When more and more European countries do not have any hope for the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the British Foreign Secretary boasted about Haikou and stood up and said: We can ensure Putin's defeat. Of course, there is a premise for saying this, and Cameron believes that as long as Ukraine's Western partners are united, they will definitely be able to defeat Putin, because their economy is more than 25 times that of Russia.
I understand the actions of the United Kingdom in terms of "ensuring Putin's defeat" from three aspects, and comprehensively look at what the victory rate of NATO countries is.
To ensure Putin's defeat, military assistance to Ukraine comes first. As the main force of aid to Ukraine, with the approach of the United States, the bipartisan competition in the United States will make it difficult for Biden, and after a long period of crazy interest rate hikes, the economic situation of the United States next year is not very optimistic, and there is great uncertainty in the amount of aid to Ukraine. Let's take a look at the strength of the United Kingdom, which claims to make Putin defeat, frankly speaking, Britain's position in Europe after Brexit has gradually been marginalized, and the financial industry, one of Britain's pillar industries, is deeply bound to the United States, and the British economy is not optimistic due to the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
As for the rest of Europe, the economy has weakened to varying degrees. But this is not the main reason for the reduction in aid to Ukraine. Some of the countries that were the main force of the previous aid to Ukraine were countries close to Russia, and these countries also had the strongest sense of crisis. And now they no longer have any illusions about Ukraine's performance, preferring to arm their own military forces. Taken together, there is still a huge question mark over whether Ukraine will receive more military aid in 2024.
In addition to aid to Ukraine, Cameron also emphasized that NATO countries should be united. But the question is, is it possible for NATO countries to really unite?Or rather, does Britain have what it takes to unite NATO countries?Britain's geographical location itself meant that it would not be too deeply connected to France and Germany. And France is a famous "wall grass", before Putin in a live press conference, specifically mentioned that the suspension of contact with France ** is regrettable, but the next day Macron showed goodwill to Putin and replied: **The number has not changed. Cameron's urgent visit to France this time is probably also to convince this wallgrass that the two sides have indeed reached an important consensus of "let Putin fail", and at the same time tacitly keep silent about new aid to Ukraine. In addition, it should be noted that the outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is also testing the unity of the United States and Western countries at all times, and it is not the first time that the scene of the United States voting alone against it has appeared in the United Nations.
Of course, if the United States and Western countries want to win the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, it is indeed a good choice to enhance their own cohesion, but if they can reduce Russia's strength through other methods, it can also reduce the pressure on Ukraine to a certain extent. For example, the European Union is preparing to pass legal channels to allow them to confiscate Russian property in Belarus and impose more comprehensive sanctions on Russia. Not to mention that the economic cooperation between China and Russia has allowed Russia to get rid of the economic sanctions of NATO countries to a large extent, and has become the largest economy in Europe. Just recently, Russia added another windfall. The OPEC+ agreement announced an additional 30 trillion rubles to Russia's budget, which completely exceeds Russia's frozen assets outside its borders. The reason why Russia was able to get this budget smoothly is that Saudi Arabia, as a major member, may also have made a lot of contributions. For the United States, this may mean that they will face more pressure in both the Ukraine and Israel directions.
All in all, I think there are too many loopholes in Cameron's "ensuring Putin's defeat", not only because of the disunity within NATO, but also because Russia is receiving more and more outside help, which is even more fatal to the United States and Western countries. It is worth mentioning that according to Shoigu's report, the Russian army successfully liberated Maryinka in the Donetsk People's Republic, and in the future, the Russian army will enter a broader combat space, and there will be less and less room for negotiations between Russia and Ukraine.