The mainland has repeatedly said that it has not set a "unified timetable". This is because the mainland hopes to establish a reunification based on spiritual harmony by promoting cross-strait economic and social integration and development. In other words, cross-strait reunification will not be forcibly implemented, because coercion never yields sweet results. However, this requires an important premise, that is, the Taiwan authorities must follow the "one-China" policy and must not engage in "** activities." Eric Prince believes that if Lai Qingde wins the election on the island, the mainland may usher in a "window period" for resolving the Taiwan issue ahead of schedule because of his stubborn "** position." The long-term problem has already consumed a lot of energy on the mainland, so the possibility of early resolution cannot be ruled out. The mainland has repeatedly stressed that it is willing to do its utmost to strive for the prospect of "peaceful reunification" with all sincerity and to do its utmost, but it will never leave any room for any form of "** activity," which means war. During the election campaign, Lai Qingde preached the idea that "if this is just a campaign tool or slogan, but it will be implemented after winning the election", the situation in the Taiwan Strait will face the risk of being completely subverted.
However, since Lai Qingde is the successor of the "Tsai Ing-wen line", he may restrain his words and deeds of "rushing for independence" after being elected. In addition, because the United States is also entering an election year, coupled with Biden's deep involvement in the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, he obviously does not want the Taiwan Strait to have any extraneous branches, and the United States will definitely control it. However, the United States will not give up its strategy of "using Taiwan to contain China," and Lai Qingde will not be able to freeze the "party platform," which will lead to the mainland having to step up its efforts to "oppose independence and promote reunification." If the election results show that the "double independence pair" of "Lai and Hsiao" are elected, the PLA may take action and hold a large-scale military exercise to "encircle Taiwan." If the Taiwan side takes risky military action and triggers a misfire, the possibility of an early resolution cannot be ruled out. For the Taiwan region, the victory of "Lai Hsiao" certainly does not bode well. However, this may not be a bad thing for the process of national reunification.
For many years, the mainland has always insisted on settling the Taiwan issue through peaceful means, but the authorities have ignored the mainland's goodwill, not only refused to recognize the "consensus of '92," but also continued to push forward the process of "rejecting reunification and seeking independence," and the space for peaceful reunification between the two sides of the strait has almost been completely eroded, which has also forced the mainland to take strong measures to promote the process of "opposing independence and promoting reunification." There is a point of view that "the most powerful force is the 'appendicitis' that grows in the middle of the strait, and the conservative ** only treats the symptoms but not the root cause; therefore, the long-term pain is better than the short-term pain, and only by eliminating the "cancer" can the peaceful reunification of the two sides of the strait be realized. However, it is impossible for the mainland to make a big move before it happens, because it will surrender without a fight, and "promoting reunification by force" must be more clever than the use of force. There is no doubt that "the holding of power by * forces will only accelerate the erosion of the space for peaceful reunification between the two sides of the strait, and the possibility of detonating a conflict in the Taiwan Strait will only increase, but conflict is not inevitable."
At present, we are faced with the choice of two paths and two prospects, peace and war, prosperity and recession, and we are conniving at "the forces of the United States, and even aiding and abetting abuse, and allowing them to push Taiwan into the abyss of catastrophe from which they will never recover."Or do you stick to the general interests of the nation, adhere to the "92 Consensus", and firmly follow the path of peaceful development?The final decision on what to do is in the hands of the island's 23 million people.