After some twists and turns, corn is about to usher in a big rise after the year
What? Corn has been rising for so long, why hasn't it gone up?
Yes. After all, after the Spring Festival, the ** of corn will be very messy.
How chaotic is it? Its salient feature is the "4 chaos":
The climate is disordered, the information is disordered, the mood is disordered, the market is disordered.
Coupled with this "4 chaos", like dominoes, it was overthrown at once, and the entire corn market was plunged into chaos.
However, "chaos" is only on the surface, a chaotic world, but there is a "preface" hidden behind it. If the "order" is dominant, then where is the "order" of corn?
There is no other place but this "4 mess".
First, let's talk about the impact of climate on us.
He has said this eight hundred times.
I have to admit that this time the "changing sky" is really like the arrival of the Song River, it is really "timely rain". Due to the "opening and falling" of corn after the New Year, it seemed that it was about to continue to go down, but due to the weather, the decline was stopped at once.
But everyone knows that the climate is a double-sided knife, the amplitude of **is only**, not the amplitude of **, and the pressure to sell will only move backwards, not disappear.
But the market has overlooked one thing, and that is the alternation of hot and cold, which makes the moisture content of corn rise again.
There are already some corn that has started to dry out, and because of the climate, the moisture content will rise, which will reduce the quality of the corn.
Selling pressure has declined, quality has declined, and there is still a certain threat to corn.
Second, there is the inconsistency in intelligence.
When there is no news, they expect new information to appear, but there is so much information that it is difficult to distinguish the real from the fake, which is equally worrying.
There has been a lot of news lately, but one thing is for sure, and that is that the reserve is about to begin.
He has already said 800 times that increasing reserves is not to stimulate grain production, but to stimulate the market and increase reserves, and this is not a temporary measure, but a long-term plan.
Moreover, from the word "stability", it can also be seen that these two words, one is to stabilize the market, and the other is to stabilize development.
Therefore, to increase grain production by increasing reserves is like getting married to a bachelor, which is too whimsical.
Third, she has mixed feelings.
This year's ** is more sensitive to cereals.
Don't look at him now, he seems to be calm, but in fact he is an undercurrent, in such a situation, his spirit is highly concentrated, so his biggest characteristic is to overreact to information from the outside world.
And today, the bad news came, which made them extremely pessimistic.
There is good news tomorrow, and the optimistic mood is high, and I am as happy as if I am marrying a second wife.
Which one is right?
Of course not, it's just a feeling.
Emotions can only amplify or adjust this trend, but they cannot affect supply and demand. However, after the Spring Festival, the supply and demand relationship of corn has not changed much, and the sales pressure is still very great.
Finally, the chaos in the market.
Years ago, corn was first**, then **, and then **climax, all of a sudden.
The corn in the Northeast has not fallen, but there is not much momentum, but the climate has not changed, and when the temperature rises, it will definitely be **.
No matter what the news is, what the mood is, it will eventually return to the relationship between supply and demand, which is the real ** of corn.
As for next year's corn market, he has two views (not sure he's right):
One is that cereals **continue**.
Whether it is at home or abroad, the supply of corn is relatively abundant, so the ** of corn is not low, but more often when there is a shortage of food, no one can afford it.
Therefore, it is not wise to blindly chase high, especially in March, when corn is under obvious pressure.
Second, the fundamentals of corn are increasingly supportive.
The likelihood of a straight line of corn that was feared years ago is also gradually decreasing.
On the one hand, the increase in reserves gives a clear signal; In the second half of the year, the main driving force is still from the industry and large enterprises, although people are still waiting, but there is no doubt that this is the last opportunity to buy before the end of the year.
As the saying goes:
There is no end in sight to the corn market, and it is really troublesome to grasp it.
How can this be good? Take advantage of the situation and fight.
Thank you for reading! Like, like.