As a sensitive area of the global village, the Middle East deserves to be the Middle East, always at the center of the whirlpool. At around 1 p.m. on February 25, on International Avenue in Washington, a man dressed in a beautiful ** suit gradually approached the Israeli Embassy in the United States. He said to the camera, "My name is Aaron Bushnell, I'm an active duty member of the U.S. Air Force, and I'm no longer going to be involved in the genocide." I'm about to take extreme ** action, but it's not extreme at all compared to what the Palestinians are experiencing. ”
He then went to the Israeli embassy in the United States, poured the liquid from the bottle in his left hand on his body, lit a lighter, and shouted "Free Palestine".
This incident shook the world, and at the same time it means that the question of Palestine is really worrying.
01 Just when everyone is accustomed to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Palestine has made a new big move. 26 February, Palestinian Prime MinisterAshtyaIn the West Bank city of Ramallah announced:Palestinian** resigned。That's a lot of information. Note that it was not the Prime Minister who resigned, but the entire **. So-calledResignation, in fact, it means that Palestine is now dissolved, and all existing politicians give up power in their hands; To reorganize a new type of **, that is, to redistribute power. Under what circumstances will a new ** be formed? That is, the old model can't be played, so the new model will be engaged. As the saying goes, power is deadly poison, but politicians will not abandon the old model (power in their hands) if they have the slightest possibility. A few more words here: After the partition of Palestine and Israel in 1947, due to the intricate relationship between the Arab world, the countries of the Middle East, and the world pattern, Palestine missed the first excellent opportunity to establish a state.
After a series of wars in the Middle East and the Arab world found that Israel could not be eliminated, PLO leader Yasser Arafat proclaimed Palestinian state on November 15, 1988, through a series of games. Of course, until now, Palestine has not been a full member of the United Nations, has no voting rights, and only has observer status; Strictly speaking, it is still not a country in the true sense of the word. In today's world, many countries sympathize with Palestine and recognize Palestine as a normal country. But most countries, especially in the Arab world, recognize Fatah (Arafat's faction) as representing Palestine. The reason is simple: Fatah has gone from radical to peaceful and does not threaten the happy life of the Arab world's elites. But the peaceful Fatah also lost its combat effectiveness, and was unable to establish effective rule in the Gaza Strip, and was soon driven out of the Gaza Strip by the radical Hamas. So Fatah and Hamas are in a hostile relationship. The so-called Palestine** controlled by Fatah has jurisdiction over only the West Bank. According to the rules of the game in Palestine: the Prime Minister of Palestine is the head of the country and is responsible for managing the day-to-day activities of Palestine. The Palestinian Prime Minister is neither elected by the Palestinian parliament nor by the Palestinian people; Rather, it was appointed by the Palestinians. Therefore, the head of state in power in Palestine is **, and the current ** is called Abbas. 02 The new type of ** that Ashtiya hopes to establish is a professional and technical Palestine**. According to the Jerusalem newspaperHamas also wants to form a technical expertise to rebuild Gaza and restore security to the Gaza Strip after the war。What is Expertise**? Roughly speaking, it is not affiliated with any Palestinian political party, and is taken over by professional independents during the initial transition phase until elections are held later. In other words, Hamas and Fatah have a consensus on the formation of a new **. You must know that Hamas and Fatah are bitter enemies. In Fatah's eyes, Hamas is a ** element. In Hamas's eyes, Fatah is jihadist revisionism. When the two were fighting for control of Gaza, it was a fight to the death. In this Palestinian-Israeli war, Israel and Hamas have always been fighting, and Fatah plays the role of an enthusiastic spectator in the West Bank, with his eyes wide open, hoping that Israel will blow Hamas to the ground. Hamas also hoped to provoking Israel to gain control of the whole of Palestine and make Fatah disappear. Why is there a consensus between Fatah and Hamas? In the words of a saying circulating in the melon-eating world, this is a big game of chess. 03 The reason why Fatah does not agree with Hamas's radical struggle is that Fatah was also radical back then, but he really couldn't shake Israel, which was fully supported by the United States, and not only made himself bruised, but also made Egypt, Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan scorched. So Fatah does not like Hamas and does not do anything as Israel attacks Hamas. This time, Fatah wants to reshuffle **, that is, abandon the original strategy of inaction. But Fatah's change is not for Hamas, but for the Gaza Strip. It has been months since Israel's military campaign in the Gaza Strip, and Hamas has lost control of the Gaza Strip under Israeli blows. So who will rule the Gaza Strip next?
