February** Dynamic Incentive Program
Russia-Ukraine battlefield. The Ukrainian army on the battlefield is in the midst of a severe shortage of troops, which has led to exhaustion and low morale among frontline personnel. This is another dangerous situation faced by Ukraine in the nearly two years since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. During the interview, more than a dozen front-line soldiers and commanders of the Ukrainian army complained that the lack of personnel is their most difficult problem at present. Because Russia has regained the offensive initiative on the battlefield and is launching a new offensive. A battalion commander of a Ukrainian mechanized brigade operating in eastern Ukraine said that a fully staffed battalion of more than 200 men had more than 200 men, but his unit now has fewer than 40 infantry left, deployed in frontline trenches to defend against Russian attacks.
An infantry battalion commander in another brigade also said his unit was exhausted, and the Ukrainian soldiers interviewed spoke on condition of anonymity, that they were not authorized to speak publicly, and that they could face reprisals for their statements.
The Chinese have to celebrate the Spring Festival here, there is still a war there, and the war cannot stop, and peace-loving people always hope to persuade peace and stop the war, but with little success. The war is still going on, but the statement of the Ukrainian front-line officers and soldiers is indeed completely consistent with the previous judgment of observers, that is, there is a shortage of people, there is no source of soldiers, and there are all people.
This is a very fatal thing, because in today's modern warfare, everyone says all kinds of high-precision technology, but the most important thing is people, no one can play anything, and it still needs to be of the right age, have considerable experience, and have enough education and training, so that soldiers can fight and win wars.
So this matter, the first reminder to us is that war can be as modern as possible, all kinds of high-end equipment, this is no problem, but everything is pros and cons, double-edged sword, one coin has two sides, using all kinds of high-tech equipment means high cost, means that the ability of the people who control them is strong, without professional training, this is not something that can be done by a person.
What do soldiers do? Soldiers are war-fighting and ready to fight. The work he does every day is to prepare for war, it is a profession, not a joke, and the more it is today, the more important this profession becomes!
When Russia trained soldiers in the past, that training was exhausting, that was the demand for soldiers in that era, not now, now we talk about high technology. Now I see clearly, that is, the war in the world now, whether it is in the Middle East, Ukraine, Russia, or Armenia and Azerbaijan, there are high-tech **, but sometimes they are rare, others have it, you don't have it, but maybe you have it, he doesn't. And in the end, the battle is still the scale of people! There has to be a certain amount of it!
In addition, you have to have physical strength, confidence, and will, and fight for these things, and now the Russian-Ukrainian war is the situation, some people say that this Russian army pulls its hips, and it doesn't pull it aside, and now this war has become World War I and World War II. The two warring sides of the First World War had barbed wire, trenches, machine guns, searchlights, mines, and whoever attacked was unlucky, until the British later came up with tanks. Now the battle is three-dimensional, even if the other side has tanks, they dare not rush over, even if Russia and Ukraine have buried hundreds of thousands of mines on the front line.
In this situation, it is difficult to break through each other, and both sides will consume it! Back to the scorching state of the First World War, then people become very important. The size of the human army must be there, right? Do you know that Ukraine is a country of 600,000 square kilometers with a population of 40 million, and then there are 10 million smaller refugees who ran away, and in addition, didn't Russia have a referendum on four states to join Russia? These four states can also be 10 million smaller, so with a population of 20 million left, how much can be left of conscription? Disabled people have received this order to enlist in the army, and it is in this situation that a large number of female soldiers have joined the army, and when exchanging prisoners of war, priority is given to female soldiers and wounded soldiers, and a large number of female soldiers on the front line indicate that the Ukrainian military source is drying up!
A large number of female soldiers in Ukraine went to war.
At this time, even if the West provides some advanced **, such as this heavy tank Leopard 2, or this Abrams, what Leclerc? There is also the British Challenger 2, which must be operated by professionals, and the Western equipment is completely different from the equipment of the Soviet and Russian departments, so it must be trained, and in actual combat, it must be able to survive, and after this test of actual combat, this is an excellent or competent soldier, right?
So the terrible thing about Ukraine now is that he has no one left. This is a very critical red line, and it is also a bottom line, if there is no source of troops, no matter how good the equipment is, it is useless, even if the West gives money, no one will work, and Russia 1With a population of 4.5 billion, this gap is here, which also reminds us that in terms of future wars and modern wars, there is no problem in using all kinds of high and new technologies, but the soldiers who are constantly replenished must have considerable willpower on this battlefield and have undergone sufficient tactical training to survive and consume the enemy.
