Gou's last-minute decision to withdraw from the election has attracted widespread attention and speculation. Some believe that his withdrawal from the election was to avoid becoming a "traitor" and tarnishing his image. Looking back at the situation before the 2020 Taiwan leadership election, Guo Taiming and Han Kuo-yu fiercely competed for the position of the KMT candidate, but ultimately lost to Han Kuo-yu. Guo Taiming was very dissatisfied with this, believing that some people did not want him to run for election, and the factional struggle within the party prevented him. Subsequently, he not only called the Kuomintang a "beggar's party", but also took away a large number of supporters. However, in the subsequent general election, Han Kuo-yu lost to Tsai Ing-wen of ***. Gou's exit was seen as a "traitor" by many in the blue camp, who believed that Gou interfered with the election and helped *** help. After announcing his independent candidacy this year, Guo Taiming still can't get rid of such an evaluation, and people think that his candidacy is equivalent to indirectly helping Lai Qingde to "lie down and win". After thinking about it repeatedly, Guo Taiming made the decision to withdraw, on the one hand, because the support rate was obviously insufficient, and on the other hand, it was also for"will make up for the mistakes", hoping to support the rotation of political parties.
In addition, Gou's exit has also sparked discussions about the Blue Camp's eventual hope of victory. There is no doubt that Terry Gou's withdrawal has had a big impact on the election of the blue camp. Hou Youyi, the KMT candidate in the Blue Camp, faces many challenges, starting with Lai Ching-de, the leading candidate in the Green Camp, who has been lagging behind in the polls. Although the polls are only a basic figure, the situation is not encouraging. Second, as a staunch pro-independence person, Lai Ching-de's basic electorate is very stable, while the KMT is a bit vague, neither advocating "**" nor talking about "reunification", and its relatively vague position makes it difficult for them to attract voters. Coupled with Ke Wenzhe and Wu Xinying of the People's Party, their support rate is close to Hou Youyi, and they can not only attract middle voters, but also may steal some of the blue camp voters, which is very disadvantageous for Hou Youyi.
Although Gou's exit is a blow to the Blue Camp, the Blue Camp still has some hope to win. First of all, Hou Youyi, as a candidate of the Kuomintang, has attracted widespread attention and support before the start of the competition. His political achievements as mayor of Taipei have been recognized by everyone, and he often leads Lai Qingde in polls. This is undoubtedly one of his great strengths in the campaign. Secondly, the Kuomintang chose Zhao Shaokang, a senior ** person on the island, as Hou Youyi's deputy, which will bring a certain boost to Hou Youyi's election. Zhao Shaokang is politically experienced, with four Taiwan-wide election campaigns, and he has won 23 in the election of public representativesThe highest vote of 50,000 can undoubtedly increase the recognition of voters for Hou Youyi. Although Zhao Shaokang is male, and Hou Youyi is also male, this does not mean that they lack the ability to attract female voters, after all, their political achievements and ability are the most important attraction factors. In addition, the Kuomintang, as one of the oldest political parties in Taiwan, has a certain base of voters, which is also a major advantage of the blue camp in the election.
However, for the Blue Battalion, the difficulties faced cannot be ignored. First of all, the blue camp is clearly at a disadvantage in terms of administrative and social resources, which makes them relatively passive in elections. Secondly, Lai Qingde, as the *** candidate, has a very clear position, advocating that "** allows him to have stable support among a part of the electorate." On the contrary, the KMT, which does not advocate "**" and does not focus on "reunification", appears to be indecisive in its position, which is a major obstacle to attracting voters. In addition, in past elections, third-party candidates often only played the role of "playing soy sauce", but in this election, Ke Wenzhe and Hou Youyi's support rates are almost comparable, which makes the situation in the blue camp even more severe.
To sum up, Gou's withdrawal from the election is undoubtedly a major blow to the blue camp, but the blue camp still has some hope to win. Hou Youyi, as a KMT candidate, has a high popularity and support rate, and Zhao Shaokang, as a deputy, will also help his campaign. However, at the same time, the blue camp still faces many difficulties, including the disadvantage of administrative and social resources, Lai Qingde's firm stance, and the competition of third-party candidates such as Ke Wenzhe. Therefore, the blue camp is facing considerable challenges in next year's general election, and the hope of winning the election is not optimistic.