December 2023 may be the darkest month for Ukraine since the start of the war, and the situation is even more dangerous than at the beginning of the war
The United States, which has provided the most military aid, is locked in a bipartisan battle, and aid is almost at a standstill.
The international ** began to question whether Ukraine could win the war, and the Western media published editorials unfavorable to the Ukrainian side every day, and many staunch supporters of Ukraine began to lose confidence.
As the first month of 2024 passes, good news follows – the result of the tireless struggle of Ukrainians and the joint efforts of Ukraine's staunch supporters.
The first big piece of good news is:The 27 countries of the European Union finally agreed on a 50 billion euro aid plan for Ukraine, and the first batch of 3.5 billion euros will be in place this month.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who has been blocking this plan, has finally bowed his head!
It should be noted that the 50 billion euros is not military aid, but economic and livelihood support for the four years from 2024 to 2027.
The war in the past two years has almost destroyed Ukraine's economy and led to difficulties in people's livelihood. In order to protect their loved ones and their homes, Ukrainians can endure a hard life in the short term, but in the long run, it will inevitably lead to instability among the people.
The 50 billion euros are to help Ukraine stabilize the social economy and improve the living standards of the people, so that Zelensky can relieve his worries and fight the Great Patriotic War wholeheartedly.
The second great piece of good news is:Trump's latest statement said that if he is elected as the next president of the United States, he will continue to provide assistance to Ukraine!
Trump has always made his opposition to aid to Ukraine a major campaign against Biden in his public speeches. In fact, although the war has been going on for almost 2 years, the support of the American people for Ukraine is still more than 60%.
Interestingly, a recent poll conducted by YouGov, an American polling agency, shows that the most popular among Americans is Zelensky. He has a 57% approval rating.
Biden, who is in second place, has only 27% support, and Trump is in third place, who has 26% support. In addition, Pu Jing also received 10% support.
Some people joke that if Zelensky is allowed to participate in the United States at this time, he will undoubtedly be elected as the next United States**.
In this case, Trump continues to use opposition to aid to Ukraine as a campaign selling point, apparently digging a hole for himself.
Trump's change of tune shows that he finally knows the true public opinion.
Of course, he would not admit that his original position was wrong.
In his speech, he made a calculation - we have invested $200 billion, while European countries have invested only $20 billion. Since Ukraine is more important to Europe, Europe should not pay less than the United States - "Don't you think they should balance it out?" ”
In fact, the amount of EU aid to Ukraine is higher than that of the United States. As a businessman, Trump's way of settling accounts has its own characteristics.
Previously, former British Prime Minister Johnson publicly stated that he did not believe that Trump would abandon Ukraine if he was elected.
I don't believe it either.
For more than a year, every time I mentioned this topic in my articles, I said that if Trump is elected, not only will he not stop his aid to Ukraine, but he will have a lot less rules and regulations than Biden, and the aid will be more simple and powerful.
As early as 2020, during the United States**, I used the word "wild road" to describe Trump's way of doing things. When it comes to aiding Ukraine, he will likewise not be as modest as Biden.
The third great thing is:House Speaker Johnson also changed his tune!
There is a causal relationship between this good thing and the second good thing.
Previously, the House of Representatives linked aid to Ukraine with the issue of the southern border**, which led to the current dilemma of military aid to Ukraine.
As Trump changed his tune and said that he would continue to aid Ukraine, Johnson also generously said that the House of Representatives is considering dealing with the issue of aid to Ukraine separately from the issue of the southern border.
There's a reason the Republican Party is making the change.
The latest poll by Quinnipec University in the United States shows that Biden's approval rating has risen to 50%, surpassing Trump's 44%. However, if Trump is defeated by Haley in the Republican Party, then the poll approval rating will become: Haley 47%, Biden 42%.
At present, if 2024** ends up in a decisive battle between Biden and Trump, I personally think Biden has a better chance of winning.
The main reason for this change is that Biden and Trump have different foreign policies - Trump's remarks about Ukraine have annoyed many Americans.
By the way, a tidbit: Le Swift, a singer that many young people like — I listen to her songs a lot even though I'm older — is very disgusted with Trump, and she once said, "If Trump is elected, I'll leave the United States."
Many young American voters say: Whoever Swift votes, we will vote.
Needless to say, Ukraine's victory or defeat is determined by the strategic intentions of the European and American powers, and the political dynamics within these countries also directly affect the Ukrainian battlefield.
This year's U.S. ** is crucial to the course of this war.
If Biden is still unable to help Ukraine gain a decisive advantage until then, it will be difficult for him to defeat Trump.
It can be concluded that this year's Russian-Ukrainian battlefield will never be cloudy and light. The war may not end this year, but the outcome will certainly become clear this year.