There are 3 reasons why we are talking about this topic today:
The first reason, there was a member VIP communication process on the weekend, chatted for almost 40 minutes, and at the end he said that he actually found that for so many years, after so many years of operation, the income is not as good as Tun coin, he said that he entered the circle in 16 years, when he had 400 flatbreads, LTC has 100,000. At that time, his cognition was not enough, maybe the pie rose 5 times, so he threw it away, and if he didn't throw it away, he would be financially free now. But now it's been 24 years, and now after 6 years, there is no big pie in his hand, and he feels very painful (maybe it's not painful, it's not happy).
I said yes, it's really better to hold the pie, otherwise 400 flatbread is now worth more than 25 million US dollars, LTC is currently 100 US dollars, then LTC is also worth 10 million US dollars, adding up to 2-300 million assets for a long time, you can retire early and travel around the world.
The second reason,I've been thinking about how much BTC can get in this wave, and I even estimated how much the next wave can get, and how much time is left for ordinary people to have the opportunity to buy a BTC?
Assuming that this wave can reach 200,000 US dollars, it is almost RMB 1.4 million, then this bear market **50%-60%, that is, the bottom range is between 560,000-700,000. Then the next wave of bull market can see a maximum of 500,000 US dollars, that is, 3.5 million yuan, then even if the allocation is **50%, it is 1.75 million yuan. That is to say, after this wave of bull and bear conversion, it will be difficult for an ordinary person to buy a big pie, because you are an ordinary person, such as a food delivery person, or an ordinary salaried person, with a salary of 100,000 yuan a year, for a 1.75 million bitcoin, he can only buy it after 17 years of working without eating or drinking, but BTC has been rising, and you will definitely not be able to catch up with this speed. So after this wave of bulls and bears, it is almost difficult for ordinary people to own a BTC.
SectionThree reasonsThe title of the article "Each of us should have a BTC", I saw a big guy write it when I entered the circle in 17 years, and I forgot whether it was the old cat or Li Xiao, but it was also my enlightenment article, although now these big guys have almost retired, but this concept is still deeply engraved in my heart. So for the currency circle after 6 years, I can take over the mantle of this idea and write a new version of "Each of Us Should Have a BTC" for the new leeks, maybe this will change your life, as long as you keep the coins in your hands. And the most important point, Satoshi Nakamoto's "A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System" must be read repeatedly, know to understand, what is understanding, understanding is that you will immediately take out money to buy BTC, even if it is to open your 1% position, this action.
Here I divide it into 3 levels, namely: 1the value of Bitcoin; 2.the flaws of humanity itself; 3.Redistribution of social wealth.
One. Let's start with the value of Bitcoin:
1.When Bitcoin was first designed to solve payments, as you can tell from its name, it isPeer-to-peer cash payment system, but in fact, after so many years, it has not subverted the payment system, because the current payment is still in the past, and BTC itself is not very convenient to pay (high gas fees, plus 10 minutes of settlement), but it has become a tool for value storage, known as a number **, because its total amount is only 21 million, and there will be mining every year, and there will be a reduction in production every 4 years, a reduction in production every 4 years, resulting in a regular rise in its value (from now to the previous three halving bull markets** The opening is not broken), the currency circle is a carnival every 4 years, so many people say that Satoshi Nakamoto is a football fan (because the World Cup is also held every four years).
So to sum up its first value, it's a deflationary currency, with a total limit, halved every 4 years, and a lot is currently lost (more than 3 million coins are currently lost, and more will only be more over time), so the total amount is only going to get smaller and smaller. We all know that scarcity is expensive, such as jadeite with high water, what purple gold nanmu and so on are these characteristics.
2.If you want to say that Bitcoin really has any value, it really has no value, and its only value is itThe skyrocketing has attracted the attention of countless peopleThere is a book on economics called "Attention Economy" that talks about how to use attention, advertising and marketing to create a new economic system, which is why Douyin is so profitable now, because he can attract a large number of people **Douyin, and with traffic, it can be converted and realized. So this has led to a lot of people going in, for example, someone (V God) has engaged in Ethereum, saying that I want to improve the blockchain, and I can develop applications on Ethereum, so that the blockchain really has a role, then there are people who invest money into it, where there are people, there are rivers and lakes, where there are rivers and lakes, there is business, where there is business, there are all kinds of intrigues, insidious and cunning, all kinds of capital plates, and pig killing plates, so the reputation of your circle has not been very good. But this year may be much better, because the passage of spot ETFs, ** should have more regulation and compliance, in fact, it is a big positive, as it becomes more and more compliant, then it will develop better and better in the future.
