The conflict between Russia and Ukraine has lasted for nearly two years, and people's attention to this war has gradually shifted to when it will end, after all, it has been fought for so long and it has been aesthetically fatigued.
In this context, Ukraine has suffered another serious defeat this year, which seems to be a good opportunity to end the war, if the Ukrainian side does not have enough resources to continue fighting, then there is only one way left to sit at the negotiating table.
Overall, if the West does not continue to provide large-scale aid, the war should end soon.
Now the Russian side has given **, believing that the war will end in the spring and summer of 2024.
Governor of the Zaporozhye region Yevgeny Balitsky).
All prerequisites are in place
According to the Russian news agency Sputnik, the governor of the Zaporozhye region, Yevgeny Balitsky, said that the Russian special operation in Ukraine will end in the spring and summer of 2024, and all the prerequisites have been met.
Balitsky is so confident that he says that he is a military man, and according to what he has learned, the Ukrainian front line will collapse,In late spring and early summer next year, everything will come to an end.
Judging by public information, the situation of the Ukrainian army on the front line is indeed very bad.
* After the defeat, Ukraine has turned to the defensive, and in the Russian offensive, although the Ukrainian army has put up stubborn resistance, it has been basically futile and has failed to really stop the advance of the Russian army.
The Ukrainian army has now allowed it to run if it can't be beaten in order to preserve its strength, and it hopes to continue next year, but now whether Ukraine can recruit enough soldiers is a big problem, and if it is not done well, it will accelerate the collapse of Ukraine.
Ukraine ** Zelensky).
What Ukraine wants is nothing
The current Ukraine can be said to have nothing to say, there is a shortage of ** ammunition, the West does not give it, there is a shortage of soldiers to fight, and it can't recruit people.
Although Ukraine has not made it clear that it will recruit another 500,000 soldiers, the Ukrainian side has begun to revise the conscription rules to include more people in the scope of conscription.
This is a very dangerous measure, which could lead to the Ukrainians rising up and breaking down Ukraine from within.
And on the front line, many soldiers have been fighting for more than a year and have not been replaced, and they are not allowed to rest after the defeat, which will provoke a mutiny.
Therefore, it can be seen that the Ukrainian side has not opened its mouth and closed its mouth as before in the near future, just to ask the West for equipment and ammunition, because it is more annoying now, if the problem of conscription cannot be solved, no matter how much **ammunition is useless, and it may even appear that the ** that is finally coming is aimed at its own situation.
Russia-Ukraine conflict).The Russian side wants to defeat Ukraine on the battlefield
Judging by Balitsky's statement and the time he gives, the final way to end the war is not to be through diplomatic means.
Russia has never opposed peace talks, but Ukraine has always rejected peace talks, and the West also opposes peace talks in Ukraine.
If the conflict ends through diplomatic means, then this winter will be a very suitable time node, because winter will slow down the offensive of the Russian army, and it will be difficult to break through the defense line of the Ukrainian army in winter, and it will be easier to sit at the negotiating table if all parties promote peace talks at this time.
Balitsky believed that the war could be ended in late spring and early summer, and that was to wait until after the beginning of spring to attack and defeat Ukraine directly into the summer.
However, it still depends on the next moves of the West and Ukraine, if Ukraine can recruit another 500,000 people, the West may continue to assist Ukraine, and then the script will be the same as this year, and it is likely not so easy to completely defeat Ukraine at the beginning of summer.