The curtain of the United States has slowly opened, and the show is about to be grandly staged!
The first is the Democratic Party and the Republican Party primary, the first to start the Republican primary, currently there are only Trump and Haley two contenders, in the previous party primaries, Trump rode the dust, far exceeding Haley's support rate, all won several primaries, including the just-concluded Michigan election, Trump is significantly ahead of Haley, but even so, Haley has insisted on not withdrawing so far, It will be difficult for Trump to go straight to the next stage of his contest with the Democrats as the sole contender.
Yesterday in the party primary election in Michigan, Biden won by an overwhelming absolute majority, and in nearly half of the votes counted by the Democratic Party, Biden won 80% of the votes.
However, this landslide victory did not make the Biden team breathe a sigh of relief, but made the Biden team anxious, why? In the state, the non-statement rate in the Democratic Party has reached 13%, and the number of Democratic voters who chose "not to take a position" has exceeded 58,000, far exceeding the target of 10,000 "no statement" votes hoped by the initiators.
But what is worse is that these non-speakers are mainly from Arab-American voters, progressives and young people, who generally oppose Biden**'s opposition to Arab policy, especially the Palestinian-Israeli conflict. This part of the electorate accounts for a very large proportion, which casts a shadow over Biden's primaries in the party from the beginning.
Due to Biden's advanced age, many voters have expressed doubts about whether Biden can continue to hold on for another four years, and now these young people are dissatisfied with Biden's Middle East policy, and they will not come out in the party primary, which has to make Biden's election road confusing.
Judging from the current situation, the Republican Trump is riding the dust, has no opponent in the party, and has a great tendency to make a comeback, if Biden cannot win the absolute support of the party soon, even if he wins the final party primary, then he will face huge pressure and risks when facing Trump in the future.
If American voters choose Trump again, then in the future, both in the United States and the world, will face a great degree of uncertainty, especially the extreme nationalism caused by Trump's great admiration of America First, according to **, a recent three-day poll showed that about 21% of respondents said that "political extremism or threats to democracy" is the biggest problem facing the United States, which is slightly higher than the number of respondents who choose the economy (19%) and immigration (18%).
What does that mean? That is, the whole world is worried about the extremely uncertain environment brought about by Trump's inauguration, especially in Europe, where the United States was the only one in the past, and whether it will be abandoned by the United States in the future, the answer is almost yes!
So, in my opinion, instead of choosing a very uncertain Trump, it is better to choose a confused Biden, at least in the next four years, the world is more predictable, which may be a good thing for an already turbulent world!