Introduction: France is unable to produce enough ammunition and missiles for its armed forces due to a lack of gunpowder, and the European Union** says it is "thanks to China".Recently, the situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has begun to change significantly, following the victory in the Battle of Avdiyivka some time ago, Western countries are in chaos, on the second anniversary of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, a number of Western leaders visited Kyiv and promised to expand military assistance.
France** Macron even released "cruel words", saying that he did not rule out the possibility of sending NATO troops into Ukraine to fight, but Macron's "cruel words" had just been released, and an embarrassing thing happened.
According to a report by France, Breton said in an interview that France could not produce enough ammunition and missiles for its armed forces due to the lack of gunpowder.
He claimed that the production of gunpowder requires special nitrocellulose, and China has been the main country of France before, but a few months ago, China "suddenly cut off the supply of cotton", which led to the current situation.
This operation of "throwing the blame" on China can be said to make people quite speechless, and in the final analysis, it is the EU that lifts a stone to shoot itself in the foot. Why?
As early as 2022, the European Union and the United States hyped up the so-called "forced labor" problem in Xinjiang and announced that they would no longer import cotton from Xinjiang.
At the end of last year, the European Parliament also drafted a new draft calling for further tightening of sanctions against China and a complete ban on Chinese cotton imports.
Now, as the trouble has shifted to its side, the EU has begun to shift the topic again, attributing the problem of cotton shortage to "China's supply cut". This kind of double-standard operation in the West can be said to be common in recent years.
Despite the current hamperation of ammunition production due to the scarcity of gunpowder, Breton said that the EU has found an alternative to "Chinese cotton" and hopes to achieve a plan to produce more than 1.5 million rounds of 155-millimeter artillery shells per year within this year.
At the same time, after Macron** said that he would not rule out sending NATO troops into Ukraine, some European countries were also ready to move.
First of all, in Eastern Europe, according to Russian media reports, Finland and Sweden, which have just joined NATO, plan to hold a large-scale military exercise called "Nordic Response 2024", which is expected to involve more than 20,000 soldiers.
Secondly, the situation on the German side is not optimistic, the Russian side recently got hold of a recording showing that the senior ** of the German Wehrmacht participated in the development of the plan to bomb the Crimean bridge, and also discussed the possibility of providing Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine, which was released to the public on March 1.
In this regard, the deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council, Dmitry Medvedev, said that Germany is currently preparing for "war with Russia."
NATO military exercises Data map It can be seen that if the situation continues to develop further, NATO's involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict may no longer be just a false proposition, but will become a reality. NATO's urgency may also be highly related to the current unfavorable situation on the battlefield in Ukraine.
After capturing Avdiyivka last month, the Russian army continued to pursue the victory, capturing the three fortresses of Pesky, Severnoye, and Sterovo, making the Ukrainian army's plan to retreat to the Donetsk Canal and establish a new defensive line come to naught. In this case, the Red Army Village, an important logistics hub in eastern Ukraine, can be said to be in jeopardy.
After seizing the initiative, the next move of the Russian army can be either to start from **Mut and attack Chasov Yar and open the road to Slavyansk, or to continue the offensive in the direction of Avdiyivka, attack Ochalidine from Sterovo, cut off the road between the Red Army village and Constantinorovka, and prepare for the attack on the Red Army village.
On the whole, the situation of the Russian-Ukrainian battlefield is not as good as the West, and the West has generally maintained a pessimistic attitude recently, believing that Ukraine will be in danger of the collapse of the defense line this summer.
In response to these doubts, Zelensky himself did not admit that in a recent interview, he revealed for the first time that the Ukrainian army had only killed 2 in 3 years of fighting50,000 people, and at the same time the Ukrainian army also plans to launch a new ** in the fall.
It's okay to deceive yourself with these words, but it can't deceive a number of European countries, why Macron and other European countries intentionally or unintentionally hint that NATO may send troops to Ukraine, and why they continue to form various "artillery alliances" and "missile alliances".
It's not because we know the actual situation in Ukraine that once Ukraine's defense line collapses, then all NATO's investment over the past few years will be in vain.
From an objective point of view, the scenario of NATO sending troops into Ukraine will not appear in the short term, after all, once NATO and Russia have a conflict, the result will be an escalation of local conflicts, called a full-scale war between Russia and Europe, and even a risk of nuclear war, which is not in the interests of most people.
The morale of the Ukrainian army is currently low, and most of the troops are made up of inexperienced recruits, and NATO's military aid is holding the ropes, and the F-16 fighter jets and 1 million artillery shells promised at the beginning of this year have been delayed until the summer of this year.
With the Russian army's superiority in strength, firepower and resources, it will be extremely difficult for Ukraine to hold the line this year.