North Korea is China's only country with a military alliance, and if the situation on the Korean Peninsula escalates again, can China stay out of it? How big is the impact on China?
These questions are difficult to answer, but one thing is certain: Russia can distract the United States and the West by creating hot spots on the Korean Peninsula and reduce the pressure on itself. And such behavior will also bring great trouble and risks to China.
In fact, the situation on the Korean Peninsula is already heating up. In January this year, the DPRK foreign minister visited Russia and held in-depth and comprehensive talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov, even touching on "sensitive issues". Subsequently, Choe Sun-hee of North Korea was received by Putin and had a very high standard. It is reported that Putin will soon visit the DPRK, and Russian-DPRK relations have further warmed up. And North Korea has also taken a series of provocative actions, canceling the Ministry of Unification, declaring that South Korea is an eternal enemy, conducting underwater nuclear tests, testing submarine-launched strategic cruise missiles, and South Korea is not to be outdone, canceling the military buffer zone between the two sides, and increasing the ......scale of military exercises with the United States and Japan
The Korean Peninsula has become a powder keg, and once it erupts, the consequences will be unimaginable.
To sum up, we can see that Professor Fang Ning's point of view is reasonable, and Russia's strategy outside the battlefield may be used in Northeast Asia, which is very worthy of China's caution and guard. The big thing that Belarusian ** Lukashenko said may happen here.
China, our motherland, be careful!