Introduction: Giving birth to a dragon baby in the Year of the Dragon is the wish of many Chinese, can the number of newborns exceed 10 million this year? Why is it that the more modernized, the lower the fertility rate?
Just after Chinese New Year's Eve, at the beginning of the new year, the good news of the birth of the "dragon baby" was sent from all over the country.
The dragon is one of the symbols of China, and it also has the auspicious meaning of outstanding, strong and brave. Therefore, many couples who are trying to conceive want to have a "dragon baby" in the Year of the Dragon.
The last year of the dragon was 2012.
According to authoritative statistics, the number of births in China in 2012 was 19.73 million, while the births in 2011 and 2013 were 17.97 million and 17.76 million. In order to have a baby dragon, the number of newborns increased by 2 million in 2012.
In 2023, there will be a total of 9.05 million newborns in China, and according to the situation in 2012, the number of newborns in the Year of the Dragon is expected to exceed 10 million.
So, will the Year of the Dragon in 2024 be able to bring a wave of fertility?
In 2023, with the end of the epidemic and the return to normal production and life, many delayed marriage and childbirth plans will also be put back on the agenda.
Therefore, from the middle to late lunar month, a wave of marriage began. Wedding motorcades can be seen almost every day, and there are large wedding posters outside restaurants all over the city.
In addition to getting married, there are many couples who are trying to conceive and are also calculating their due dates and preparing to have a dragon baby in 2024.
In this way, this year's fertility rate is likely to usher in a small recovery.
But judging from the general trend, it is difficult for dragon babies to soar with the fertility rate.
In today's China, the fertility rate has become a major social pain point, and many people are worried that the future reduction of the labor force will seriously hinder the country's development and the improvement of living standards.
From the perspective of personal life, many middle-aged and elderly people continue to urge marriage and birth out of the traditional idea of "passing incense". There are even some middle-aged and elderly people who tell their children that even if they get married and divorced, they must at least have a queen.
For young people, such words are very harsh.
Young people, who are the main force of childbearing, complain of high pressure in life, unstable income, high cost of raising children, and dare not get married and have children.
At the same time, on the Internet, this kind of voice is constantly amplified, and some young people are affected, putting on a confrontational posture, claiming that they deliberately do not marry and have children, and they are angry with you.
Excluding the confrontation of these sentiments, we still have to look at the problem of declining fertility from the perspective of social development.
In fact, Marx pointed out long ago that with the development of social industrialization, the population must decrease.
In the era of smallholder economy, the family was the unit of production, while in the industrial age, the family was the unit of consumption. Therefore, for the current generation, if you want to calculate the economic account, many people are unwilling to afford marriage and childbearing.
Without 30 acres of land and a cow, who wants to want their wives and children to be hot on the kang?
As a result, almost all developed industrial countries have experienced a decline in fertility, even when the economy is strong (the United States seems to be an exception, but in fact, the main ethnic group has shrunk so badly that it has threatened the very existence of the United States).
Therefore, in order to solve the problem of population balance, we also need to look at the long-term and grand historical development. This is beyond the scope of this article.
In terms of personal life, middle-aged and elderly people should first see the difficulties of young people, don't push their children too hard, twist the melon is not sweet, and don't turn family reunion into collective marriage.
At the same time, young people should also have an open mind about marriage
Some people don't live a chic life without getting married, and some people only get on the right track after they get married;
Some people go on blind dates everywhere but find a good match, some people resist blind dates, but they fall in love at first sight when they go on a blind date;
Life circumstances are unpredictable, who can say for sure what will happen in the future? It is not necessary to deliberately not marry and have children, and if the flag is too high, it is easy to trigger the "law of true fragrance".
In short, whether it is parents or children, they must be open-minded, believe in fate, and follow the trend.
Finally, Qiangqiang parents wish everyone all the best, peace and happiness in the new year!
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