How is China s grain production counted? Do you rely on guessing?

Mondo Three rural Updated on 2024-03-06

Follow the daily grain and oil to understand the global market dynamics.

According to sources from the industry, grain ships in the Black Sea or bound for Iran are currently the only grain ships still sailing in the Red Sea, thanks to Houthi vowed to crack down on American, British and Israeli ships passing through the Red Sea route.

According to the data collected by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, due to the obstruction of the Red Sea shipping lane, most cargo ships have chosen to detour, and the increase in logistics costs will eventually be reflected in the end consumer market, which may lead to food *** again

It is worth noting that the recent Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip has involved civilians in the area, and the door to peace talks has become tighter and tighter. Although the U.S. and its allies' Red Sea naval operations have been going on for weeks, it is clear that military means have failed to stop Houthi attacks and provide adequate protection for merchant ships, according to a businessman.

However, the merchant also said that a large amount of Ukrainian corn from Chinese buyers will still be shipped through the region in the near future, because a Houthi spokesman has previously said that it will not attack Chinese ships.

In the Black Sea grain export market, a recent wheat export tender in Turkey has also attracted market attention. According to an announcement from Turkey's National Food Council, the country plans to sell and export up to 150,000 tonnes of durum wheat.

More information also shows that the country has been exporting wheat to Mediterranean and Middle Eastern countries for the last two months, due to the country's bumper wheat harvest last year.

In addition, according to the historical data collected by the daily grain and oil, Turkey is not a traditional wheat exporter, especially after the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Turkey has become the second largest market for Russian wheat exports, and during September last year, Turkey also discussed a series of wheat export cooperation with Russia, including Russia to Turkey with 1 million tons of Russian grain, for Turkish enterprises to process and transport to the most needy countries.

In addition to the news we mentioned in the last issue that the grain reserves increase corn to curb the first month, the three northeastern provinces have also announced the soybean and corn planting subsidy standards for the new year.

Among them, in Jilin Province, the subsidy per mu of soybean producers in the eastern and western regions is about 280 yuan higher than that of corn producers, and about 400 yuan higher in the central region; In Liaoning Province, it has been stated that the soybean subsidy will be 350 yuan per mu higher than that of corn; In Heilongjiang, in principle, the subsidy for soybean producers is more than 350 yuan per mu.

In terms of grain output that the market is concerned about, in response to questions from the people, Tang Renjian, Minister of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, said that China's grain output figures are true and reliable, and are completely credible.

It has been learned that unlike the people's belief that China's grain output is reported by the localities level by level, China's grain output data is counted by the rural social and economic survey teams set up by the National Bureau of Statistics in various localities, and is finally counted according to the figures of the current season's actual harvest, actual harvest, and actual output.

For the market questioned the problem of bumper yields year after year, he said that in the past China's economic and technological level of the low background, there is indeed a "two abundance, one apology and one flat", but now with the irrigation technology, mechanization popularization, breeding technology and other aspects of the improvement, agricultural production has been very different from the past planting model, can no longer use the past thinking to look at the current agricultural production.

As for the issue of the cultivated land contract period that farmers are concerned about, the relevant departments have made it clear that they will continue to deepen the reform of the rural land system and launch the second round of land contracts after the expiration of the extension of the province's pilot project for another 30 years.

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