Has the wind changed in relations with China? Indonesia has chosen a second Marcos to hand over Joko

Mondo Science Updated on 2024-02-20

Indonesia's ** fierce unfolding, the official vote count results were announced, and the newly elected ** identity is quite special, leaving the outgoing Jokowi behind. According to the statistics of a number of polling agencies in Indonesia, the winning combination is the current Defense Minister Prabowo and Jokowi's son Gibran, serving as ** and deputy ** respectively. It is worth noting that Prabowo is the son-in-law of Indonesia's former ** Suharto, and Suharto's China policy is not friendly, which has aroused the attention of the outside world about his China policy. Although Prabowo claims that he will continue to adhere to Jokowi's political line, there are still doubts about his attitude.

The combination behind the election has also raised concerns about whether Indonesia could move towards a similar path to the Philippines. The Philippines has historically had a combination of Marcos** and Duterte's daughter Sarah**, but their alliance has since broken down, leading to chaos in the country. During his tenure as defense minister, Prabowo stepped up the construction of the air force and navy, and cooperated with the United States, South Korea and other countries. Whether his coming to power will lead to Indonesia becoming another case similar to the Philippines has become a matter of great concern.

It is still unknown whether Prabowo will change his China policy after coming to power. Although he was questioned for his tough stance on China, during the election campaign, he adopted a pro-people image and made Jokowi's son a deputy to win over Jokowi's supporters. Prabowo has previously run for Indonesia** three times, but all of them have failed. In the end, he was invited by Jokowi to serve as defense minister, so he was able to continue to engage in politics. He is relatively weak politically against Jokowi. The reason why Jokowi let his son serve as a deputy ** may also be to maintain his influence and play the role of monitoring and reminding.

Whether Prabowo's rise to power will lead Indonesia down the same path as the Philippines remains to be seen in terms of how its foreign policy manifests. Indonesia is the largest country in ASEAN, and it is important for Indonesia to strengthen its voice within ASEAN. The cooperation between China and Indonesia is of great significance to Indonesia's economic development, especially since China is Indonesia's largest partner and foreign investment. Prabowo stressed the need to maintain friendly relations with China during the election campaign, and there are positive comments on China-Indonesia cooperation in Indonesia. Prabowo is likely to be cautious in his relations with China in order to safeguard his national interests.

Although we can only analyze and speculate at the moment, the direction of Indonesia's new leadership will still have an important impact on China-Indonesia relations. If Indonesia is willing to engage in friendly exchanges, China will also be happy to respond; However, if Indonesia harms China's national interests, we will also fight resolutely.

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