The dust settled?The Russian side gives the time to end the war in late spring and early summer 2024The Russia-Ukraine conflict has dragged on for almost two years, and everyone's attention has gradually shifted to the question of when the war will end. After all, after fighting for so long, people are already feeling aesthetic fatigue.
In this scenario, Ukraine has suffered a considerable defeat this year. This may be a good opportunity to end the war. If Ukraine does not have enough resources to continue the war, then the only option seems to be to sit down at the negotiating table.
In general, if the West no longer provides large-scale assistance, the war should end soon. Now the Russian side has made a **, saying that the war will end in the spring and summer of 2024. This information came from the governor of the Zaporozhye region, Yevgeny Balitsky.
According to Balitsky, all the prerequisites are in place. As a military man, he is very confident in this. According to his understanding, the Ukrainian front will usher in a collapse, and in late spring and early summer next year, everything will end.
Judging by public information, the situation of the Ukrainian army at the front line is really very bad. After the defeat, Ukraine has turned to the defensive. In the Russian offensive, the Ukrainian army, although it put up stubborn resistance, was largely futile and failed to really stop the advance of the Russian army.
Ukraine's current situation can be described as stretched, and it has become their tactic to run if they can't fight, save some effort and save it for next year, but the problem is that it is not easy to find enough manpower now, otherwise Ukraine may collapse.
* Zelensky is right, the current Ukraine is lacking something, lacking ammunition, but the West refuses to give it, and there is a shortage of fighters, but people can't recruit them.
Although Ukraine has not explicitly said that it will recruit another 500,000 soldiers, they have begun to move the rules to recruit more people to serve as soldiers. This trick is really dangerous, if it is not done to arouse the dissatisfaction of the Ukrainian people, infighting will bring them down.
Also, the soldiers on the front line have been fighting for more than a year, and no one has changed shifts, and they will not be given a breath if they fail, and if they don't do well, it will cause chaos within the army.
So you see, Ukraine has not been yelling at the West for ** ammunition as much as before, and it is also because they are in more trouble. If you can't solve the problem of soldiers, no amount of ** ammunition will be in vain. Maybe in the end, these ** will have to be done to themselves.
The Russian side just wants to take out Ukraine on the battlefield, and judging from Balitsky's statement and the time he gave, it is estimated that the way to end the war will not be through diplomatic means.
Russia has never been opposed to negotiations, but Ukraine just doesn't want to, and the West doesn't support Ukrainian negotiations.
If there is to be a diplomatic solution to this conflict, this winter seems like an opportune time. Because the cold winter will slow down Russia's military operations, it will be difficult to achieve victory on Ukraine's strong defenses in this season. At this point, if all parties encourage peaceful dialogue, it is more likely to sit down at the negotiating table.
A different opinion was put forward by Balitsky, who believed that the war could end in late spring and early summer. He meant to wait until spring came, take a large-scale offensive and defeat Ukraine at the beginning of summer.
However, everything still depends on the future actions of the West and Ukraine. If Ukraine is able to recruit another 500,000 people, the West may continue to support Ukraine.
By then, the plot will likely be similar to this year, and it may not be so easy to completely defeat Ukraine at the beginning of the summer.