Some people are puzzled, and the former US ** Obama said that China is building in a low profile, which may be the reason.
Since the establishment of diplomatic relations, China and the United States have generally maintained stability for 38 years, although they have faced many problems such as challenges and opportunities, friction and cooperation, containment and engagement, confrontation and dialogue.
It wasn't until Trump came to power that that dynamics changed. Recently, China and the United States jointly announced that China's first minister will visit the United States, which seems to be expected.
As is customary, China's long-term visit to the United States is to ensure that important things can go smoothly at the APEC summit.
While experts believe that the recent U.S.-China interaction is not a major problem, people remain cautious about whether the interaction will have a material impact on U.S.-China relations. After all, containing China has become a political stance that the two parties in the United States generally agree on, but there are differences in the intensity of implementation.
Whether it is Trump the representative of the Republican Party or Biden the representative of the Democratic Party, their operations after taking office have exerted pressure and suppression on our country in the fields of economy and trade. The former, in particular, has adopted a series of measures to discredit China's international image.
However, even Biden has not changed much, and still continues the previous ** momentum strategy. The United States has a lot of experience in this area, and this strategy has been tried and tested in the international community many times.
1.The United States ** made during the visit of the North Korean leader to Russia"China, Russia and North Korea"rumors. 2.At the same time, they have played up the human rights problems in Xinjiang, describing normal labor transfers as:"Forced labor"and even rise to"Violence"degree.
3.On the economic and trade front, Biden has continued the Trump-era strategy of imposing tariffs on Chinese goods, a policy that has actually increased the burden on American consumers.
4.While U.S. consumers will end up paying more because of tariffs on goods, Biden has no intention of canceling this policy. Core idea: The United States** has adopted various tactics against China politically, economic, and trade factors, including spreading rumors, exaggerating human rights issues, and continuing to impose tariffs on Chinese goods, all of which have adversely affected China and increased the burden on American consumers.
In the high-tech sector, the United States has taken substantial "decoupling" measures from China. On the one hand, the export of cutting-edge technologies and products to China is prohibited; On the other hand, all high-tech cooperation has also been cut off, including exchanges and cooperation between research institutes and universities.
At the same time, the United States has combined the war with the war of science and technology to create a new system of so-called "industrial chain", the most typical of which is the global semiconductor industry chain conference led by the United States, which did not invite China to participate, and united allies to set a "high wall" against China in the advanced semiconductor process.
In addition, the geopolitical encirclement of China by the United States has become an open secret.
On the one hand, the United States is courting Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Vietnam, and on the other hand, it is signaling Australia and Canada to constantly create incidents in the Taiwan Strait, the South China Sea, and even the Yellow Sea. Although it has been 38 years since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries, many people still do not understand why the United States chose to confront China.
In fact, this is only half the truth, and the other half is that the United States has not been able to find the right moment. In the 38 years from the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States in 1979 to the Trump administration in 2017, there have been two times in China-US relations"Opportunity"As a result, the two countries have developed in a good direction, and on the whole have maintained a relationship of contact and cooperation.
During the Cold War, the existence of the Soviet Union became the first opportunity for cooperation between China and the United States. The United States saw the Soviet Union as the primary threat, and China was listed by the United States as a "friendly country" with which it could cooperate.
Facing the Soviet threat together, China and the United States established diplomatic relations in the 1970s based on common interests. At that time, China was in the process of reform and opening up, and China and the United States carried out close exchanges and cooperation in the fields of economy and trade, science and technology, and culture, which lasted for nearly 10 years.
Over the past decade, the U.S.-China market has grown by a staggering 20 percent a year, and behind this lies China's fervent desire for the United States: American companies are popular in the Chinese market, and nearly 80,000 Chinese have studied in the United States.
At the same time, signs of the decline of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War were becoming more and more apparent. Against this backdrop, changes began to take place in Sino-US relations. For the United States, China has shifted from a balancing force that it "actively strives for" to a goal that needs to be "conquered and contained at the right time."
