First, Israel and the Arab world generally tend to be de-eliquent in the long run.
The Fourth Middle East War had far-reaching consequences, and both sides realized that conflict and war could not solve the problem.
Egypt and Israel signed the Camp David Accords with the help of the United States.
Egypt and Israel signed a peace treaty.
year, Israel returned the Sinai Peninsula.
Jordan and Israel signed a peace agreement.
With the support of the United States, the UAE and Bahrain signed the Abraham Accords with Israel.
Saudi Arabia and Iran expressed an attitude of easing relations. Turkey and Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Qatar are also in the process of reconciliation.
In March of that year, Saudi Arabia and Iran held talks in Beijing and agreed to restore diplomatic relations between the two countries.
On September 22, under the auspices of the United States, the Israeli Prime Minister said that the normalization of Saudi-Israeli relations would benefit Palestine.
The above events show that the Palestinian-Israeli issue is no longer a major concern for the Arab countries.
Second, the forces of international terrorism are shrinking.
On the Iraqi side:
The United States launched the second Gulf War in the name of counterterrorism.
The United States withdrew from Iraq.
On June 29 of that year, al-Baghdadi proclaimed himself caliph and changed his regime to the Islamic State, which was ISIS.
On October 27, al-Baghdadi was killed by the United States, and ISIS was destroyed.
Afghan side:
The United States withdrew from Afghanistan in April.
On September 7, the Afghan Taliban established a coalition**.
Third, Israel's policy mistakes and shifts.
1. For a long time, Netanyahu has divided and disintegrated various Palestinian factions, especially Fatah, in order to prevent the establishment of Palestinian statehood; In the case of Hamas, it has been arrested and released, and this process has undoubtedly strengthened the positive image of Hamas in the minds of the people of Gaza and even the Palestinian people as a whole.
Case in point: Yahya Sinwar: Released in 2011 in a prisoner swap agreement between Hamas and Israel (an Israeli female soldier for 1,400 Hamas, Sinwar was among the chief planners of the 7 October Al-Aqsa floods).
Before the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, Israel engaged in four times in two years, Netanyahu failed to form a government, faced corruption accusations, and the right-wing ruling Likud Party and Netanyahu himself were under great pressure and became increasingly tough on the outside world.
Fourth, Hamas's dilemma.
In mid-May 2021, heavy clashes between Hamas and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) resulted in a large number of civilians** and billions of dollars in economic damage. But it has not attracted widespread attention from the world. Hamas felt the need to step up.
To sum up: the rapprochement between Arab countries and Israel has made Iran worried, the reconciliation process between Saudi Arabia and Israel mediated by the United States is a backstab in Iran's view of the Saudi-Iranian rapprochement, Hamas also has reason to believe that their reconciliation (Munich conspiracy) may sacrifice the interests of the Palestinians, the deflating and changing course of the international terrorist forces make Hamas feel that it is in the twilight of the day, the conflict in 2021 makes Hamas feel that it needs to increase the dose of medicine, and Sinwar itself is "soft" for Israel The direct beneficiaries of the policy have thought from past experience that it would be a big deal to spend a few more years in prison, and the hostages will be exchanged for higher prestige, and they may become the bosses.
And so, the gears of fate began to turn......Everything has become out of control.
My gzh: Herodotus, a 40-year-old real estate man, is not panicked at all, like a tree at the door, the flowers are in full bloom, and the branches are luxuriant. As the Palestinian-Israeli conflict heats up, it is planned to open up a special topic on the Middle East, which is the eighth topic on the Middle East. Let's use common sense to resist the prejudices of the times.