In recent years, the infrastructure has developed rapidly, starting from the opening of the first high-speed railway in 2007, which has shortened the distance between cities, and today the mileage of high-speed rail lines in the country is about 450,000 kilometers, in the world, China's high-speed rail is also a god-like existence. In the final analysis, this is still thanks to real estate, if there is no real estate development, our country's chemical, machinery, metallurgy can not have such a strong development momentum, without the support of these things, the construction of technology can not be so rapid to improve, the development of any kind of technology, are thanks to the strong demand of the market, and the rapid rise of related industries. Since real estate has entered the public eye, the country's infrastructure, including railways, highways, and urban construction, has been unprecedentedly developed. It can be said that the emergence of real estate is shouldering the heavy responsibility of history, it was chosen by history, although in today's view, it has caused a lot of problems to society, and even now people are afraid of it.
In the first few years of development, many people smelled business opportunities, and achieved a lot of real estate companies like Wanda, Vanke, Evergrande, Country Garden, China Resources, Xincheng Holdings, etc., the founder once occupied the top of China's down payment list, and later some people hoarded houses and speculated to make a lot of money. Some people desperately want to go to the city to own a house.
As early as 2004, Ou Zheng, who is regarded as the "god of Europe" by his supporters, published such an article on the Tianya Forum, "The RMB is facing huge depreciation pressure". In the article, he predicted the imminent inflation of the renminbi and the rapid rise in housing prices. This caused heated discussions at the time.,We go to the post now.,We can see the reply in the same color:Landlord SB,Identification completed。 Fortunately, time proved it for Ou Shen, and slapped the trolls hard. There are also more latecomers who are shocked and run to reply to the post to show their respect for the great god. He has made a net profit of 1.7 billion in the past ten years of the rise of real estate, and he is almost the best in personal property speculation.
With the continuous rise in housing prices, people flock to the city, competing to settle down in the city, although the state intentionally or unintentionally has some guidance, but most of them are the spontaneous behavior of the people, which is a socio-economic phenomenon, when a commodity is speculated very hot and the value has been the trend of **, consumers will unconsciously consume, which is also a kind of mass psychology. With more and more people entering the city, it in turn stimulates the further increase in housing prices, which is a very interesting phenomenon, originally everyone felt that now while he is not so expensive, hurry up and start, but because everyone wants, there are more people, ** and it has been raised, this is not only for real estate, any commodity will be like this, unless it is a basic substance, such as salt, under the compulsory control of the state, this is determined by the natural attributes of the commodity, in the market free trading, He has to be like this.
The urban population base continues to increase, the problem of education is not matched, the number of school-age children has increased, but the school is still the original scale, for the convenience of children's schooling, everyone is vying to buy a house near the school, which makes the housing prices around the school rise again, the so-called "school district housing" concept is gradually forced to form, this concept is rolled out by the market itself, the state has never had a relevant definition or division, the national level has only had a policy to ensure the schooling of the children of migrant workers in the city. Although the education of the children of migrant workers in urban areas has not been completely solved, there are still many children of migrant workers in urban areas who have returned to the countryside to study and become left-behind children, but the state must make efforts.
With the release of a paper document, the so-called "school district house" instantly increased the heat, resulting in many houses near the school overnight ** several times, and even a house is difficult to find, and then many areas set up a house purchase threshold, this is not because of the fear of buying a house too many people, no house, but to a large extent to increase the pressure on education, there is no shortage of rich people can buy a "school district house", after buying must give their children to school nearby, but the teaching facilities have not yet caught up, Therefore, one of the important reasons for all the purchase restriction policies and supporting facilities not to keep up with them during that period of time is to keep up.
In terms of medical treatment, we are also facing a similar situation, the urban population is growing, and the scale of medical care has not been expanded in time, resulting in overcrowding in many hospitals, coupled with the improvement of living standards now, unlike the cold in the past, buy some medicine to eat, and now everyone is rushing to the hospital, and they are all running to the big hospital with a good reputation, which also increases the burden of some hospitals, so that the appointment is also forced to form, or more perfect, the difficulty of seeing a doctor also appeared at that time, and many hospital drugs are also followed. Because medicines are commodities, it is only natural that prices increase when demand exceeds supply.
