In the blink of an eye, it has been two years since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, the two sides are still fighting fiercely, and the flames of war are still burning, which is the longest high-intensity armed conflict after the end of the Cold War, both countries have suffered heavy losses, and this war has not only had a huge impact on Russia and Ukraine, but also has a huge impact on the world pattern and global order.
Two years of fierce conflict, in fact, has become the largest number of wars in Europe after World War II, according to the data released by the United States and British research institutions, the Russian army has reached 31 in the past two years50,000, of which 150,000 were killed, while the Ukrainian side may lose as many as 500,000 people, which can be described as an extremely tragic war of attrition, reminiscent of the famous saying "soldiers are the fuel of war".
Such a war of attrition would be unbearable for both countries, and the hatred caused by the war may not return to normal relations between the two countries for a hundred years. Ukraine has now lost half of its population, with 14 million people turned into refugees, more than 5 million of whom fled to Poland.
The losses to the economies of both countries are equally enormous, with Russia's direct military spending already reaching $211 billion, an average of $10 billion per month, and the subsequent impact on its economies could reach $1 trillion by 2026.
A report by the Kyiv School of Economics in Ukraine shows that Ukraine's lost infrastructure such as houses, bridges, roads and other infrastructure has reached $210 billion, and Ukraine's GDP has fallen by 36% in the past two years.
This may not include Ukraine's post-war foreign debt, and it is doubtful that as the war drags on, Western countries will be able to provide such large-scale assistance.
The World Bank has made a report that about $350 billion is needed for Ukraine's post-war reconstruction, and to restore it to the pre-war level, it is not only a matter of rebuilding infrastructure, but also restoring production to bring the economy into a normal cycle, which is also unimaginable at present.
It is still impossible to talk about who will win and who will lose, the two sides have entered a war of attrition, and there is an opinion that it will even last for 5-10 years, no matter how the conflict ends in the future, Russia and Ukraine are a lose-lose. Who is the biggest loser in this conflict, of course, is that Ukraine, and in particular, the Ukrainian people have suffered significant damage. Russia is also a loser, constantly being consumed by bloodletting, and the losses from Western sanctions are also very huge. And Europe will inevitably become the loser, although it has spared little effort in military assistance to Ukraine, but this is a lack of political wisdom, and quelling the war is to protect Ukraine, to protect Europe itself, not to burn the fire around it even more.
For the world, in the fields of politics, economy, security, science and technology, energy, etc., this conflict has brought unprecedented impact, intensified the global camp confrontation, energy, food and other major fluctuations, and the global chain system has been impacted. It can be said that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has accelerated the "century-old changes" in the global pattern, and the world has entered a world of great contention, and how to reverse this situation, rebuild the international security order, and maintain world peace and development has become the most important issue in the world today.
Take a look at the news knews reporter: Li Suning).