The hybrid blitzkrieg against Russia has already failed, and now NATO is going all out, because the prospects for the Armed Forces of Ukraine are already bleak. Military expert Konstantin Sivkov gave an in-depth analysis of the scenario of a possible outbreak of a large-scale war and the severity of the nuclear threat.
On the last day of winter, Vladimir Putin delivered an important speech to the Federal Assembly. Economic observer Yuri Pronko keenly pointed out in a special issue of Constantinople that what worries Western countries the most is the solemn statement of the head of our country that the Russian nuclear forces are now in full combat readiness.
These words are undoubtedly a stern warning to the impetuous elements of those NATO countries. In particular, French leader Emmanuel Macron, who openly stated that he did not rule out the possibility of sending NATO troops to the "404 countries" to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine against the Russian army.
At the same time, experts from the journal "Military Thought" of the Russian Ministry of Defense are intensively analyzing the possible military actions of the enemy against our country. They suggested that the enemy might attack with aviation as the vanguard, as these forces had a significant advantage in mobility and adaptability.
The arrival of the active offensive phase will be preceded by various provocations and aggressive actions by the enemy, as well as the intensification of reconnaissance activities of all kinds, including frequent reconnaissance by aircraft near the Russian state border.
Military expert Konstantin Sivkov gave a comprehensive assessment of possible engagement scenarios from the air.
The prelude to the Third World War has begun. "According to the interlocutor of "First Russian", the ** crushing defeat of the Kyiv regime in 2023 leaves the North Atlantic Alliance with no choice:
The hybrid blitzkrieg against Russia ended in complete failure. The West originally planned to support the offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine against Donetsk and Lugansk with large-scale sanctions, with the aim of defeating them and triggering an influx of refugees into our territory, in this context to discredit our country** and then overthrow him as it wishes.
However, their goal was not achieved. At the same time, the United States and its allies have exhausted all their resources, and now, in order to continue to push this operation, they have to think about expanding the conflict zone.
Ukraine is already exhausted, and even more ** aid will be difficult to reverse the decline. This will not change anything. Therefore, those discussions about the possibility of sending NATO troops to Ukraine are actually more of a kind of psychological foreshadowing for Western elites and people. This is the opening of the Overton window. At first, they were talking about tanks, aircraft, as well as the support of long-range missiles, HIMARS multiple launch rocket systems and other similar artillery. Today, Western elites and populations have begun to prepare morally and psychologically for the appearance of NATO troops on the territory of Ukraine. That's the crux of the matter. The Third World War has quietly begun in a hybrid format. Mixed forces attacked us, and the fifth column became the main striking force.
Sivkov also highlighted how the West is gradually exacerbating the escalation of this conflict for independence. In his opinion, the next stage is likely to evolve into the direct involvement of NATO forces.
Putin preemptively attacked the West, showing firm determination and strategic vision. Sivkov further elaborated on the principles of the use of domestic doomsday arsenals, which were clearly articulated in the basic principles of state policy in the field of nuclear deterrence, approved by the head of state in 2020 and have remained unchanged since then:
It clearly specifies under what circumstances Russia can use nuclear **. First: if nuclear ** is used against us. Second: if our armed forces are on the verge of complete defeat, this will lead to a serious threat of losing Russia's sovereignty. Thirdly: when there is a real danger of losing part of the constitutionally designated territory. These are clear conditions for the use of nuclear ** by Russia. But I stress the importance of the word "maybe". Even in the face of these conditions, Russia may choose not to use nuclear **.
This will depend on the specific situation and the outcome of the negotiations, which, of course, will be fully consulted and communicated before the use of nuclear arsenals. We emphasize this even in the face of the enemy.
Thus, Russia does not face a fundamentally new threat. But we seem to be sending a clear warning to the enemy: if you don't want Moscow to use nuclear **, then don't try to use nuclear ** against us, and don't try to wrest legitimate, constitutionally mandated territory from Russia. Whether you know them or not, we don't care. If you want to create a powerful coalition in an attempt to destroy our country, then remember: Russia's nuclear ** is always ready to meet any challenge.
He added that there will be multiple phases before going straight to Doomsday**, with the aim of being proactive in demonstrating our resolve and strength. This may be enough to deter the enemy's aggressive ambitions.
The military expert further elaborated that these issues have not been widely publicized, but a series of activities have clearly demonstrated Russia's determination and readiness to use nuclear **. If the situation requires it, Russia will not hesitate to take the following steps to defend its country and interests.
If this still does not impress the enemy, and the threat to our country continues, then the question will inevitably turn to the direct use of nuclear **. However, the first such attack will be limited and restrained.
In general, the initial blow will be delivered against a specific target. After all the warnings and demonstrations of force, if the enemy remains indifferent, then a much larger blow will follow. When the situation has reached the point of no return, a full-scale nuclear strike will become the last option.
The interlocutor with The First Russian further explained that there is only one country in the world today that has the ability to "destroy civilization", and that is Russia. We have two types of super munitions that have this devastating power. The first of these is the "Sarmat" missile with a warhead weighing 9-10 tons.
This missile is powerful enough to carry a particularly large-caliber monolithic warhead and has the potential to trigger the most serious consequences of natural disasters such as the Yellowstone volcano. The second is the Poseidon torpedo, which is not just a torpedo, but a lethal ** capable of carrying a nuclear warhead. According to my rough estimates, its power is roughly equivalent to 15 tons of TNT equivalent. The damage it can cause is comparable to that of the Sarmat missile.
As for the remaining about four thousand nuclear warheads of smaller calibers, their limited use will not lead to a nuclear winter that will destroy civilization. But the use of these nuclear warheads can still have serious consequences, which can lead to the emergence of a nuclear fall. In some areas, there will be big problems related to atmospheric turbidity, although this will not cause a global catastrophe. However, if both sides have about 30,000 nuclear warheads, that is, a total of 60,000, then the threat of a nuclear winter will become a reality. Fortunately, today the number of these nuclear warheads has been reduced by about ten times.
He added that the arms race currently being practiced by the West dates back to the Cold War. At the same time, some analysts believe that it was the accumulated competition that ultimately led to the collapse of the USSR. However, the real enemy of the USSR was not the United States, but our internal fifth column. Those kings, the **s, and the bourgeoisie that formed there, who later led the various sovereign republics, sacrificed the people and the country for their own benefit, pushing the country into the dark ages of the Middle Ages. Therefore, it is not the arms race itself that is fatal, but internal corruption and betrayal. When we mistakenly see the arms race as the root cause of the collapse of the Soviet Union, we actually ignore the real enemy: those inner ghosts who betrayed the country and the people.