If the Gaza Strip is returned to Hamas, Israel will certainly not rest on its laurels. So Hamas is very acquainted and agrees to create a new professional and technical Palestine**. Ostensibly, Hamas's relinquishment of control of the Gaza Strip is actually an opportunity to push for a ceasefire. After all, although Hamas is very radical, it is also flesh and blood, and it is not a wise choice to go toe-to-toe with Israel in such a part of the Gaza Strip. Hamas is a deep-rooted snake in the Gaza Strip, and as long as there is a ceasefire and no fighting, the advantage of playing hooliganism is still huge. If the Gaza Strip were to be ruled by Israel, none of the parties in the international community would agree to it. In fact, Israel is also riding a tiger, and it is extremely difficult to completely eliminate Hamas. What if Hamas is eliminated? At the beginning of the Middle East war, Israel also occupied the Gaza Strip and ruled for decades, but in the end it was still unable to absorb it. In the end, there was no choice but to cede control of the Gaza Strip to Fatah. Now Israel wants to rule the Gaza Strip, and it is more difficult than it was then. In doing so, Fatah sees an opportunity to replicate the move he made to take over the Gaza Strip from Israel. Fatah's wishful thinking is that Israel will drive Hamas out of the Gaza Strip so that he can pick peaches himself. This kind of thinking really has the flavor of Wang Jingwei using the hand of Japan to drive out Chiang Kai-shek and then establish a puppet regime himself. Therefore, the so-called ** reorganization of Palestine this time is essentially to break up the ** that could only control the West Bank, and then change the skin and try to include the Gaza Strip in it; Typical peach-picking strategy. The people who eat melons are very puzzled: if you want to gain the right to rule the Gaza Strip without doing anything, is there such a beautiful thing in the world? Sometimes it really is. 04 On the whole, Fatah regained control of the Gaza Strip, which is acceptable to all parties. First of all, at the level of the international community, Fatah represents the Palestinian mainstream. If Fatah were to take over the Gaza Strip, there would be little opposition from the international community. Secondly, in the Arab world, there is basically support for Fatah. Although a significant portion of Hamas's activities are funded by Arab countries, Hamas's leadership has lived in Qatar for many years; But the Arab elites, who live a happy life of spending, are not interested in the Hamas set, preferring the Fatah kind of flat-lying faction. This is why, after the outbreak of the war, Arab countries expressed support for Palestine, but not Hamas. If the war ends and the dominion of the Gaza Strip returns to Fatah, it is perfectly acceptable to the Arab countries. Therefore, this reorganization of Palestine is obviously not behind the operation of Palestine itself, and it is very likely that Arab countries are participating behind it.
Having said that, this style of playing big chess is not actually characteristic of the Arab world. Although the Arab countries are not powerful, they are essentially similar to the West, and they all pay attention to an eye for an eye and a tooth for a tooth. This mode of operation in Palestine is closer to the Eastern way of thinking. Maybe it's the Palestinians, maybe it's the rest of the Arab world that's looking to the East. Or in other words, the Eastern game mentality is spreading to the whole world. Now this kind of "peach picking" mentality in Palestine actually makes Israel very depressed. I spent so much money, fought so many battles, invested so many resources, sacrificed so many people, and in the end I might make wedding dresses for others, it's not cool to think about it.