Recentlyproperty marketThere have been some signs of recovery, especially in November, when the second-hand housing market in first-tier cities has a significant transaction volume**. According to the data of 58 key cities, the year-on-year growth rate of the transaction area of first-hand houses in November was -19%, but the month-on-month growth rate reached 133%；The year-on-year growth rate of second-hand housing transaction volume was 353%, with a month-on-month growth rate of 17%。Take specific cities as an exampleSecond-hand housing in ShenzhenThe transaction area increased by 106%, BeijingSecond-hand housing online signingVolume increased by 178%。These data show thatproperty marketThere were clear signs of recovery in November, especially the recovery of the second-hand housing market, which provided a leading role for the new housing market.
First-tier cities are inproperty marketIt plays an important role in the recovery. Compared to Guangzhou and Shenzhen, Beijing and Shanghaiproperty marketThe performance is stronger. Despite the fact that there were no obvious favorable policies in November, Beijing'sSecond-hand housing online signingThe volume reached 12,545 sets, an increase of 17 from the previous month8%, an increase of 167%。This data exceeds the normal monthly transaction volume, which means that the liquidity of Beijing's second-hand housing market is normal, and the hot and cold conditions of the market are within the normal range. At the same time, Shanghai'sSecond-hand housing online signingTransactions also showed a 12% month-on-month increase. It can be seen that the real estate market demand in first-tier cities is still strong, whether it is the support of population and resources, or the marketRoom ratesThe attention to whether it is suitable or not reflects the vitality of the real estate market in first-tier cities.
property marketAlthough the recovery signal may be more effective than it actually is, it has brought confidence and expectations to the market. Especially in times of downturn in the real estate market, this reversal can stimulate the vitality of the market and the enthusiasm for investment. In addition,property marketThe recovery also provides a reference for the formulation of follow-up policies. With the ** volume of trading, the number of listings is also gradually being digested, which means that the market is interested inproperty marketThe balance between supply and demand is gradually being restored. The current policy guidance is mainly focused on whether the first-tier cities should relax the purchase restriction policy, but in my opinion, the purchase restriction policy should be completely abolished and return to marketization. Because the purchase restriction policy is contrary to the law of population migration, it mistakenly hurts the reasonable demand for rigid demand and rigid reform. As suchRen ZepingEconomyWhat scientists are calling for now is a good time to lift the purchase restrictions.
property marketAlthough the signal of recovery brings some hope to the market, we should not be overly optimistic. Room ratesThe ** doesn't really reflectproperty marketIt is the growth of trading volume that reflects the real situation of the market. Therefore, we don't have to pay too much attentionproperty marketWhether it bottoms out, but should pay more attention to the investigation of cities, locations and developers, according to their own strength and needsBuying a houseDecision-making. In addition, the policy should fully cancel the purchase restriction and return to the marketization to promoteproperty markethealthy development. property marketAlthough the recovery is positive, it still needs to be treated with caution and should not be overly relaxed.
In short,property marketThe signs of recovery are especially obvious in first-tier cities, and the growth of the transaction volume of the second-hand housing market isproperty marketNew hope is offered. However, inproperty marketIn the process of recovery, we should remain calm and rational, not blindly chasing price increases, but should choose the right one according to our own conditions and needsProperty。**Departments should also continue to watchproperty markettrend, the introduction of appropriate policies, further promoteproperty markethealthy development. Hopefullyproperty marketAble to continue to pick up, and for the majorityBuying a houseprovide more choices and opportunities.