After more than ten years of construction, the number of schools is increasing, the education team is expanding, the hospital is increasing, the medical team is also expanding, the scale of infrastructure is expanding, countless enterprises are profiting from it, and the pressure of education and medical care is constantly being resolved, which has virtually increased a lot of jobs, metallurgy, chemical industry, finance and other real estate can radiate to the related industries have also been effectively inflowed into capital, continuous growth and development, which is also regarded as the value derived from real estate development. It provides a corresponding power foundation for the prosperity and stability of the society, and without these constructions and supporting needs, many people may not have the opportunity to find a job, and they may be assigned jobs after graduating from a better school. That's the value of real estate.
Of course, the prosperity of real estate has also caused problems in rural areas, such as fewer people in rural areas, young people have gone out to work, and those who have not been able to stay with their parents in the city are not only those children who have not been able to stay with their parents to go to school in the city, but also physical inconvenience or other reasons such as older grandparents, young people go home once a year, back for seven days at a time, this is the norm for many people, and it has also begun in the last ten years, the taste of the New Year has begun to become weaker and weaker, not that they don't want to celebrate the New Year, but because people have become anxious, The pressure is great, I don't dare to stay at home for too long, I don't have so much time to take care of relatives and neighbors, earning money is the most important thing, earning money for my children to study, earning money to buy a house in the city, earning money for my children to start a family, all aspects need them to earn money, the so-called family affection, began to slowly become unfamiliar, between brothers and sisters, usually only meet when they do wine, because everyone is in different cities, far apart. Slowly, a desolate situation was formed in the countryside, the chickens raised by the old people in the mountains gave birth to chicken cubs, and the eagles came to eat the chickens, and no one could catch them, because most of the old people who stayed inside were on crutches and had difficulty moving, and when they got up, the eagles were full.
Subsequently, there is also the problem of marriage room, just like ** jewelry, when the real estate has not yet developed, because of the ** capital, three gold hardware is a must to escape marriage, in the last ten years, the house is much more expensive than these jewelry, so slowly formed no house not to get married, for men, no house dare not get married, they take into account a series of problems such as future children, for women, there is no house there is no sense of security, no house means that you can't keep up with others, you can't afford it nowWhen will you be able to afford it in the future? Of course, not everyone is like this, but a large part of the people are like this, everyone wants to have good things and expensive things, which is the law of economic development and the form of operation of capital. I see on TV that there are many things that do not get married because of the house or that the parents do not agree to get married, and art comes from life, so many post-00s lie flat not because they want to lie flat, but under such pressure, they can't do anything. Those who are in good condition naturally do not have this anxiety, because what they can easily obtain is no longer precious, and they pursue something else.
Many people live in a rented house all their lives, or live in a house where they have worked hard to save money to pay a down payment and repay the loan every month, go out early and return late every day, and close the door when they go home, and they may not know each other for decades on the same floor, and they may not have met, everyone lives desperately in the city, living alone. In a city, it is extremely lucky to have a few friends, a ** can get together to eat, drink, chat, and go out for a walk together on weekends. I'm one of the lucky people who can get together a dozen or so people to eat and play cards together, but I've been anxious lately, because most of my time is wasted in this kind of ineffective social communication, isn't it worth it? People are always like this, there will always be a lot of ideas, recently because I am busy with all kinds of things, the number of meetings is not as frequent as before, maybe it's a good thing, maybe it's a bad thing, so recently I started to try to write things, don't ask for any results, just to calm myself down, because I buy a lot of books I don't have time to read, become very impetuous, read books and always like to read them in one breath, resulting in work and rest affected, writing is a thing that doesn't take a long time, I always think of what to write when I write, after work and dinner, After a short break, I can wash up and rest after an hour or two of writing, so there's a reason why what I write isn't as engaging as other professional writers, and I always treat my readers as face-to-face friends and share them like chats.
