The Philippines has long held a tough stance on China and has repeatedly provoked China on the South China Sea issue. However, in a single day,Philippines**MarcosThe abrupt shift in attitude towards China sends a signal of détente. During a visit to Japan, he saidThe situation in the South China SeaThe escalation will not bring benefits to the Philippines, which must be careful not to make "misleading" moves. MarcosIt also made it clear that it does not support calls for the expulsion of the Chinese ambassador, arguing that doing so will only cause more trouble. He stressed that situations such as ship collisions are important to solveDisputes in the South China SeaThere is no point in hoping to solve the problem through diplomatic dialogue with China. These statements indicate that the Philippines is aware of the negative impact of tensions with China and has chosen to ease its attitude toward China.
Analysis: There are two reasons for the Philippines' easing signal. First, the Philippines realizes that siding with China in the South China Sea is not in line with the consensus of ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries are well aware of the importance of maintaining neutrality in the great power game and are reluctant to get involved. Marcosmay be pressured and influenced by ASEAN countries. Second, China has clearly warned the Philippines that it is futile to place its hopes on the behavior of a few major powers. The Philippines is aware that China has a clear understanding of its intentions and that it will harm its interests if it continues to provoke China. In addition, the entry of Chinese vessels into Philippine territorial waters may indicate that China is prepared to tow away illegal beaching**, which makes the Philippines realize the cost of not being able to continue its provocations against China.
At the urging of Japan, Japan has held talks with ASEAN countries in an attempt to co-opt Southeast Asian countries against China. However, Japan has recently released improvementsSino-Japanese relationssignals. In October,Kyodo News Agency, JapanIt was revealed that Japan is ready to change its ambassador to China because the current ambassador is too tough on China. The new ambassador to China, Kenji Kanesugi, showed improvement when he arrivedSino-Japanese relationsThe sincerity of building a stable bilateral relationship is beneficial to China and JapanInternationalSociety is very important. He also wants toSino-Japanese relationsand engage in dialogue with China on the Fukushima issue. These statements show that Japan is improvingSino-Japanese relationsIt remains to be seen whether sincerity can be truly translated into action.
Analysis: Japan improvesSino-Japanese relationsThe main reasons are:EconomyIssue. The so-called "**" that has been implemented has been implementedEconomy"Learning" has come to an end, and at the same time, a number of "factions" have made Japan realize the need to abandon this plan because of the "black gold scandal". In order to improveEconomysituation, Japan needs to ease relations with China. The Chinese side has expressed its hope that the Japanese side will see the situation clearly and fulfill its commitments before it can make concessionsSino-Japanese relationsGet back on track. Therefore, Japan's new ambassador to China, Kenji Kanesugi, released a positive signal to express improvementSino-Japanese relationswishes.
South Korea's president-elect Choi Sang-mu said that China is South Korea's closest friendEconomyPartners, based on national interests, South Korea will conduct deep with ChinaEconomyCooperate. This shows that South Korea realizes that the ** deficit situation with China is very dangerous, for South Korea, which is based on foreign tradeEconomyIt's a tense situation. With South Korea's technological superiority in disillusionment and its foreign policy influenced by the United States, it will not be easy to improve its economic and trade situation.
Analysis: The main reason for South Korea's overtures to China is:EconomyPressure. For the first time, South Korea has a deficit with China, which makes South Korea nervous. South KoreaEconomyThe pillar is foreign trade, the domestic market is relatively small, and the situation between China and South Korea has reversedEconomyVery dangerous. However, it is difficult to adjust South Korea's deficit with China based on goodwill rhetoric alone. South Korea's overtures to China require more concrete actions and face a series of challenges and difficulties.