In the final stage of the leadership election in the Taiwan region, independent candidate Terry Gou announced his withdrawal from the election, which attracted widespread attention and discussion. People have different interpretations and evaluations of his decision. Some people believe that Gou's withdrawal from the election is out of personal interests and does not want to become a "traitor" in the political struggle. In the early days of his candidacy, he competed with Han for the position of KMT candidate, but ultimately lost to Han Kuo-yu. After that, Guo was dissatisfied with a series of moves by the KMT, not only calling the KMT a "beggar's party", but also quitting the KMT and deciding to run as an independent. However, because his candidacy is considered likely to distract the blue camp votes and help Lai Qingde in the green camp, Guo has been questioned and criticized by people in the blue camp. At present, Guo Taiming has decided to withdraw from the election, which can be said to be to "make up for the merits" and hope to support the rotation of political parties.
Regarding Gou's decision to withdraw from the election, people have different views on this. Some believe that his withdrawal was motivated by self-preservation to avoid becoming a "traitor" again. After all, his controversy in the early days of the campaign had already had a big negative impact on his reputation, which was one of the reasons why he ultimately lost to Han Kuo-yu. For Gou, withdrawing from the election will not only avoid further controversy, but also retain some supporters, thus leaving some opportunities for his future political career. Others believe that Mr. Gou's withdrawal was motivated by dissatisfaction with the KMT and disappointment with the party's struggle. He complained about the factional struggle within the Kuomintang, believing that some people did not want him to run for election, and carried out a series of attacks against him. Therefore, he chose to run independently and eventually withdrew, which is also a response to this struggle and **.
After Guo Taiming withdrew from the election, whether the blue camp candidate Hou Youyi can win the election is a matter of great concern. However, objectively speaking, the prospects for the Blue Camp's victory are not optimistic. On the one hand, Hou Youyi's poll performance after becoming the KMT candidate was not ideal. Although he was ahead of Lai Qingde in various polls before he became a candidate, once he became a candidate, the polls never surpassed Lai Qingde. Although the polls are only a basic indicator, such a situation undoubtedly increases the uncertainty of the blue camp. On the other hand, Lai Qingde, as the candidate of ***, has a very clear campaign appeal, that is, "** his position is firm and has been supported by some voters." In contrast, Hou Youyi, the candidate of the blue camp, did not mention "**" or "reunification" in his position, and became a "centrist". Such an election stance could not attract either "** voters" or "unified" voters, making Hou Youyi's appeal among voters greatly diminished.
In addition, the candidate for the blue camp, Hou Youyi, has also caused some discussion. The KMT previously released information that they would choose a woman to be Hou Youyi's deputy to make up for his lack of gender equality. However, in the end, the Kuomintang chose Zhao Shaokang, a senior ** person on the island, as his deputy. Although Zhao Shaokang has rich political experience and has won the highest votes in Taiwan's elections, it has helped Hou Youyi's election to a certain extent. However, it is true that the two male partners are less attractive to female voters, and this is precisely one of Hou's shortcomings. Therefore, from this point of view, Hou Youyi's prospects of victory will also be constrained to a certain extent.
Finally, it should be noted that the difference between this election and previous elections is that the support rate of the People's Party candidate Ko Wenzhe is almost the same as Hou Youyi. In past elections, third-party candidates often only played the role of "playing soy sauce", but the particularity of the election situation in this election makes it possible for Ke Wenzhe to become a new force that "disrupts" the election situation. He has the ability to compete with Hou Youyi for the support of voters in the middle, and has the opportunity to mix with Lai's "** votes." This has undoubtedly brought new challenges to Hou Youyi, the candidate of the blue camp, and further lowered the hope of winning the election.
Through the analysis of Terry Gou's announcement of his withdrawal from the election and the prospect of the blue camp's victory, the following conclusions can be drawn:
First of all, Guo's decision to withdraw from the election was not only based on personal interests, but also because of dissatisfaction with the internal struggle of the Kuomintang.
Secondly, under the leadership of Hou Youyi, the hope of victory for the blue camp is not optimistic. Hou Youyi's election performance was not outstanding, and Lai Qingde, as the first candidate, has a clear position and a stable support base.
Finally, