As the saying goes, "the anode produces yin, and the cathode produces yang", which means that in some extreme cases, it is easy to reverse the change, and the pole of things must be reversed.
It may seem easier to understandHowever, in the actual process, there are no changes that must be reversed, and some positive factors are needed to catalyze them, and only by discovering this can you better grasp such a change.
On the other hand, this sentence is also effective in our market, the market is still very weak, and the trading volume is also maintained at the level of local volume, which means that this is a relatively extreme situation at presentBut when there is a reversal, then we need to focus on observing when the positive change will occur, and before it appears, it is still necessary to be patient.
However, behind the weakness of the market, it is always easy to change beyond expectations, and the recent strong performance of the food processing sector has vividly demonstrated this phenomenon, among which the most prominent performance is the three squirrels.
At noon on January 10, a "Notification Letter" of three squirrels (300783) (Wuhu) enterprise management was circulated on the Internet. The "Notification Letter" shows that"During the 2024 Goods Festival, the hot sales of the three squirrel gift boxes and gift package products under the distribution of ** have far exceeded expectations, and the current distribution of a full range of standard gift boxes and gift package products have been sold out across the board." According to the company's data, the company is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Three Squirrels.
Affected by this news, the three squirrels also once hit the price limit, and at the same time, everyone expected that other food processing companies would also be sold out of gifts, so the related ** also appeared relatively strong**.
The food sector has been in a long time since the collapse of the core assets, most varieties are basically halved and then halved, coupled with the slow recovery of consumption in recent years, food consumption has not seen signs of recovery, which is why they have been weak for a long time.
But because of this weakness, and everyone is extremely pessimistic about this direction, as long as there is a more positive change, it is easy to have a change that will be reversed. And the news that the three squirrels gifts are sold out is a positive change, which triggers the change that everyone expects.
When the market has no new expectations and stories to tell, these logics that were not favored by everyone before, combined with the positive changes in certain events, may become new short-term investment opportunities.
If you dig deep into the logic behind the food sector, it is actually an increase in demand for stocking near the Spring Festival, and this alone is not enough to lead to it, such a logic will exist every year, but not every year is explosive.
In fact, because of this logic, coupled with some positive changes in events, such logic will seem to be smoother, and naturally everyone's low expectations will be easily ignited.
Not only food, but also pork before, everyone will stock up near the Spring Festival, so everyone expects that the demand for pork will be relatively large.
But in fact, the reason why the stock price can rise for a period of time is because pork breeding enterprises have begun to turn losses into profits in the third quarter, although they are losing money year-on-year, but they are profitable compared with the first and second quarters of this year, so this is caused by positive changes.
Isn't it true that tourism, restaurants, and hotels have been strong lately? Because of the winter skiing and the catalysis of the Harbin Ice and Snow Culture Festival, the strength of the entire tourism, catering and hotels is because there is no new logic in the market, and these old themes and logics will be recognized and hyped by the market.
Is that the next old logic like this, before the market has a new logic, there are some positive changes in events, will it still get hype? I think this is the direction we should pay attention to, and it will most likely become one of the few opportunities in the market weakness.
The Three Squirrels distribution series stopped taking orders