Since the beginning of 2024, our countryHogs**Continuous**, whilePiglets** It has fallen to the level of halving. According to the monitoring of pig data, on January 4, outside the countryTernaryHogsThe average price is 1433 yuan kg, 15 kg outsideTernaryPigletsThe average price is 2192 yuan kg, both of which show weakness and pessimism in the market. The regions are also presentedPiglets**Continued downturn: The mainstream prices in Jilin, Hebei, Shandong and Henan provinces in the northern region are all between 270-390 yuan, while in the southern region in Hubei, Sichuan, Guangxi and Anhui provinces are between 255-400 yuan. PigletsThe cold situation is difficult to change, which has brought a huge amount to the farmersEconomyPressure.
PigletswithHogs**of** is not accidental, but originates from the current countryHogsThe situation of obvious overcapacity. The data shows that for the whole of 2023HogsThe total number of slaughtered heads may reach 800 million, while the market demand is only about 700 million headsOvercapacityHighlight. In this case, the pig price cannot be sustained**, but has been hovering at a low level. Many farmers have said that if they want to make a turnaround, they must vigorously reduce production capacity, but in fact,HogsThe process of de-capacitation is very slow and worrying.
For reliefHogsThe dilemma of the market,AgricultureRuralOn December 26, 2023, the Ministry released theHogsCapacityRegulationImplementation plan", put forward the "productionRegulationand "market."Regulation"A two-pronged approach. The program is designed to be driven by precise production early warning guidanceHogsProduction capacity is stable at a reasonable level.
From a policy point of view,AgricultureRuralMinistryRegulationThe measures are timely and necessary. However, for farmers, the introduction of the policy does not mean that pig prices can be rapid. At present, farmers are facing multiple problems such as financial constraints, and they must adjust their development strategies and reflect on the "bad consequences" brought about by previous expansion. Only through the joint efforts of the whole society can we gradually overcome the current predicament.
When will we be able to see a real turnaround in pig prices, it is undoubtedly the most concerned issue for current farmers. However, there is no one definitive answer to this question. We can think about it in terms of the following:
First of all,HogsThe process of capacity reduction takes time, and farmers should seize the time to clean up and integrate production capacity to reduce the impact of excess capacity.
Secondly, the ** departmentRegulationThe policy needs to be strengthened and strengthened, and more precise measures are taken to stabilize the market and provide a certain guarantee for the highest pig price.
In addition, optimizing the management and technical level of aquaculture enterprises, improving production efficiency and reducing costs are important measures to cope with the current situation.
Finally, actively looking for new market opportunities and sales channels, broadening sales channels, and developing a diversified business model, can provide more development space for farmers.
In the context of low pig prices, farmers need to closely cooperate with the policies of the first department and work together to tide over the difficulties and usher in a real turnaround in pig prices.
In short, the current pig market in China is in the doldrumsPiglets**Cut in half, the main reason:HogsThere is a clear overcapacity. AgricultureRuralThe ministry proposes a two-pronged approachRegulationThe capacity policy has a certain positive significance for alleviating the market dilemma. However, farmers still need to actively adjust their development strategies under the guidance of policies and find a path for transformation and breakthrough. Only by removing excess capacity, improving management level, and opening up sales channels can we create good conditions for the recovery of pig prices. I believe that with the joint efforts of the whole society, we will be able to usher in a real turnaround in pig prices.