So you can summarize its second value, that is, its skyrocketing, which has attracted a lot of attention, was born in 2008, when there was no **, in 2010, a trader bought 2 pizzas with 10,000 bitcoins, which made bitcoin have **, and then it soared all the way. And each time the increase is a very exaggerated multiple, the last time it was 30 times, and the last time it was 90 times. So at least 15 times this time? From the lowest point, it is also $200,000. So $60,000 is just getting started. From the high point of each wave, it is $1,100 in 13 years and 19,000 in 17 years, almost 20 times; Then in 21 years, it was 69,000, which was almost 3 times, so how to calculate the peak this time is also 2 times, that is, 70,000 * 2 = 140,000 US dollars, so there is also an expectation of 150,000 US dollars.
3.the value of Bitcoin; The value of the currency standard, that is, it is the main body of faith in the current blockchain world, there is no bitcoin is nothing else to do, and the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies is 2$4 trillion, while BTC's total market capitalization is currently $1$2 trillion, accounting for 50% of the share.
In the real world we live in, it is the fiat currency standard, that is, everything you will measure according to the current national currency, for example, a bun is 3 yuan, and the United States may be a pizza is 20 US dollars. In ancient times, we may use the gold standard, that is, ** and silver as currency to exchange, for example, a bowl of wine is one or two silver, and it is possible to use shells in the front retrospectively, for example, the transactions between primitive people may use shells, then they are the shell standard. In our currency circle, we must think in terms of the currency standard, that is, we have to find a way to change to BTC, because when cryptocurrencies first came out, there were no stablecoins, and all other coins were traded with BTC, so BTC is the cornerstone of all coins.
Two. the flaws of humanity itself;
The second question, let's talk about the flaws of human beings, why most people can't hold BTC, we will often hear that I took some bitcoins and made 10 times, very happy, but what you don't know is that he actually missed 100 times, because after 10 times thrown away, it is really difficult for you to have a higher ** to re**, people are averse to loss, this is a flaw of people.
The second flaw of human beings is that human beings themselves are short-sighted, I am talking about the majority of people, and there are also a small number of people who are long-sighted, and these people have become great people, such as Elon Musk, who actually wants to build rockets to immigrate to Mars, and he can't even know if he can complete this plan while he is alive, which is a bit great, and he also got great results. The same goes for Apple's Steve Jobs, Bill Gates, etc.
But human short-sightedness is not easy for us to change, this is engraved in our genes, because in ancient times, we may not have enough to eat every day, we can't wear warm clothes, how can we think about 10 years later, I must be thinking about what kind of tools I will use tomorrow, what kind of prey will be hunted, what prey will appear where, when I hit the prey, I will think about how to store these objects, so at most it can be the first to 3 days of activity, so this is also after tens of thousands of years of evolution, It's engraved in our bones. We made 10 times the profit today, and it's normal for me to settle down. Although it is difficult for us to change, we need to know the principle and try to look a little farther, for example, if you make a 10-year plan? You can ask the people around you, what is your 10-year plan? I think most people don't have answers, so we want to be goodGive yourself a 10-year plan first？My current 10-year plan is to tell you about the blockchain program for 10 years, and I won't see it in 20 years, and I'm not as great as Musk.
Three. Redistribution of social wealth.
Why is there less and less bitcoin in hand?
1.Because wealth itself is thereAggregation effect, that is, money or wealth will gather in places with more money or wealth, and a cycle will be formed, that is, rich people will become richer and richer, and those without money will become more and more poor, and the same is true for BTC. In fact, Marx wrote this point in "Capital" a long time ago, and it also proves that one day in the future, when the gap between the rich and the poor is very large, and the poor have no money to eat, then it is the time to start the revolution, then communism may come, of course, we can not understand this day We are not clear.
