After 10 years, the number of teachers will be surplus by millions, and the teacher withdrawal mechanism will be looking forward!
Text|Teach and educate (teaching and infertility is the art, teaching and infertility is the way!) Talk about the education around you and share the methods of education).
This time,"Wolves"It's real!
Postpone reforms"The wind has been blowing for a long time, and the last boot is likely to have hit the ground!
Some time ago, there was a professor who talked about delaying retirement, and he said that people after the age of 90 will postpone retirement until the age of 70 or even the age of 80.
Is postponing reform necessary? Wouldn't it hurt to postpone retirement? According to **, in 10 years, there will be a surplus of nearly 2 million teachers, and various places have introduced them"Teacher Exit Mechanism"。Isn't it a contradiction that there is a surplus of teachers on one side and delayed retirement on the other?
Retiring at 65 may be inevitable!
Why"Postpone reforms"？
There are only two answers. One is that life expectancy has increased, and the current retirement age is premature; The second is the decline in the number of new students and the huge pension deficit.
Relevant departments**, the average life expectancy of Chinese will reach 78 in 20253 years old. Currently, the retirement age for Chinese workers is 60 for men, 55 for women, and 50 for men. Delay retirement"The implementation of the policy will effectively solve the problem of pension gap.
Think about it, if everyone postpones retirement until the age of 65, then men will work for another 5 years and women will work for another 10 to 15 years, providing tens of millions of labor every year, theoretically solving the problem of labor shortage. Assuming that everyone is going to live to the age of 78, everyone has to work for another 5 or 10 years, and these time periods will also pay pensions continuously, which is equivalent to everyone paying another 5 or 10 years of pensions, because people's life expectancy is fixed, it is equivalent to receiving 5 or 10 years less pensions, 5 or 10 years more pensions, and 5 or 10 years less pensions, and once they come and go, the problem of insufficient pensions is naturally solved. What is the problem?
The "2023 China Pension Development Report" released some time ago emphasized when evaluating the issue of pension replacement rate"A delayed retirement policy is imminent, and 65 may be the final result of the adjustment"。In addition, an expert also said at a related conference that delayed retirement can be extended up to 65 years of age, and men and women will tend to be the same age.
Postponing retirement is an effective choice to cope with the risk of population aging and social pension insurance to make ends meet, as well as to maintain intergenerational equity. Delaying retirement can reduce the number of years a worker has received a pension, thereby reducing the amount of spending.
Early retirement"Is there really only good and no harm?
Of course, there are drawbacks. Today, it is difficult for 35-year-olds to reintegrate into the workforce and can only accept flexible work. Who will hire 60-year-olds? Young people are unemployed, and the elderly are unable to retire, how to improve the efficiency of social work? What's more, when the elderly are working, they naturally don't have time to help their children take care of them, so who dares to have children? Once the delayed retirement is implemented, who will take care of the physical and mental health of many manual workers? Will they still be able to work?
The problem is solved, and new problems arise again.
Implementation"Teacher Exit Mechanism"Isn't it a contradiction with delaying reform?
Qiao Jinzhong, an associate professor at the Institute of Higher Education of the Faculty of Education of Beijing Normal University, carried out relevant research. Using a model** of the changes in China's compulsory school-age population from 2020 to 2035, the team believes that the number of students enrolled in compulsory education in China will slowly increase in the short term, peaking at about 14.6 billion people, then on an accelerated downward trend.
According to his team, there will be a surplus of about 1.5 million primary school teachers and 370,000 secondary school teachers across the country by 2035, with a large surplus of primary school teachers and a consequent shortage and surplus of secondary school teachers.
In fact, Zhejiang, Guizhou, Shandong, Beijing and many other places have introduced various forms"Teacher recall mechanism"。
Some say, practice"Teacher Exit Mechanism"It's for smashing teachers"Iron rice bowl"One of the reasons is to stimulate the vitality of teachers, comprehensively implement the system of competitive recruitment, and establish a mechanism of competition for posts and merit-based hiring, so that teachers can go up and down, and let education develop better. This is one of the reasons, and it is actually to prepare for the surplus of teachers in the future.
In 2024, Xiamen public primary and secondary schools and kindergartens will openly recruit 1,162 teachers from the public. Like last year, this year's social recruitment of kindergarten teachers implements post management, and the social recruitment of primary and secondary school teachers implements the personnel management of employment institutions and institutions. The salaries and benefits, social security, occupational annuity, provident fund, housing subsidy, and housing monetization subsidy of recruiters shall be managed with reference to the establishment plan of public institutions, and shall be implemented in accordance with the provisions of the establishment plan of public institutions.
What is the Post Archiving System and Participant Recruitment System? Let's be honest - no staff!
There are more than 18.8 million full-time teachers in the country, and a surplus of teachers is inevitable. 14 counties and cities in Henan Province announced that they would stop recruiting special post teachers in 2024, and at the same time, many places introduced them"Teacher Exit Mechanism", implemented in some places"No establishment"Recruitment, what does that mean?