A few days ago, my country officially announced the birth data of newborns in 2023, and the result was only 9.02 million. This figure is slightly higher than the 8 million of some experts**. It is worth mentioning that in 2023, China's total fertility rate will be only 10, this data should not only be much lower than the average value of 1 in developed countries5, and it is also better than 1The total fertility rate of 3 is lower, only 072 is just a little higher.
In fact, China liberalized the two-child policy as early as 2016, and the number of newborns in 2017 reached 17.58 million, but the number of newborns has declined rapidly since then. For this reason, in 2021, my country will liberalize the three-child policy, hoping to stimulate the number of births, but the number of newborns born that year dropped to 10.62 million.
In the following 2022, the number of newborns will fall below the 10 million mark, only 9.56 million. By 2023, the number of newborns has dropped to 9.02 million. As a result, many experts are worried that if this trend continues, it is only a matter of time before the number of newborns falls below the 8 million mark.
So, what is the reason for the lower and lower number of newborns in China? There are three main reasons: First, the cost of marriage is too high. Now young people are reluctant to get married, the main reason is that the bride price for marriage in various parts of the country is too high, usually more than 200,000 yuan. At the same time, it costs at least hundreds of thousands of dollars to hold a wedding banquet, rent a wedding car, take wedding photos, and go on a honeymoon trip. This is very stressful for the average family. As a result, some people choose to live a single life because they can't afford to get married.
Second, the cost of buying a home has remained high. Nowadays, it costs at least 1.6 million to 2 million yuan to buy a 90-square-meter commercial house in second- and third-tier cities. Many men's families have used up all their savings to make a down payment, and then have to pay a 30-year mortgage to buy a house. After that, a large part of the household income has to be repaid on the mortgage every month, and the remaining disposable income is only enough to cover the basic living expenses. It is good for a family like this to be willing to have one child, but having a second or third child simply does not have the economic strength.
Third, the cost of raising a child is too high. In addition to eating well, dressing well, and using good food, parents also need to invest more in their children's education. When children go to kindergarten, they should sign up for various interest classes to tap their talents. When children go to primary and secondary school, parents also have to spend money to hire tutors to tutor their children.
And when children go to college, even if they study in a domestic university, the various living expenses and tuition fees are tens of thousands of dollars every year. In this way, it will cost at least 600,000 yuan to give birth to a child from birth to graduation. If it is a second or third child, the cost will be doubled. Therefore, many young people are worried that after giving birth to a child, they will have to bear a huge amount of expenses, and their quality of life will be greatly reduced, and they are reluctant to have children.
In view of the current poor effect of the country's "three-child" policy and the continuous decline in the number of newborns, Liang Jianzhang, a population expert in China, put forward a plan to improve the birth policy: to reward each family with more than two children with 1 million yuan!
In Liang Jianzhang's view, China needs to use 4% of its domestic GDP to spend on fertility welfare. It is to let each family get a total of 1 million yuan of maternity benefits from the birth of their second child to adulthood, and only in this way can China's fertility rate reach the average level of developed countries.
At the same time, Liang Jianzhang also put forward 5 targeted suggestions, which made many young families agree. These recommendations are: Propose a cash subsidy system. It is like those developed countries, the one-child, two-child, and three-child families are provided with cash subsidies ranging from 1,000 yuan, 3,000 yuan, and 6,000 yuan per month, and this welfare treatment can not be stopped until the child reaches adulthood.
Exemptions and exemptions in terms of personal income tax and social security. For example, for families with two children, the individual income tax and social security contributions are reduced by half, and if the family has three children, the individual income tax and social security can be fully exempted. to alleviate the financial burden on families with many children.
Intensify efforts to buy houses for families with many children. For example, families with many children can enjoy better mortgage interest rates. In addition, families with one child can get a 9% discount when buying a house, while for families with two and three children, they can enjoy a 7% or 5% discount on buying a house. This is to reduce the cost of buying a home for families with many children.
Vigorously build kindergartens to increase the enrollment rate of infants and toddlers. We want to increase the enrollment rate to more than 50 percent, and to increase the number of kindergartens and nursery schools by at least 100,000.
At present, only women take paid maternity leave during childbirth, and it is recommended that men can also take paid maternity leave in the future, which can relieve the pressure on women during childbirth. In addition, Liang Jianzhang also suggested that the legitimate rights and interests of single-parent families should be protected, and the high school entrance examination should be abolished, the education period should be shortened, and the ten-year compulsory public education stage system should be adopted to effectively improve the fertility level by reducing the pressure on students and parents.
These "good ideas" of promoting fertility by population expert Liang Jianzhang have aroused a positive response from the vast number of young families, and all sectors of society have also praised it. A lot of people feel that these suggestions are "on point". If these recommendations can be implemented, the number of newborns in our country will appear. Young people don't have to worry about fertility anymore. In fact, as long as the country "moves seriously", the trend of declining births in China will inevitably be reversed.