There is a saying in A-shares that "unpredictable things can happen at any time, and you must remember that there is always a risk in investing". What do you mean? The meaning is very simple, ** is the probability of speculation, there is no 100% winning rate, even if there is a 99% chance of success, there will be 1% unpredictable results. There will always be risks in investment, and it is necessary to do a good job of controlling risks, so as to remember the risks, and to achieve success with less losses and more wins.
This year's trend should be more confident and more expected. After the Lantern Festival, I chatted with three or two friends about the trend of big A, chatted and chatted, and I found thatThere are quite a lot of stockholders, even if the Shanghai Stock Exchange rises to 3,000 points, they still don't have much confidence, I think how much it will rise, and how much it will fall in the future, all make the ** in the previous years scared.
*, if it rises too sharply, it will chase up, and if it falls too much, it will kill the fall, which cannot change the problem of chasing up and down, and the mentality is not mature. Big A has a habit of falling sharply every few years, and the follow-up will "save the market", and the trend will rise back. I also said at 2800 points on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, how much 3000 points **, how much will it rise back. I just want to tell everyone,This year's trend, we must have more confidence, but also more expectations, maybe the bear is gone, the bull has come.
**Eight consecutive yang, too rare, there are only a handful of trends in history that exceed eight consecutive yang. However, the rise is all blue-chip weights, and most of the theme stocks have not moved. Why is this happening, the weights that have risen are all blue chips, and only the index has risen, what is the use of this kind of **?
There is a saying that the weight rises first, and then the three ** fingers can be pulled. When it rises to a critical point, the funds begin to come in to pick up chips, and the theme will be **. This kind of law has been experienced in most bull markets in history. It's that Big A falls to January 2024, the transaction is no longer good, and the confidence is also very poor. There must be a plate that rises first.
In 2023, we talked about the valuation system with Chinese characteristics, and the blue-chip weight rose at that time, and this year is also this good, and the blue-chip weight has risen again. In 2024, this style will come again, and you will see big finance**, on the oil sector. They have risen first, and they have taken the ** Eight Consecutive Yang, and there will be incremental funds in the future, and the theme can be active.
I have 2 predictions for next week's trendFirst, it will stay at 3,000 points next week and rise to 3,050 points. The reason is that the current big A has risen too sharply, but there are still too few transactions. If the transaction reaches trillions, the trend will be higher, and the funds will come in and continue to rise next week.
Second, 3,000 points fell to 2,970 points, and then began to continue to soar。But falling below 3000 points is to make the main force feel that this position may be the top and is about to start running. Wash off some chips and then rise to 3050. Whether it is first**, or first**and then **, the direction of the rise has not changed.
It's not over yetThe trend after the year, there is a detail, every time the disk sees the trend of smashing, it seems that there are funds to continue to pull the big A up。On Friday, it can stay at 3,000 points, and there are also funds pulling the three **fingers**. At present, the direction of the market is set, that is, the direction of the rise, and it will continue to rise next week.
Therefore, it is enough to continue to be bullish, and now it is a matter of waiting for the bullish price to go through before being bearish. ButIf you want to be bearish, maybe not so early, because you can't see the high place at all。The trend of the three ** fingers, if ** is not the bottom, this year's high text, will exceed most people's expectations.
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