Wen Laomo.
In fact, when we look at real estate data, we can already understand a lot of information. According to a survey by the Shell Research Institute, the sales area of new and second-hand houses in the country in 2023 will be 15100 million square meters, sales amount 174 trillion yuan, respectively year-on-year8%。
Among them, a total of 5.96 million second-hand houses were sold, with a transaction area of 5700 million square meters, the transaction amount is 71 trillion yuan, respectively year-on-year **44% and 30%. The situation of new houses is obviously not so good, not only the transaction amount is **6 year-on-year0%, and the transaction area is **8 year-on-year2%。
Needless to say, these two data are enough to illustrate one point, that is, second-hand houses are easy to sell, but new houses are difficult to sell. On the surface, this seems to be very good for the 42% of families in our country who own multiple homes, but in fact it may not be the case.
In the coming period, these 42% of urban households may also face 3 problems, and it is recommended to prepare in advance.
According to the survey of the Shell Research Institute, although the number of second-hand houses in 50 key cities across the country in 2023 will increase by 20% year-on-year, and it will soar by 60% compared with three years ago, because of the increasing number of listings, the transaction probability of many ** is still low.
In 50 key cities, the proportion of second-hand houses is close to 30%, and as many as 35% of them have not adjusted their prices within 90 days.
So we can conclude that even at the moment, there is no shortage of demand for housing in the property market, but with the increasing number of overall listings and the pressure of competition, it seems that the house is difficult to sell in comparison, and some owners do not want to reduce the price, and the house is definitely difficult to sell.
In fact, this is one of the main characteristics of the buyer's market, to put it bluntly, as long as there is a part of the ** price reduction, then in the eyes of our buyers, it must be the first choice of low-cost housing.
Do you remember? When you bought a house 3 years ago, did you say to you that the house price in a good area is more than 20,000 square meters, and you want to rise to 230,000 square meters is very difficult, and the housing price in remote areas is only 130,000 flat, but up to 160,000 square meters is much easier, and you can earn more.
In fact, many of us have been fooled in the past, and it is true that the housing prices in remote areas are low, and there is more room for appreciation. However, we are overlooking a crucial issue.
It's hard, even quite hard, in the later stages. It's not that I'm playing tricks, in fact, one of the main reasons for us to buy a house is to settle down, so if you want to settle down, you definitely need to find a job, although the housing prices in remote areas are low, but commuting takes a lot of time.
Therefore, during the investment period, no matter what the reason, the house in the remote area can still be sold, but as long as it is the self-occupation period, the transaction is not so easy, not to mention that with the continuous improvement of income level, we are more and more emphasizing the quality of life, and the location is even more important.
In fact, with the emergence of China's "three 1 billion" goals, I always feel that housing prices are difficult. Speaking of which, we must first figure out what the "three billions" are:
Clause. 1. In the next 5 to 10 years, an average annual completed area of 1 billion square meters may be the norm; Clause.
2. Continuously improve the quality of houses, so as to improve the living needs of 1 billion people; Clause.
3. Construct or renovate urban villages and affordable housing of more than 1 billion square meters.
What can you find out about these few data? To put it bluntly, the core of the future property market trend is those two words, stabilization. And in the past, the key to the sustained housing price was to make a quick transaction, isn't this understandable? As long as the volume of transactions decreases, it will be difficult for house prices**.
The 42% of families with multiple suites are likely to be affected, regardless of whether they have investment plans or not, they will actually be affected to a greater or lesser extent, so it is natural to prepare in advance.
In summary:
The above information is for discussion only, without any directional views, and does not involve the decline of the property market. In fact, this is also an inevitable phenomenon of the development of the property market, whether it is up or down is very normal.
It's just that for us, ups and downs mean gains or losses, which is an important factor.
What do you think about this?
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February** Dynamic Incentive Program