It is crucial to have a well-trained source of soldiers, if there is no excellent source of troops like Ukraine, and there are 4 people left in a battalion on the front line, then no matter how the battle is fought, it will be impossible to command. This is the case, so that even in modern warfare that we see as onlookers and bystanders, people are also a very crucial factor.
In the current situation in Ukraine, there are actually a lot of hidden worries, not to mention how the current war is being fought and what is the outcome of the war? What about the future? Let's not talk about that yet. Ukraine has not thought about it now, this generation has opened up, which is associated with an example, that is, the Soviet Union, during the Great Patriotic War, a large number of people died, young people, young and middle-aged laborers, a large number of people died in the war, every household died, even Stalin's son died.
What are the consequences? You may not think that after the end of World War II, the country resumed construction, this is easy to do, there are always people to build, regardless of whether they are young or old. But the echelon of his age has become very unreasonable, and a generation is missing! There is even such a statement that is more extreme, saying that Gorbachev's coming to power is actually a sequelae of World War II, and the leaders of the Soviet Union at that time were relatively old.
That is to say, since Khrushchev, Bolernev, Chernenko, Andropov are all old people, he can't help this old man's politics, he is old in this wave, what about the next wave, the next wave is blank, and the next wave will only reach Gorbachev, which is equivalent to saying that the talent echelon of the Soviet Union at that time was broken, and if there is this problem, then the country will be finished in the end.
It may be an exaggeration to say this, but this factor is the problem, it exists, and it is like this for any country, so if Ukraine really wants to fight to the last Ukrainian, what about the future of this country and this nation? This is indeed a need, that is, a matter that his leadership and ruling layers need to seriously consider, rather than simply fighting to the end or fighting for the West, which is a matter that needs to be considered and conceived comprehensively.
The Russian-Ukrainian war is from this military and technical level, in fact, Russia's strategy has its reason. Everyone in Russia generally thinks that his army tactically pulls his hips or something, and this can be considered a reality, if it is precisely a reality, that is, the army's combat capability is not good? How to fight this battle at this time?
Retreat under artillery fire.
It is impossible to change overnight, so on the basis of this existing situation and this foundation, of course, we must consider how to fight the war and how to win it. In addition, Russia is now playing with the entire West, and behind Ukraine is the West. One family has not fought a war, and the other person's technology is indeed more advanced than Russia's, so what is the problem, that is, the West's inventory is small, that is, the West's production capacity is limited. And what about Russia this? A large number of ** equipment is not advanced, but there is no problem with production capacity, and even the previously mothballed, backward tanks of the original Soviet era are used directly.
Fighting a war has always been to attack the enemy's shortcomings with its own strengths, it must be like this, and now that Ukraine is short of troops, then Russia will consume it with him, this is obviously the strategy chosen by Russia. In addition, when it comes to fighting this high-tech equipment, one is Russia? And then there are very expensive, such as his hypersonic missile, which is worth $10 million a piece, and how many pieces can be produced a year? In such a situation, Russia can't afford to fight!
Like the Patriot anti-aircraft missile in the United States, that missile starts at $1 million and has to intercept a target. For example, a drone is like 20,000 US dollars, so to intercept this target, is it 100% sure to hit a bomb? No, then two, three, so that there is an interception rate close to 100 percent, the United States and Russia are not equal, there is money to fight a war with money, there is no money to fight a war without money. So Russia is now consuming with Ukraine here, and Ukraine has several indicators, such as the financial situation, the quantity and quality of equipment provided by the West! Then there is the source of soldiers, but the source of Ukrainian troops has bottomed out, unless NATO ends up as this volunteer mercenary, or NATO simply tears its face and ends up, unless this is the case, then can the West make up its mind?
Russia is obviously about all this, he will have his considerations, I am afraid that he will set aside a part, that is, elite forces, beware of the fate of NATO in case of accidents, or that NATO may put pressure on Russia in other directions, he may still consider this, but anyway, the issue of troop sources is a very fatal red line, and this red line is now equivalent to saying that Ukraine has encountered it, so will there be a major turning point on the battlefield between Russia and Ukraine next?