Earth is a special class, and every nation is a classmate in this class.
The Philippines' insistence on touching China is not actually the United States, but the same as Vietnam's provocation on the border in 1979, which has caused a huge strategic miscalculation against China. So what exactly is this strategic miscalculation?
In today's Earth class, we're going to talk about that.
Seeing that Southeast Asia, like Eastern Europe, may become a battlefield for the great power game, the ASEAN students represented by Vietnam and Indonesia are very nervous, so they decided to find the Philippines and persuade him.
The U.S. aircraft carrier prepares for joint exercises with the Philippines.
Indonesia: There are no outsiders today, Xiaofei, tell us, what do you think? If you have to touch the porcelain and China, the South China Sea will not be peaceful?
Malaysia: Indonesia, what else can you think about touching porcelain? It's nothing more than trying to extort a little benefit, what else can it be!
Indonesia: Don't interrupt! Who doesn't want benefits, the problem is that you have to be able to get it. You run to Azhong and say that the money in his hand belongs to your family, and if you mess around, he may be troublesome and will give you a little. The key is that now the Philippines wants to encroach on other people's territory, which is like running in front of Ah Zhong, pointing to one of Ah Zhong's arms and saying, Ah Zhong, your arm is mine, cut it off for me! How is this possible? It is possible to successfully touch porcelain, which is called touching porcelain; It is impossible to successfully touch porcelain, that is to die!
Philippines: Hey, you're too worried, I dare to touch porcelain, of course, because I don't dare to do anything to me.
After the Filipino students finished speaking, all the ASEAN students were a little speechless when they saw him full of confidence.
Cambodia: It's hard to persuade the ghosts who want to die, I think we should not waste our efforts in vain, and prepare for a feast.
Indonesia: No, it's not just about the Philippines, you don't want Southeast Asia to become another Eastern Europe, right? Xiaofei, why did you expect that Ah Zhong would not dare to do anything to you? Just because of the promises of the United States?
Singapore: Do you believe in the U.S. promise? I really don't know if you're naïve or bold? Not to mention how miserable Ukraine is now, when you and the Philippines concocted the "South China Sea Arbitration Case" in 2016, the United States also promised, right? Did he help you in the end? You live by the sea and fish for a living, but you can't turn yourself into a fish, you only have a 7-second memory!
PHILIPPINES: No, of course I know that the U.S. promises are unreliable. The crux of the problem lies in Ah Zhong himself. To make it clear, Afghanistan and China are now at a critical moment in the upgrading of the industrial chain, and they are being surrounded by the United States in all directions, at this time, he must maintain peace and stability in the South China Sea as much as possible, not for others and for himself. Otherwise, if there is a fight in the South China Sea, how can he concentrate on the upgrading of the domestic industrial chain? How to deal with the US encirclement?
Second Thomas Reef. At this moment, the students in ASEAN looked at each other, and they didn't know how to refute for a while.
After a while, the Vietnamese student sighed and began to speak.
Vietnam: Xiaofei, if I hadn't been here, I would have almost been persuaded by you if I had fought with Ah Zhong back then. Your idea is exactly the same as I did back then, but you, and I back then, ignored one of the most critical issues!
Philippines: Huh? What's the problem?
Vietnam: Quite simply, it's a matter of ability. To put it bluntly, even if you use the power of the whole country to make trouble for Ah Zhong, how much impact can you have on him?
Indonesia: Ah Yue, you made it clear.
Vietnam: This has to start in 1979, when the United States, the head of the study committee, formally established diplomatic relations under pressure from the Soviet Union, the deputy head of the study committee. Asu was very dissatisfied with this, plus we in Vietnam, we also wanted to be a "little overlord in Southeast Asia" at that time, so we hit it off and decided to give Azhong a little color to see.
Speaking of this, Vietnam paused and looked at the Filipino classmates.
Vietnam: At that time, we in Vietnam were so similar to you in the Philippines now! You are now opening a military base to the United States, and we are opening a military base in Cam Ranh Bay to the Soviet Union back then; Now the fierce game between China and the United States, Aramco brought bricks to put pressure on him at the door of the door of the Azerbaijan and China all day long, and the Soviet Union deployed millions of soldiers on the border to put pressure on the Agro-Chinese people; Even, after I really do it, although the Soviet Union does not dare to do it directly, it will give me billions of dollars in arms every year, and according to the current situation and way of doing things of the United States, if you really do something against Afghanistan and China, the United States will definitely help you with Philippine arms.
Indonesia: That's right, I know the rest of the story, Vietnam lost badly, and the Soviet Union was dragged down 10 years later. Xiaofei, a lesson from the past, you must be cautious!