2.Let's take a look at the current distribution of holdings, in fact, we can give us some inspiration, the current reserves, the first is the United States 68%, and then Germany, Italy, France, and the country's national strength and degree of development are proportional. And we should often see which rich people in the United States wear ** jewelry, and even their teeth are inlaid with gold teeth, which is exaggerated, right, so wealth will flow to where there is money.
3.The current distribution of Bitcoin.
Let's take a look at the current distribution of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto addresses 1.1 million (5%), and loses 3.7 million (17.).6%), miners 700,000 (34%), 12 million (57%), 560,000 (2.).7%), ETF 800,000 (3.).9%), 750,000 institutions (36%), and 1.3 million have yet to be excavated. That is, the number of coins that are permanently lost at present should be around 400-5 million.
So the current situation is that there are actually more currency institutions and **more, so it is a good day at the moment, and as the process progresses, I think the ratio may be reversed. That is, the latter institutions and ** may hold 56% of the tokens (100-5.).2-17.6-6.6）*0.8, while ** only 5% 6% tokens. It is also the saying that we often hear, that 20% of the world's people control 80% of the wealth.
The ultimate deduction of Bitcoin.
1.How much will Bitcoin be worth in the future?
Assuming the current value is anchored, it is now 82 trillion, while Bitcoin is 12 trillion, there are about 7 times, that is, the current currency price is 6$50,000 * 7 = $450,000 per piece.
If you double the high point according to each 4-year cycle, 20 years later, that is, 5 rounds of bulls and bears, then it is 6$90,000 * 2 * 2 * 2 * 2 = $2.2 million Then if you fold it in half, there will be $1 million.
In other words, if you currently hold a BTC, it may reach $1 million to $2 million in 20 years. And 20 years is not a long time. You can see it in your lifetime.
If you leave it to your son or the next generation, is it possible to reach $10 million a piece, and then they will take it and put it in DeFi, and the annualized income of 4%-5% a year is $500,000, and they may not have to do any work.
2.How many places in the world can you rank in the future if you hold one bitcoin?
Assuming that Bitcoin is popularized in the future, everyone in the world will know Bitcoin, just like it is now. Then 20% of the 6 billion people, or 1.2 billion people, will hold 80% of the bitcoin mentioned above, and 80% of the people will only have less than 10%. Because the above calculation has lost almost 5 million, the circulation is only 16 million, and the rich will take 1600*08 = 12.8 million, with an average of 001, so there is no doubt that you can already enter the circle of the rich with one.
And even if you calculate according to the value, the total amount of 16 million bitcoins in circulation, you are at least the first 16 million, and more than that, because there may be many in the head, and there may not be 1 in the tailTherefore, in the future, holding 1 will probably enter the top 5 million
We just said that 20% of people control 80% of their finances, but in fact, the truth is even more cruel1% of the people control 55% of the wealth. (Data shows that adults with $1 million (about 6.73 million yuan) account for 11%, and their cumulative holdings reached 1916 trillion dollars, or 45 percent of global wealth8%。And this wealth volume is only 1 million US dollars, as I just said, BTC will definitely be able to reach 1 million US dollars in the next 20 years, which means that in fact, you are not only entering the 20% of the whole human groupIn fact, you have entered the global 11% is already one in a hundred.
At present, there are 50 million non-zero addresses for Bitcoin, which is still a very big gap compared to the 6 billion people in the world, and at present, it can be seen that no more than 2% of the addresses holding more than 1 Bitcoin (currently almost 1 million). So at present, holding a BTC, you have almost entered the top 2%, which is still among the coin holders, and if it is placed in the world, then it is also the sameI was ranked in 1 in 10,000.
Final Summary:1The value of Bitcoin will not be summarized, everyone will study more and experience it more by themselves.
2.Human defects, we know our own flaws, strive to become a better person, look at the long term, exercise more, stay healthy, in fact, we will eventually find that health is priceless, we must do it slowly, I am also trying to exercise, although sometimes I will be lazy.
3.For a person who can hold a bitcoin for a long time, if we deduce it from several dimensions, he can at least rank in the top 10 million, that is, one in a thousand.
Finally, I wish you all to get your own BTC soon! #btc#