After the Spring Festival, the consumer market is "booming and declining", and a variety of agricultural and sideline products have shown a significant downward trend! Among them, in terms of pork, the price of live pigs after the festival has been reduced, and the wholesale price of pork has also been reduced, and the wholesale price of the front and rear buttocks in some areas has dropped to 8 yuan catty. In the beef and mutton market, due to the post-holiday consumption inertia, residents' meat consumption has cooled, and beef and mutton have been "greatly reduced"! In the egg market, after the year, the egg price is "chicken feathers", * showing a trend of diving, eggs fall back to "before liberation", in southwest Lu, 1 catty of eggs 3 yuan 4, and 1 catty of pancakes 5 yuan, eating eggs is cheaper than pancakes! So what's happening in the market? The specific analysis is as follows:
1. Pork dropped to 8 yuan!
After the Spring Festival, the domestic pig market is under pressure, although, in recent days, the trend of pig prices is slightly stronger, but, rationally, ** is still at a low level, the average price of pigs slaughtered is less than 69 yuan catty! Affected by the reduction of hairy pigs, the post-holiday consumption demand has weakened, and the white strip market has declined sharply3 yuan kg, down 2309 yuan kg, down 479 yuan kg, a decrease of 2074%！
Therefore, the average ex-factory price of white pigs in slaughtering enterprises has been sharply reduced, and different types of pork have also been significantly loosened in domestic mainstream consumer cities! Judging from the Beijing Xinfadi market, at present, the transaction price of white pigs is 825~9.25 yuan catty, front and rear pork buttocks ** at 8 9 yuan catty, pork belly ** at 105~12.5 yuan catty, pure lean meat ** at 95 10 yuan Jin ......
However, with the pig **, pork price reduction support weakened, especially, the consumer market has entered the off-season, downstream traders are mainly shrinking the volume and supporting the price, and the terminal retail ** or will enter the stage of stabilization! Some institutions estimate that in March, the rhythm of standard pig slaughter will reverse, pig prices will be supported and strengthened, and pork may have a slow upward trend!
Second, beef and mutton "big price reduction"!
In the beef and mutton market, among them, beef, according to institutional data, the average wholesale price of beef in the country will show a downward trend in 2023, and the average price of mutton will increase from 77 during the year69 yuan to 7154 yuan, a decrease of 79%！Before the Spring Festival, due to the rebound in terminal consumer demand, the average price of beef briefly fell below 70 yuan kg in early February, and there was a slight trend, however, after the Spring Festival, beef consumption demand was under pressure, and the average wholesale price of pork in the domestic agricultural product market fell to 6875 yuan kg, ** is at a new low in the stage!
It is understood that the beef market is sluggish, on the one hand, the domestic fattening cattle production capacity is sufficient, the cost of feed has decreased, and the center of gravity of fattening cattle has been continuously lowered, which has also forced beef to weaken; On the other hand, the domestic beef production is sufficient, the import of low-priced beef has increased, and the market supply is strong and the demand is weak! Superimposed, although there is a significant price reduction in beef, it is still at a high level, the pressure on the cost of living is high, the mentality of consumption substitution is enhanced, and the demand for follow-up after the holiday has weakened significantly!
Therefore, affected by multiple factors, beef ** fell more than once, some institutions believe that after the holiday consumption into the off-season, the center of gravity of beef in the future will still move down, fattening cattle market still has the risk of further decline, remind farmers to carefully arrange production capacity!
In terms of mutton, in the domestic agricultural product market, the wholesale price of mutton is 6472 yuan kg, netizens in many places feedback, after the Spring Festival, the retail sales of mutton ** slightly lowered, in southwest Lu, bone-in mutton ** is about 28 30 yuan catty! According to Beijing Xinfadi market, at present, the average wholesale price of whole sheep is 26 yuan catty, boneless lamb leg meat ** is 34 35 yuan, lamb chops ** is 25 26 yuan, and mutton slices are about 28 35 yuan catty!
At present, the domestic fresh mutton ** narrow decline, however, the import of mutton ** is still at a low level, part of the wholesale market imported mutton ** in about 17 yuan catty, of course, this is mainly due to the low cost of imported mutton, the cost of customs is only about 14 yuan catty! However, due to the increase in the scale of imported mutton, there is a certain impact on the fresh market, superimposed, the consumption inertia after the holiday has fallen, and in the short term, there is still a risk of decline in mutton!
Third, the price of eggs has dropped back to "before liberation"!
At present, the domestic egg ** has created a new low in the past three years, from the market feedback, at present, the domestic production and marketing market, the average wholesale price of eggs is 32 yuan catty, in Lunan and other places, the retail price of eggs in rural markets is only 3About 5 yuan catty!
The price of eggs has dropped back to "before liberation", and 1 catty of eggs is less than 1 catty of pancakes expensive! In recent days, in the author's hometown, the rural bazaar, the phenomenon of residents purchasing eggs to pickle has increased, but due to the overall downturn in consumption after the holiday, and the inventory pressure in all aspects of the production and marketing market is larger, the egg price support is slightly weak, and the market continues to grind the bottom trend!
According to the analysis of the institution, at present, the egg market is facing, the terminal consumer demand is weak, the downstream market is insufficient, the eggs are relatively cautious, and the production area is relatively loose, the laying hen inventory is running at a high level, the small and medium-sized eggs are overcapacity, the production area and the circulation link, the pressure on egg inventory is larger, the rhythm of downstream inventory is slow, and the market pressure is higher! Therefore, in the short term, egg prices may continue the trend of low adjustment, however, in March, with the resumption of purchase and sales of food enterprises, eggs just need to support stronger, the market hoarding is gradually consumed, and egg prices may enter a slow stage!
Pork dropped to 8 yuan, beef and mutton were "greatly reduced", and eggs were reduced back to "before liberation"! What's going onWhat do you think about this? The above is the author's personal opinion, **from the Internet!