Recently, the automobile industry chain has staged a "spring restlessness", new energy vehicles, auto parts, automobiles, automotive chips and automotive services are intensive, and the robot concept sector has also been raised, and the main capital has increased influx.
Some ** with the layout of the automotive industry chain in the Year of the Dragon strong "blood", even beyond the AI theme**. A number of first-class people said that the recent policy to encourage and guide the renewal of new first-scale equipment and the trade-in of consumer goods is expected to leverage the trillion-level consumer market, and the automobile industry has become one of the main beneficiaries, and China's per capita car ownership still has great growth potential.
The automotive industry chain is strong.
On February 29th, the car track was again **. As of February 29**, new energy vehicles, auto parts, automobiles and other automobile tracks and robot concept plates once staged a "seven consecutive yang", and the highest increase in these sectors was close to 20%.
The automobile track has become one of the most "gold-absorbing" sectors in the A-share market in the Year of the Dragon, and the cumulative net inflow of main funds once exceeded 10 billion yuan. Specifically, if the data on February 28 is excluded, the previous five trading days have accumulated 84The main capital of 6 billion yuan is to increase the weight of new energy vehicles, and the total "influx" of automobiles and auto parts exceeds 2 billion yuan; The robot concept sector received a net inflow of main funds in the same period of 364 billion yuan, and the two sectors of automobiles and robots have many overlapping listed companies, sharing the development opportunities of the industrial chain.
Benefiting from the sharp rise in the target, many ** have performed strongly in the Year of the Dragon by virtue of the layout of the automobile industry chain, even exceeding the AI theme**. Wind data shows that as of February 27, since February 19, there have been 3** temporarily leading the market due to the layout of the automobile track, including Penghua carbon neutrality theme, Nuoanduo strategy and Penghua Shanghai-Shenzhen-Hong Kong emerging growth, Penghua carbon neutrality theme rose by more than 30%. According to the position at the end of the fourth quarter of last year, the number of Noa Multi strategic heavy positions in the automotive industry chain ** is relatively small, while the two products of Penghua** are both large-scale heavy positions, and both are managed by Yan Siqian.
Cinda Australasia** believes that the automobile industry is the pillar industry of the national economy, and new energy vehicles are the key to helping China lead the world. Compared with developed countries, China's per capita car ownership still has great growth potential. In addition, the new energy vehicle sector has undergone a long period of adjustment, and the overall valuation is low, lower than 99% of the time in the past five years, and the cost performance is prominent, which is worth paying attention to.
trade-in" or leverage trillions of consumption.
Recently, relevant departments have made detailed arrangements for promoting the "trade-in" of consumer goods, and emphasized that accelerating product upgrading is an important measure to promote high-quality development. According to industry insiders, automobiles and home appliances are the main beneficiaries of "trade-in", and the demand for renewal of durable consumer goods such as automobiles will enter a period of concentrated release.
Hu Mohan, manager of Mingze Investment, said that it is expected that specific support policies will be introduced in the follow-up to support automobile consumption and equipment renewal throughout the year, which is conducive to the performance growth of the automobile and robot sectors. However, based on the current economic recovery process, even if there is policy support for automobile consumption, there is still some uncertainty about whether it can realize the big growth, and the overall competition in the industry is very fierce, and whether the auto sector can continue to strengthen in the first half of the year remains to be further observed.
According to public data, in 2023, the number of cars in China will be about 3400 million vehicles, which is expected to exceed 500 million vehicles in 2055, with large room for growth in the future; In 2023, the world's new energy vehicle sales will be 14.28 million units, with China accounting for 635%, it is expected that the sales penetration rate of new energy vehicles in China will reach 60% in 2030, which means that for every 10 vehicles sold, 6 are new energy vehicles.
Hu Mohan believes that China's durable consumer goods market such as automobiles and home appliances has entered the "era of both increment and stock" from the simple "incremental era" to the "era of equal emphasis on increment and stock", and the improvement of the utilization system is conducive to better activating the market. The "trade-in" policy launched this year is expected to leverage the trillion-level consumer market, and new energy vehicles will be a good opportunity for China's automobile industry to achieve corner overtaking in the future.
In the view of Yao Xusheng, a partner of private placement network wealth management, compared with the past, the current domestic automobile and home appliances market stock is larger, and the demand for renewal will release huge space, and it is expected that the current round of trade-in subsidies will reach the level of 100 billion yuan, and the scale of the consumer market is expected to reach trillions of yuan.
Artificial intelligence empowers the upgrading of the automobile track.
Since last year, the policy level has emphasized the need to accurately grasp the strategic positioning of new industrialization, accelerate the construction of a manufacturing power, and continue to improve the level of industrial modernization. Flush data shows that as of February 29, since the opening of the Year of the Dragon, the new industrialization sector has accumulated nearly 25%, including many automobile industry chains.
Yao Xusheng believes that the important breakthrough and focus of new industrialization is intelligent manufacturing, and high-end manufacturing industries such as automobiles and robots will be the key areas to achieve new industrialization, and are an important pillar to promote the construction of new industrialization and build a modern industrial system in the future.
Chen Xingwen, chief investment officer of Blacksaki Capital, said that the recent strong rise in the automotive industry chain "resonates at the same frequency" with new industrialization and artificial intelligence, because intelligence will provide decisive "nourishment" for disruptive innovation in the automotive industry. The wide application of artificial intelligence and robotics technology has improved the degree of automation and production efficiency of the automobile manufacturing process, and will also make automotive products more intelligent.
In Chen Xingwen's view, the automotive and robotics industries are at the forefront of technological innovation, and the continuous emergence and application expansion of new technologies will bring new growth momentum to the industry. For example, applications such as intelligent driving technology, electric vehicle technology, and robot autonomous navigation technology will promote the development of the industry and drive related industries
Many investors are hotly discussed, can we continue to lay out automobile and robot concept stocks in the first quarter? Will the first half of this year** hit a new high since the fourth quarter of last year?
Hu Mohan believes that relatively more optimistic about the robot sector, based on the accelerated development of new industrialization, the robot sector clearly benefited, and the robot sector is expected to be more resilient, with a high probability of hitting a new high since the fourth quarter of last year. However, investors should be wary of the high risk of short-term gains.
Chen Xingwen also said that the automobile track in the first half of this year is expected to break through a new high since the fourth quarter of last year. The intelligent cockpit, intelligent driving and other functions in the automotive field are constantly upgraded, and the humanoid robots, industrial robots and other products in the field of robotics are also constantly innovating, and the development and application of these technologies will promote the efficient growth of the industry.