ShandongCornThe market's recent decline can be described as a mountain down. There was an unexpected gust of wind in the marketCorn**Plummeted. In the past, everyone was still discussing who would be the winner, but I didn't expect such a ** storm to suddenly hit and wouldCorn**Blowing all over the place. The day before, it was still warning ShandongCornis in danger, and it didn't take long for the ** of some enterprises to fall below the mark of 2,400 yuan per ton. Shandong's decline has also affected the Northeast market, and the Northeast has also begun. According to market expectations, if the news of increasing reserves around mid-January is not implemented,QuotientThe mindset could change, triggering a wave of selling. Now it seems that this situation has appeared in advance. Of course, there are reasons for showing up early, but in the final analysis, it is because of emotions. Although we all understand that we should remain rational, it is strange not to be in the market and watch the **day by day**. Those who do not have food are more afraid, while those who have food are the opposite. People who don't have food want low prices**, but every day they feel that it's not a low point, thoughtsCornWill continue**; On the contrary, people who hold food feel that ** has almost bottomed out, and they feel that it is time to raise prices every day, but every time the market is ** again, their mood also falls. For the sale to be completed, the buyer and seller must be psychologically aligned, but for nowCornThe mindset of buyers and sellers in the market is too different, resulting in:Corn**All the time** state. The deal is not finalized, and we can only wait for other factors to drive the market change, but in the process of waiting, the mentality of selling pressure will be overwhelming. But then again, we have always mentioned that the rise and fall of Shandong does not need to be too nervous, and it is not excluded that the ** of some enterprises will fall below the threshold of 2400 yuan. The ups and downs of the Shandong market are actually and actuallySupply and demandNot closely, but withCornis directly related to the number of imports. Therefore, even if the current decline is violent, once it reaches a certain level, the grainQuotientEmotional rise or natural disasters that lead toCorn**When it decreases, the decline will also stop. However, the Northeast market is worth paying attention to. Why? The Northeast market is different from the Shandong market. Shandong market does not collect grain today, but it can be collected tomorrow, but the Northeast is different, once the grain outflows, you want to buy tomorrow may not be successful. Especially the NortheastCornWe are very worried, not onlyQuotientAnd acquirers are paying close attention. The reason is simple, if you don't act, it doesn't mean that others won't act; Just because you think it's the end doesn't mean that others think it's the end. As soon as someone else makes a move, the food ** may be cut off immediately. In particular, large-scale deep processing enterprises in Northeast China will still need a large number of them in the futureCornsupport, so thoughCorn**Large**, which is not necessarily a bad thing, may stimulate demand to start early. Once the demand starts before the year,CornAt least it's stable, so that's not the most worrying. So, what is the biggest concern?
To be honest, I'm very worried about the year aheadCornThe market is more complex than the previous year. On the one hand, the trend of the previous year will definitely affect the new year. For example, if years agoCornThe pressure is released slowly, and a large number of ** pressures are shifted, so the market will inevitably be under pressure after the year. In addition, after the Spring Festival, March is about to be ushered in, once the spring flowers bloom, the futureCorn**It's difficult**. Second, demand after the year is even more worrisome. Pig prices have been sharply ** years ago, and after the year it is recognized as the off-season, demand will only become more sluggish and will not be able to boostCornMarket. Third, the market sentiment has fallen into chaos before the year, can it get better after the year? So I think years agoCornNot the most worrying, after all, sooner or later the demand side will pick up. But the ** after the year will become confusing. If we use the analogy of walking at night, although the road was dark years ago, as long as there is a flashlight to illuminate, we can still move slowly. However, the situation after the year is completely different, we can't even see the road clearly, we don't know if there is a road to go, or the road is in **. years laterCornThe market will be full of uncertainty.
From ShandongCornThe uncertainty of the *** trend to the Northeast marketCornThe market is facing huge challenges. Although Shandong's decline is not expected to be realisticSupply and demandIt had too much impact, but the fluctuation of market sentiment became the main reason for the decline. And in the Northeast, the market is worriedCornThe outflow will lead to shortages, further exacerbating market volatility. Especially for large-scale deep processing enterprises in Northeast China, they are concerned about both short-term and long-term stability. And as the year approaches,CornThe market also faces more complex challenges. Weak demand and volatile market sentiment have become the main concerns after the year. Either wayQuotientOr acquirers, they are thinking about how to deal with unknown market changes. While the current situation may be worrying, I believe that as long as we make timely adjustments and remain rationalCornThe market will be able to get through this difficult period and eventually recover forCornThe new normal of the market, as well as what lies ahead, the author offers a number of perspectives and concerns. First of all, the author points out ShandongCorn**Suddenly** is the result of emotion, with realitySupply and demandNot big, but when sentiment pushes, it may decrease, and it may rise. Secondly, the author also emphasizes the importance of the Northeast market onceCornThe outflow will cause difficulties for **. In addition, the author is worried about the years after the yearCorn**, think that factors such as declining demand and chaotic market sentiment after the year will be rightCornThe market creates uncertainty and challenges. Finally, the author calls on everyone to remain rational and adjust their expectations for the market in order to cope with possible uncertainties in the future.
Overall, this material is for:CornThe analysis of the market is relatively objective, and the different situations of the Shandong and Northeast markets and the problems that may arise in the future are analyzed in detail. At the same time, the author also gives some suggestions and reflections, which provide readers with a certain reference.