The United States ** implemented"Contact"China strategy with a view to conducting China through the U.S. system"Peaceful evolution"。Under the influence of this strategy, on the one hand, the United States has taken actions such as "the visit of the leader to the United States and the bombing of the Chinese embassy in the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia by NATO," and on the other hand, it has maintained exchanges and cooperation with China, and has become China's second largest partner.
However, with the assumption of office by George W. Bush, new changes have taken place in US policy toward China. They are too arrogant, see China as a "competitor" to them, and begin to make a "tough" voice against China.
When the world is full of uncertainties, China-US relations are once again ushering in a period of development. At the beginning of George W. Bush's presidency, serious terrorist attacks occurred on US soil, which led to a major shift in US foreign policy, with counterterrorism operations in the Middle East taking the lead and relations with China taking a back seat.
Against this historical background, China and the United States have chosen to work together to carry out in-depth cooperation in economic, trade, international security and other fields, so that China-US relations have once again entered a relatively stable stage of development.
The outbreak of the global economic crisis has provided new opportunities for China and the United States to deepen economic cooperation and jointly address global challenges.
Since Obama's second term, the stability of U.S.-China relations has changed. As the world's second largest economy, China's influence is growing, and the power gap with the United States is gradually narrowing.
In response to this situation, the United States has adjusted its foreign strategy, making "anti-China" a priority and proposing a "rebalance to the Asia-Pacific" policy. However, by the time of Trump, the strategy of "containing China" has become more extreme, intense, and normalized.
Although the United States has long tried to "take action" against China, the obstacles of objective reality and the fact that China's power does not pose a threat to the United States led to the fact that this action was not realized until 2017.
Since then, the United States has taken action against China, leading to a gradual deterioration in Sino-American relations. Many fear that China and the United States will be drawn into a "new Cold War" similar to that between China and the Soviet Union. However, if you think about it, you can see that this concern does not correspond to reality.
We are in a very different era from the Cold War period, and China is no longer the Soviet Union of the past. In those times, the development of the world economy was restricted, and there were no economic ties between the United States and the Soviet Union.
Compared to the strong economy of the United States, the economic development of the USSR appeared closed and backward. However, today's world economy has a very high degree of globalization, and it can be said that a situation has been formed in which both prosperity and loss have been formed.
As a leader in the global economy, China has close economic and trade relations with more than 100 countries and regions, including the United States, which makes the "decoupling" plan of the United States from China simply impossible to realize.
The confrontation between China and the United States is mainly concentrated in the economic, trade, and scientific and technological fields, which is very different from the military and geopolitical confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union in those years. The main way for the United States and the Soviet Union to compete for hegemony was to engage in an arms race and geopolitical encirclement, which completely cut off exchanges with other countries.
In contrast, economic, environmental, and people-to-people exchanges and cooperation between China and the United States continue, such as:
The rivalry between China and the United States is not an ideological rivalry, unlike the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union. Unlike the binary confrontation between the United States and the Soviet Union, the competition between China and the United States today is a competition between great powers.
For example, some people have compared the U.S. "suppression" of China with the U.S. "containment" of Japan, believing that this is the inertial thinking of the United States in order to maintain its status as "the world's first."
As for ideology, this is just a tactic used by some American politicians to woo allies.
It is worth noting that countries such as Brazil and Russia have gradually become a multipolar force to be reckoned with, playing a balancing role in the United States' attempt to contain China.
Considering the times and the international situation, the possibility of China and the United States falling into a "new Cold War" is very small. The United States may be trying to drag China into the trap of the Cold War, such as pursuing a policy of "decoupling from China" and exaggerating the alliance between China and Russia or even China, Russia and South Korea, but China is not the Soviet Union, and it is unrealistic for the United States to fantasize about weakening China through the Cold War mentality.
In view of the escalation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, the United States has increased its military deployment in the Middle East, and is involved in the Russia-Ukraine war, it can be expected that the United States will focus on Europe and the Middle East in the future.
For China, this is a buffer period to disperse pressure, and China can use this opportunity to fully prepare for a full-scale US encirclement.