Hello everyone, I'm Lao Yang. Today, let's talk about the logic behind the recent continued strength of the bond market.
Since the beginning of the year, the bond market has performed strongly driven by multiple factors, with long-term Treasury bond interest rates hitting new lows, and on March 6, the 10-year Treasury bond yield fell below 23%。So, what is the reason behind this?
First, we need to look at the imbalance between supply and demand of assets. At the beginning of this year, the issuance of both local bonds and treasury bonds shrank sharply, but at the same time, the scale of foreign capital, wealth management, public offerings, and banks continued to rise, resulting in a high demand for bond allocation. This imbalance between supply and demand has caused obvious undermatch problems in institutions, which has promoted the bond market.
Secondly, the market's expectations of economic fundamentals are also an important factor affecting the bond market. At present, the market generally expects that the economic fundamentals will be weakly repaired, and the policy side will also steadily promote "care" measures. This expectation has led to a strong bullish trading sentiment, which has further contributed to the strength of the bond market**.
In addition, monetary policy is also an important factor affecting the bond market. Although the monetary policy has the consideration of "air defense" and external factors, "care" for the stability of liquidity is still the keynote. The overall easing of capital has enabled the bond market to continue to strengthen. At the same time, in the medium term, there is still a certain expectation of interest rate cuts in the market, which also provides impetus for the bond market.
So, what should we think about the subsequent development of the bond market? Lao Yang believes that the current economic fundamentals as a whole are still in the "vacuum period" of release, and the capital is expected to remain stable and balanced. However, with the successive introduction of the policies of the two sessions, the trend of the bond market will be uncertain. Therefore, we need to pay close attention to policy developments so that we can adjust our investment strategies in a timely manner.
At the same time, we should also note that the equity market has also been strong recently. As of March 6**, the CSI 300 has been strong in the past month**1096%, CSI 500**1995%。Driven by a combination of policy, funding and valuationThe bottom of the equity market is supported by strong support measures, and the downside is limited. This provides investors with more options to choose from.
Finally, for investors, the current allocation of pure debt strategy products is less cost-effective, while the flexibility and allocation value of "fixed income +" products, as a large type of asset allocation account, are highlighted in the current market environment. Therefore, we can actively pay attention and configure"Fixed Income +".products for a better return on investment.
In conclusion, there are multiple factors behind the continued strength of the bond market, and we need to pay close attention to market dynamics and policy changes in order to make more informed investment decisions.
Hotspot Engine Program