I'm sorry, to get back to the point, the house has brought us development, but it has also brought debt, many people have huge loans because of the house, and some even have drained the wallets of six people, not counting those speculators and those who have money, the debt of the whole society is unprecedentedly huge, the people's sense of happiness is constantly draining, there is no enthusiasm, because they are trapped by the house, there is no extra money to invest, to start a business, become afraid to take risks, lose ideas, and even some people are depressed to suicide, which is understandable, Because they have no way to retreat, from another point of view, this seriously affects the progress of the society, and the society lacks the motivation for innovation, so the development brought by real estate still needs to be redefined.
Economic and social development always has cycles, and at any time we should not forget that real estate cannot go all the way up, and it is inevitable to return to stability. Some people say it's because of Boss Xu, but it's not, he's just a fuse. A large part of the country's real estate developers are like him, infinitely magnifying the leverage, which is an extremely dangerous thing, not Boss Xu, it may be Boss Wang, Boss Zhang or something. But in fact, things would not have come so quickly, there are many people who operate like Boss Xu, the country has long seen it, and there are corresponding policies to support it, but why is Boss Xu's matter so big? That's because Boss Xu went too far and transferred his property abroad, and it was when the state cracked down on it, didn't this miss a problem. According to unconfirmed grapevine, Boss Xu was arrested for treason, so this matter is not just because of his Evergrande real estate, anyway, the social problems caused by real estate are already very big, coupled with this wave of operations of Boss Xu, the state has no way to let him go, otherwise other domestic real estate developers have followed suit, so what's the point? So real estate was temporarily suppressed.
After this round of action, many people feel that real estate will fall, and it will fall a lot. The author has a different opinion, from a national point of view, he is not allowed to do a lot, let alone a hard landing. Because the nature of real estate has not changed, he can radiate a wide range of industries, if real estate returns to nine years overnight, then there will be many enterprises in the society bankrupt, many people unemployed, the state can not accept this situation. The final outcome of real estate is to maintain the status quo, although it is difficult, but the housing prices in the first-tier cities are unlikely to fall a lot, and the medium-sized cities may fall, but the magnitude will not be very large, on the contrary, small counties, rural areas may usher in a wave of spring. Because the development of big cities has reached a certain bottleneck, the next policy is no longer urbanization, no longer to guide everyone to run into the city, but to want to combine urban and rural areas to get closer, the county town and town will usher in opportunities, because these places still have to be developed, guide everyone to the county seat, and can be built for more than ten years, the society can be stable for more than ten years, and the rest of the things are slowly resolved, it has always been like this, isn't it the best of both worlds. Some people say that people don't want to go, what should they do? Then I can't help you, market economy, many things are not from you, when everyone is optimistic about the county, you have to make trouble if you don't go. **The policy is tilted, not to mention anything else, ** to give you subsidies, and the supporting facilities are the same as in the city, don't you want to go back?
In fact, there is still a lot of demand for the purchase of houses in the market at present, and the desire is also very large, but everyone is a little afraid for the time being, at this time, it is necessary to give the society some confidence at the national level, confidence comes up, and real estate will naturally return to stability, this cycle I expect that it should be in three to five years, and the house in the future will not be speculated by everyone as before, it will become a stable commodity, so that he can return to the commodity attribute like ordinary household appliances. In addition, house leasing should also be popular, renting and buying a house have the same rights, but the lease is completely back to the market, there are ups and downs, this is no doubt about it, everyone be patient. At this time, it is no longer suitable to take a house to invest, and if you have a surplus house in your hand, you can consider making a move, if you just need, live by yourself, and want a warm house, you can also buy, three or five years later, with the increase in inflation, the cost of buying a house will not be less than now, the market will always rise and fall, and it will not fall down and will not get up.
Real estate has come to this point, not all man-made, there are his historical limitations, there are his commodity attributes determined, even ** has risen and fallen, not to mention the house, so everyone looks at it calmly. Next, the education industry will usher in a major reform, and an article will be written on the reform of the education industry in the later stage, welcome to pay attention.
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