Wish for the moon! The South China Sea is back in turmoil, and the Philippines wants to leverage its

Mondo Culture Updated on 2024-03-01

The essence of international cooperation is not to see a rabbit and not to scatter an eagle! On February 28, Marcos of the Philippines departed for Australia for a two-day state visit, and the Philippine spokesman said that November this year will usher in the 78th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the Philippines and Australia, and this visit is of great significance and will further strengthen the new way of cooperation between the two countries. It is understood that this is Marcos' first visit to Australia during his term of office, and it is also a return visit to Australian Prime Minister Albanese's visit to the Philippines last year. Judging from the arrangements for the "official announcement" of the Philippines and Australia, both sides attach great importance to this state visit. On the trip, Marcos will meet with Governor General Hurley, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and leaders of the Australian Parliament. Marcos was also invited to speak at the Australian Parliament. This is the first time that a Philippine leader has spoken in the Australian Parliament, and it is regarded as a "rare courtesy" given by the Australian side to Marcos.

Marcos hopes to take the opportunity of this visit to Australia to leverage the impact On the topic, the two sides will discuss the progress of the strategic partnership, as well as defense and security, investment, people-to-people exchanges, multilateral cooperation and regional issues. However, considering that Marcos's visit to Australia coincides with the tense situation in the South China Sea, and the Philippine media also previously said that Marcos will take the opportunity of his speech in the Australian Parliament to specifically mention the South China Sea issue. Judging from Marcos's visit to Australia and the tone released by the Philippine media in advance, the so-called 78th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between the Philippines and Australia and other modifiers are all just words, and the core issue and most important purpose is the South China Sea issue. Because the economy of the Philippines, like Australia, is dominated by the primary and secondary industries, and the export of raw materials occupies the mainstream. The two resource-oriented countries do not have much economic and trade exchanges with each other at all, and the only thing that can be used is the common geopolitical interests, and the so-called common geopolitical interests are the South China Sea. So can Marcos' visit to Australia succeed in wooing Australia to participate in the South China Sea issue? The answer is that Australia's participation will only be limited, and it has nothing to do with whether the Philippines is wooing or not. First, because Australia is a traditional ally of the United States, and Australia also sees the United States as its most important partner. It is well known that the United States has encircled and suppressed China, and Australia is located between the second and third island chains, and is the most important and dependent base for the United States to contain China's influence in the south. In this regard, the United States has already made relevant wooing and inducements to Australia, and Australia has also made a relatively positive response to this.

Australia's strategic location is very important for the United States to contain China Secondly, Australia as a resource-oriented country, in which a large number of locally produced agricultural products and mined mineral resources are exported to Asia, in addition to China, Japan, South Korea and even Vietnam are also important importers of Australian resources, and these ** routes have to pass through the South China Sea. Australia's own strength is insufficient, but in order to ensure that its own shipping safety is not threatened by China, Australia can only bet on many aspects to balance China. Marcos' visit to the Philippines this time is undoubtedly an instant match with Australia, but even if Marcos does not come, Australia will move closer to the Philippines on the South China Sea issue. However, due to China's strong comprehensive national strength and close economic and trade relations with China, Australia will not be deeply involved in the South China Sea issue, but will only stop at the point and give China a cup of medicine. On January 31, more than 50 celebrities from all walks of life in Australia called on Australia to ease tensions between Australia's closest ally, the United States, and Australia's largest partner, China, in order to prevent the conflict between major powers from "harming" the country, and Australia also deeply agreed.

It can be seen that Marcos of the Philippines is vainly trying to win over Australia to help on the South China Sea issue, and even if he comes, it is just a catwalk and has no practical effect. After all, even in the face of China and the United States, Australia tries to play the role of a mediator, so Australia will not hesitate to choose between the Philippines and China.

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