The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) released a "Taiwan Strait Battle Exercise" in early 2024 and made a series of recommendations to the White House. The results of the deduction show that Japan's performance in the Battle of the Taiwan Strait will directly affect the success or failure of the war. CSIS believes that if Japan can cooperate with the US military in combat, although it may only undertake some secondary tasks, it can greatly alleviate the problem of troop shortage faced by the US military.
The CSIS exercise set up a number of variables, including whether the U.S. military would intervene immediately, whether it would send a sizable fleet close to the Taiwan Strait, and the position of the Philippines and Japan in the event of war. The results of the exercise show that if Japan maintains neutrality with the Philippines and prohibits the U.S. military from using military bases on its territory to participate in the war, the U.S. military will lose the ability to confront the PLA head-on, and it will be difficult to achieve victory in the end.
As a result, CSIS recommends that the White House ensure that Japan maintains a position that at least does not oppose the use of U.S. military assets in Japan and, if possible, strengthens Japan's comprehensive military alliance with the United States. Doing so would ensure that the U.S. military has sufficient survivability on military bases in mainland Japan and the Philippines to serve as a fulcrum for the front of the Taiwan Strait, thereby alleviating the shortage of troops.
In conclusion, the results of the CSIS exercise emphasize Japan's important role in the Taiwan Strait Campaign, and it is believed that Japan's cooperation will have a significant impact on the outcome of the war. Therefore, the United States should actively cooperate with Japan to ensure its support and participation in US military operations. The article discusses a recent report published by the American think tank CSIS, which recommended that the United States take risky actions in a war in the Taiwan Strait and use Japan as a forward base.
Finally, the article argues that the United States may want China to take the initiative to make it easier to unify domestic opinions and send them a script for the Pacific War, but neither China nor the Taiwan authorities are likely to take the initiative to go to war. Will the South China Sea issue become a battlefield in the future? This is a matter of great concern.
Judging from the current situation, the U.S. military posture in the South China Sea is more favorable than the Taiwan Strait, and the decision of the Philippines may also prompt the United States to strike first in the South China Sea. So, how should we look at this? First of all, we need to make it clear that the Taiwan authorities may not take the action of enacting legislation. Despite the tension, the Taiwan authorities are well aware that doing so will lead to the severance of economic and trade relations with the mainland, and the benefits will not be high.
Therefore, the current focus is on maintaining peace and stability in the world. However, the South China Sea issue cannot be ignored. At present, the posture of the US military in the South China Sea is relatively favorable, which makes the South China Sea an area of great concern. According to some observers, the United States may choose to strike first in the South China Sea in order to safeguard its interests in the Asia-Pacific region. In addition, the decision of the Philippines** could also escalate tensions in the South China Sea.
As one of the parties to the South China Sea dispute, the Philippines' decision will directly affect the direction of the South China Sea. If the Philippines chooses to rely solely on the United States, the South China Sea issue could be further complicated. So, will the South China Sea issue become a battlefield in the future? This is a controversial issue. On the one hand, the South China Sea region is rich in resources and important sea lanes, and all countries want to gain benefits in the region.
On the other hand, the current situation has not reached the level of a full-blown conflict, and there is still a consensus on all parties to maintain peace and stability. However, we cannot ignore the geopolitical factors behind the South China Sea issue. The geopolitics of the South China Sea region is complex, involving the interests and influence of multiple countries. If the parties are unable to resolve the dispute through dialogue and negotiation, then the South China Sea issue could further escalate or even evolve into a conflict.
On this issue, we need to remain calm and rational. All parties should resolve disputes through dialogue and negotiation and jointly maintain peace and stability in the South China Sea. At the same time, the international community should strengthen cooperation and jointly promote the settlement of the South China Sea issue. Overall, the South China Sea issue is a complex and sensitive issue. Although the current situation is tense, the two sides still have a consensus on maintaining peace and stability.
However, as geopolitical factors continue to develop, the South China Sea issue may become a battleground in the future. Therefore, all parties should remain calm and rational, resolve disputes through dialogue and negotiation, and jointly maintain peace and stability in the South China Sea. Only in this way can we achieve a win-win situation.