The latest battlefield developments show that Russian forces have launched a full-scale charge on the Ukrainian front, while fierce offensive operations have been launched on eight fronts. This situation has aroused people's attention and reflection on the progress of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Although the Ukrainian military claimed to have successfully repelled itRussian armybut we have to admit that the Russian army seems to be gradually gaining the initiative on the battlefield. Russian armyTake advantage of the opportunity when Western assistance to Ukraine is weak and Ukraine is frustrated, and force the Ukrainian side to make some benefits on the frontRussian armychanges.
The Ukrainian army has suffered huge losses in 2023, seriously weakening its overall war potential. In particularThe defeat in the battle of Mutt shows the mistakes of the Ukrainian army in strategic decision-making. Ukraine is inDuring the Battle of Mutter, a large number of troops and equipment were concentrated, which led to a lack of momentum for the offensive in other directions. It is because of this that the Russian army was able to quickly build up in the winter and spring"Surovikin Line", so that the Ukrainian army lost a large amount of main battle equipment in the subsequent ** operation, thereby weakening its offensive and defensive capabilities.
Not only that, but the Ukrainian army is still thereRussian armyof"Surovikin Line"has suffered from untold numbers**. According to Western estimates, Ukraine lost at least 50,000 people in the operation, and there are even more pessimistic estimates that raise this figure to 150,000. Combined with telecom operatorsKievAccording to the data on the death of the Ukrainian army disclosed by the Star in a promotional video, the number of ** in the Ukrainian army may have exceeded one million. Such a number is extremely high in the population of Ukraine, which deprives Ukraine of the ability to maintain the stability of the country's functioning. Although Ukraine currently receives aid and support from NATO, it remains to be seen whether this support will be sustained over time. Once Ukraine loses external aid, it will become even more vulnerable in the face of domestic difficulties.
In the face of this strategic situation,Russian armyI can't help but have the idea of trying to test the state of the Ukrainian army. By launching an offensive on 8 fronts, they tried to find out the weaknesses of the Ukrainian army's defense line and provide intelligence support for further planning for a larger offensive in the future. At present, Ukraine realizes that it is the wrong decision to continue to wear down with Russia, so it has shifted to a strategic defensive posture and started building"Surovikin Line"。However, the equipment and depth of this line of defense were insufficient, and its exact effect remains to be seen.
The change in the strategic situation is not just about itMilitarylevel, but also involved in UkrainePoliticschanges. Ukraine's support for Zelensky has dropped significantly, and some rumors even believe that the WestInternationalZaluzhny will be supported to replace Zelensky. Although this is just a rumor, for Russia, it is necessary to divide Ukraine through front-line pressurePoliticsLeadership is an effective strategy. In this case, the strategic situation in Ukraine is bound to deteriorate further in 2024. If the Ukrainian leadership is unable to cope with such a change, it is unlikely that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will actually cease fire in 2024.
Changes on the battlefield in Ukraine have raised concerns about Ukraine's future prospects. From the decline in support within Ukraine and Western countries to the huge ** of the Ukrainian army, as well as the gradual shift in the initiative on the battlefield, these have had a serious impact on the stability of Ukraine and the ability of the state apparatus to function.
Ukraine's losses have already exceeded 3% of the total population of Ukraine, which deprives Ukraine of the ability to maintain the stable functioning of the state apparatus. Ukraine has been able to barely survive for now, largely thanks to NATO support. However, it is unknown whether Ukraine will be able to receive external assistance on a sustained basis over time. If Ukraine loses this external blood supply channel, it will become even more vulnerable in the face of internal difficulties.
Changes on the battlefield in Ukraine have also raised concerns about the Ukrainian leadership. Zelensky's support has declined, and rumors about Zaluzhny are circulating. Russia has also used this pressure to try to divide UkrainePoliticsLeadership. In this case, within UkrainePoliticsis likely to intensify further, which in turn could have a significant impact on Ukraine's stability.
At a strategic level, the Ukrainian army is resistingRussian armysuffered heavy losses during the offensive. The previous ** actions of the Ukrainian army were thwarted, and inThe battle of Mutter took a huge price. The overall combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army has been seriously weakened, and it will be a long and difficult process for the Ukrainian army to restore its strength and strengthen its combat readiness.
There are many uncertainties in the future prospects of Ukraine. The evolution of the situation on the battlefield, domesticPoliticsand the continuation of external aid will have an important impact on the direction of Ukraine. Ukraine needs to take proactive and informed decisions to meet the challenges posed by changes on the battlefield and stabilize the countryPoliticsSituation. At the same time,InternationalSociety should also continue to pay attention to Ukraine and provide it with support and assistance to help Ukraine get out of its current predicament.