The first time I drove on the road, my teammates told me: don't be afraid, driving is a prediction. Keep your eyes on the front and move your right foot to the brakes at any time.
In fact, life is not like this.
A little more vigilance will be less risky, and more prediction will be more hope.
When people reach middle age, we must learn to constantly improve our prediction of life from previous experiences and deep thinking.
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1. There is careful observation first, and then there is a clear prediction.
If we compare life to a trip, prediction is like a "navigation system" of life, which can help us plan our route in advance and avoid congestion.
For example, if the weather forecast says it will rain tomorrow, bring an umbrella when you go out.
Knowing that my aunt will be in a low mood when she comes to the end of the month, do a good job of psychological construction and prepare some coping plans.
I don't have time to write on the weekend, so I think about the topic in advance and write it.
When traveling during the holidays, there will be a lot of people to consider, choose niche attractions or go out early.
As soon as the leader goes to work, he stretches his face, and tries not to hit the muzzle of the gun unless there is something important.
In the days, trivial things are like this.
The same is true for far-reaching mate selection, making friends, investing, starting a business, and life planning.
When you are in love, your boyfriend is a character who dreams and is happy with what she encounters, and after marriage, he must be a person who can get by and resign himself to fate.
A girl, sentimental and calculating, has a high probability of scheming with her best friend.
After decades of continuous expansion, everyone will begin to roll up the emotional intelligence, connections, imagination, etc. after completing the explicit academic qualifications.
I am neither a graduate of a prestigious school, nor a professional background, and if I enter the industry, I must write more articles and spend more time.
No matter how big or small, all predictions must be carefully observed.
Gather the information, think about it, and finally make a judgment about whether I should brake or turn.
2. The first half is accumulation, and the second half is play.
In the new drama "Our New Era", Yang Huini, who has been a village doctor for half her life, diagnoses the villagers and rarely relies on instruments and laboratory tests.
Rather, it is based on my own experience and understanding of everyone.
That's accumulation.
In the face of the complex subject of life, only with rich experience, comprehensive knowledge, and more and clearer systems and concepts can we make more accurate "predictions".
Many of our readers have asked me, how do I fit into something? What are your hobbies?
My answer is usually to try it first.
To tell the truth, the first half of my life has been taking detours, I have gone to work, opened a store, done **, and took a baby full-time for four years, wrote a diary, studied accounting and nail art, and did ** will also ps....
After stumbling along the way, I realized that what I like most is writing.
It's safe to say that recognizing the boundaries of one's abilities often goes hand-in-hand with the willingness to experience the dark shadows of a wonderful world.
Marriage, probably the same.
Too sweet, too cold, too noisy, too desperate and better, and repeatedly adjust the distance between two people in order to better control.
Because, at this time, we are aware of our own personality and temperament, and we are also aware of each other's thoughts and behavioral habits.
When something happens, I can subconsciously predict how he will react and whether he can help me.
Let's put it this way, now I know that I can write an article in two hours;
Knowing that you are not fit for work;
I knew that my leg would hurt the next day after walking 20,000 steps;
I also know that my teammates need to sleep until they wake up naturally on weekends;
Know which time of day he is empty;
Knowing that his happiness is a bottle of happy fat house water and two games of mini-games.
Therefore, in life, the first half is accumulation, and the second half is play.
When we were young, there were many things that we had never seen before, and there were simply not enough samples and data to evaluate and analyze.
The so-called practice sees the truth.
After thousands of sails, why be afraid of the years?
In middle age, we have more predictability for ourselves and life, and we have more control.
3. At any time, please overestimate the risk and underestimate the return.
Overestimating risks and underestimating benefits is a technical term in economics.
But it is very necessary to use it in life.
Because, in my opinion, most of the suffering of human beings is caused by overestimating the benefits and underestimating the risks when predicting.
Like investment, joining, and starting a business, whenever you are deceived or lose money, you are all trying to make a fortune and go to the peak of life.
So much so that the input-output ratio, the risk and the consequences of failure have not been accurately calculated.
There is also marriage, many girls actually do not consider multiple possibilities.
Today, since I am talking about prediction, I must tell you from the bottom of my heart that prediction is a kind of ability, but also a management tool.
First of all, we have to develop a probabilistic thinking, that is, there will be such a possibility and that possibility, but which one is too probable.
For example, a reader added me to WeChat and said that he wanted to **, but I said that there was no group.
Some people accepted it immediately, and some people didn't give up, because she didn't predict this situation in her head.
In fact, the group will be disbanded, it will be bombed, and there will be no one. Right?
If you invest, you will make money, you will lose money, and you may run away with money.
When you get married, there will be moments of harmony and love, but you also have to face firewood, rice, oil and salt, which may be as plain as water, or you may encounter betrayal.
Based on the information and experience we have so far, we can observe and predict which one is more likely to occur.
At the same time, some preventive measures should be taken.
When it comes to investment, it's just not to put your eggs in one basket and set it up
In marriage, it is to cultivate oneself, manage the economy well, and firmly grasp the initiative.
Remember, observation--- prediction--- decision-making--- management is a series of actions.
Please try to be an old driver, release the accelerator when you are close to the car in front, and add a little when you are far away.
As for red lights and dangers, don't hesitate to stop losses with a sharp brake.
4. Predicting the prediction of others is a high-level ability.
Nothing in this world is absolute, and everything will change differently.
We must not only anticipate ourselves, but also learn to anticipate the predictions of others.
As we all know, we all know that the era we live in is a business era.
Merchants take advantage of people's good face, love comparison, like high-value items, love beauty, and fear aging. and other psychology has designed a variety of products and services.
Expensive to luxury cars, luxury goods, as small as 99. Free shipping, free delivery, pension products, try our best to empty our wallets.
If we can predict which pain points the merchants have grasped us, and accurately distinguish which ones are marketing boasting and which ones are digging holes, we can achieve rational consumption and rational decision-making.
There is also talking about feelings, the scumbag deliberately chatted with you and came to cold you again, you are more calm than him, isn't this trick useless?
At work, the leader frequently talks to you through the small meeting of the conference, and you pretend to believe the cake he painted, happily cater to him, and quietly watch him perform.
The relationship between mother-in-law and daughter-in-law, she deliberately said something to provoke the relationship between you and your husband, you don't play cards according to common sense, ignore them, don't care, isn't it the other party who is lost?
As long as we understand routines, how can there still be routines to win people's hearts?
Please continue to learn and improve, disassemble and think.
Because, for each of us in life, the level of ability is reflected in the prediction of this matter.
Can we judge more accurately and carefully, predict other people's performance and ideas in advance, be prepared, and form a scientific and organized thinking mode?
It is related to our future and life.
That's why I suggested yesterday that you look at the examples of other people's failures.
Human nature likes to be close to those who are good and successful, but detours and lessons can usually provide us with more real and comprehensive information.
Finally, practice more, verify more, and summarize more.
Fang ** is always only one of them, practice and application are the core.
I hope that every reader can improve their ability to predict and find the value of life and the direction of struggle.
I also hope that everyone can get the actual growth of their own life!