Filipino retorted stiffly.
Philippines: This is different, now that the UAE and China are in a critical period, he will not do it for his own interests.
Vietnam: Hehe, I thought the same thing back then. In 1979, in the early days of the reform and opening up of the Arab and Chinese countries, the southeast coastal zone was the gateway for him to open up to the outside world.
The Philippines was a little stunned and subconsciously spoke.
Philippines: Yes, then why did he dare to do it, isn't he afraid that this will delay the great cause of reform and opening up?
Vietnam: As it turned out, he was not afraid. Or more accurately, we simply can't afford to delay him! I'll just tell you this, our Vietnam was known as the world's third largest military force at that time, with 1.5 million troops, with the aid of the Soviet Union, I thought that at least we could let Afghanistan and China retreat, but as soon as the war started, it didn't last for a month, a month, and it was pushed by Afghanistan and China not far from the capital.
Cambodia: I know, I know, the Arab and Chinese must have used a big roundabout tactic, right? That's his forte!
Vietnam retorted angrily.
Vietnam: What kind of interspersed detours, I thought so at first, I had already ambushed the army, and I was ready to give him a ruthless blow! Who would have thought that this kid in Ah Zhong had learned badly, saying that "if you are poor, you will intersperse tactics, and if you are rich, you will bomb the ground", and as soon as you come up, you will bomb and bomb, and several of our elite divisions will be blown up before we see their soldiers.
U.S.-ASEAN Summit.
Cambodia: Bomb Washing? Isn't this Aramco's tactic?
Vietnam: Don't mention this to me, I'll be angry when I mention it. Ah Zhong and Ami fought in North Korea, and they both became the people they hated the most, you dare to believe it, Ami used tactics against me frantically during the Vietnam War; As a result, as soon as Ah Zhong made a move, it was all bombs to wash the floor ......
Indonesia: Okay, okay, don't go off-topic. Xiaofei, I think Vietnam is right! You are now sure that Ah Zhong does not dare to do anything to you because he feels that once he fights, it will affect his development plan. The problem is, you obviously overestimate your own strength, no matter how strong your Philippines is, is it stronger than Vietnam, which was known as the third in the world back then?
The Philippines subconsciously shook his head.
Indonesia: That's right. Ah Zhong really doesn't want to fight now, but if it really starts, with the strength of your Philippines, it won't affect him at all! When the time comes, people will treat you as a place for him to train his troops, and at the same time continue to promote the upgrading of the industrial chain, without delay at all. Vietnam is an example, he has been fighting on and off on the border with Afghanistan and China for 10 years, and he has not developed at all, but has it affected the development of other people?
Philippines: But if the South China Sea is the best, his "One Belt, One Road" will not be easy, right?
Vietnam: Hehe, who gave you this confidence? There are only two ways to influence him to engage in the "Belt and Road", first, if you attack his merchant ships at sea, then please count on your fingers, how many ships does your family have, can you attack and harass China? When the time comes, I'm afraid that you will be completely blocked at the door of your house, and you won't be able to get into the water at all! Second, that is, you mobilize other students to stop cooperating with A-China, of course, you are not qualified to do this, you have to come to Ami. But ask yourself, how many of the more than 100 students in our Earth class are willing to do business with Argentina and China for the sake of your Philippines? I declare in advance, I definitely won't!
Malaysia: Neither will we.
Indonesia: We don't know anything around the South China Sea, let alone other students.
Philippines: ......But Ah Zhong just doesn't want to do it now, everyone can see this, right? He must have some concerns, otherwise why would he tolerate my provocation?
Vietnam: Hehe, have you ever heard a story called "Zheng Boke Duan Yu Yan"?
Philippines: What's that story?
Vietnam: To put it simply, there was a prince Zheng Bo in ancient times, his younger brother wanted to rebel, Zheng Bo knew it for a long time, but he didn't care, and he was very good to this younger brother, and when his brother really rebelled, Zheng Bo quickly pacified him.
Philippines: If you have the ability, why didn't you stop his brother from rebelling in the first place?
Vietnam: Because if you start from the beginning, the Chinese people will say that this brother bullies the younger and doesn't care for his younger brother! People are now tolerant of you, and that's to prevent future troubles. When he tolerates it in every possible way, and you Philippines still insist on touching porcelain, and finally cause a war, everyone will say, this Philippines should have fought a long time ago, and it is too appropriate for Argentina and China to fight him! Now do you understand?
Philippines: Uh......
Vietnam: Okay, that's all I have to say, how to choose, you decide. But just one point, if one day you beg for a hammer, don't say that we ASEAN family will not help you.
And just like that, today's story is over again.