Kunpeng Project
The Trump era is over, the Biden delegation quickly visits China, and China-US cooperation is poised to take off?
Not long ago, the Democratic Party of the United States had an absolute majority in Congress and just announced the results of its party primaries. There is no doubt that "old friend" Trump won.
As soon as the news of Trump's election came out, Biden's ** immediately said that they would send a representative to China. Why did Biden suddenly send envoys to China? What is his intention for our **?
The United States is facing a civil war.
2024 will not be an easy year, and with the upcoming elections in the United States, the entire planet will be thrown into chaos.
Shortly after Biden sent a special envoy to visit China, the United States imposed a new round of sanctions against Russia, including "aid to Russia", and imposed comprehensive sanctions on 8 Chinese companies.
At the same time, in order to curb China's development in the semiconductor industry, they also established a "chip alliance".
All of this happened in less than two months. And Biden's team, after knowing that Trump won the Democratic caucus, suddenly came over to negotiate with China.
The reason is simple: Biden has submitted a very bad report over four years. This also explains why, in the mid-term, the Democrats lost in the Democrats, handing over Congress to the Republicans.
If Trump is not the Republican Party's ** candidate, Biden still has a few wins, after all, in the current Republican Party, the "establishment" and "MAGA" are both Trump supporters and are in civil unrest.
Biden could have torn Trump apart and then beat him again. But the problem is that there are so many supporters of Trump that he won the primaries "without bloodshed", which is tantamount to uniting the entire Republican Party.
And Biden also did everything, and let the FBI launch an investigation into Philip as soon as possible.
Then, Trump was accused by Republican-controlled states of trying to remove Trump from running in the state.
In fact, this disregard for etiquette has put Biden in a desperate situation. If he loses, he will resign at most, but this time, he will face an outright political revenge.
However, Biden's worst fears finally appeared, Biden's desire to survive forced him to put down his dignity and start a dialogue with the series of sanctions against China that the United States has just announced.
What exactly is Biden's plan?
Frankly, the current bad political climate in the United States makes it impossible for the two parties to agree on anything. But on the Chinese side, the attitude towards Russia is a special case.
Because negotiating with China is a sign of cowardice, so Biden is not afraid of someone stabbing him in the back?
There is no way to do this, even if he is stabbed, Biden has to send a representative to China.
The U.S. economy now looks prosperous on the surface, with GDP rising steadily, unemployment at record highs, inflation being contained, and the market climbing wildly.
This trend has given many people great confidence in the US economy.
However, Biden is also well aware of how much danger there is behind this. From the public information, we can also find some strange things.
First of all, based on the U.S. energy sector, it is surprising that in the U.S. as a whole, power generation across the industry fell by 1. year-on-year from January to November 20221%。
So, why is GDP increasing and electricity production decreasing?
Secondly, although the ** in the United States has skyrocketed because of the "conceptual fire" of artificial intelligence, in fact, this is only the stock price of a few companies.
The stock prices of other companies are also not improving, and the issuance of US Treasuries is rising sharply, as the US economy is fully recovering.
The U.S. Congress has a debt of 34 trillion, and it is still increasing at a rate of about 1 trillion a month, which has reached a very serious level, and if bonds are not issued, there will be a great risk that the default will paralyze **!
Although the United States as a whole is better than many places, it is still deciding whether to lower interest rates, raising concerns about the future of the United States.
This is due to the fact that the United States transfers its liabilities to other countries in a series of ways, which is called "monetization of US debt".
In fact, the whole world has seen this scene. At this time, the United States is hoping that China's U.S. bonds will rebuild global trust in the yuan.
Even if China doesn't want to buy U.S. bonds, the U.S. doesn't expect China to suddenly sell it because it has a huge national debt.
But all this is superficial, and the US economy is still facing many problems.
As we expected, the U.S. economy is growing at an astonishing rate, both in size and power, making them look like a fatter behemoth.
However, this fat man also has a whole bunch of problems of his own, and if it really erupts, I am afraid it will have a huge impact on the whole world.
How will we react?
In my opinion, the United States will most likely not achieve anything from its visit to China.
As the United States has changed its stance several times before, China and the United States have long lost the basis for mutual trust and consultation. This is especially true in election years.
The Biden administration has always taken a very strong attitude towards China, and Biden will not make any compromises to cede his voice to Trump.
And we don't have any excuses, the Americans want us to help, and we don't need the Americans to help.
Moreover, with the consistent strength of the Americans, it is very likely that they will make a request, that is, if the other side is willing to take a step back, not a step back, then they can only guarantee that they will not embarrass the other side in a short time.
In the past, the Americans would use both hard and soft methods against them, but now, as China grows stronger, they are getting weaker and weaker.
The Americans have not been so easy with China's carrots, and they have adopted a strategy of both hard and soft. However, Americans may have forgotten that this did not work out in the history of China and the United States.
Therefore, I think it is unlikely that there will be any substantive results in this Sino-US meeting.
In our opinion, this is true of both the current Biden and the future Trump. Neither country has taken a moderate stance against China.
What we have to do is to put ourselves in the right position, keep improving ourselves, keep improving ourselves. Will the Americans come to negotiate?
All right. First of all, he expressed his goodwill, but if he repeats his old tricks, he hopes to compromise by imposing restrictions on China.
Sorry, let's reiterate that we told them in Anchorage: "The United States has no right to negotiate with China because of its power." ”