"Super Tuesday" is the most important day before the U.S. runoff election in November, 15 states held the Republican primary (caucus meeting), the Republican candidate will compete for 884 representative votes, accounting for 36% of all the representative votes (a total of 2429), the Democratic Party also has 15 states to conduct the primary election, allocate 1420 representative votes, for the two party candidates who are interested in the White House, whether they can win the "Super Tuesday", to a large extent, will determine the life and death of the "prospects", The chart below shows the results of the ongoing 15-state Republican ** campaign (real-time data):
Trump won 13 of those states, and Haley won only Vermont. Vermont has an open-ended election rule in which voters in the state can choose either side of the primary, under which moderate voters can participate in the Republican primary, which is one of the reasons why Haley won Vermont.
And Haley has the endorsement of Vermont Governor Phil Scott(R), who has served four terms in blue Vermont and is the most popular governor in the country, and has an aversion to Trump that is no less than that of former New Jersey Governor Christie. In the end, Haley defeated Trump 50%:46% with a variety of favorable factors, making Trump's 2016** primary defeat to Macro Rubio (R-FL) in Vermont reappear, so Haley's victory in Vermont was not particularly surprising.
Virginia is also seen as the state where Haley is most likely to win, the state also has open elections, voters do not need to register for a partisan affiliation, and in 2016 Trump won Rubio by only three percentage points, but unfortunately Haley did not take the opportunity to 35%; 65% lose to Trump. Haley also failed to pull off miracles in states like Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, and Minnesota, all of which ended in failure.
Tennessee also ran on this day, and the x-factor that influenced the November runoff was also related to Tennessee. Previously, the world's top star Taylor Swift (Taylor Swift), who lived in Nashville, Tennessee, started his career, and Swift had expressed his support for Biden's ** campaign, and Trump temporarily resolved it with "a 25% decrease in his liking for her".
As the world's top star, SWIFT has more than 2800 million followers, on "Super Tuesday" called on fans to stand up and vote, although it is not clear who to support, but based on SWIFT's previous record of involvement in elections, it will have a negative impact on Trump. In 2018, Swift endorsed Democrat's Phil Bredsen to challenge the incumbent Senator Marsha Blackburnr-TN of Tennessee, and in the 2020 campaign, Swift supported Biden. Biden is on a downward trend due to the attitude towards the Palestinian-Israeli issue and its age, and Swift, as a top star, naturally attracts young voters, so it is expected that Swift will have a certain influence on the November ** runoff.
At the time of writing, there are still Utah results still unavailable, and while Utah voters are not too friendly to Trump (as opposed to Ohn McCain and Mitt Romney), they are even less interested in Haley, so it is expected that Haley will also lose Utah.
According to calculations, Haley has received 86 delegate votes so far, Trump has received 923 delegate votes (which will change as the election progresses), and Trump is one step closer to 1,125 delegate votes, locking in the 24-year Republican nominee. Next, on March 12, Georgia, Hawaii, Mississippi, and Washington will have a Republican ** primary, with a total of 121 delegate votes (see the picture above), Trump is expected to lock in ** nominees on that day, of course, just now the Federal Supreme Court ruled to overturn the case of Colorado stripping Trump nominees, breaking Haley's thoughts, coupled with the "Super Tuesday" fiasco, the possibility of Haley withdrawing from the election has increased sharply, if so, then Trump will qualify early!
There was no suspense on the Democrats' side, and Biden won all 15 states by a wide margin. In addition to the ** election on Super Tuesday, the Senate and House of Representatives of the five states also held their own elections, and tomorrow we will introduce the status of the races for important seats in each state.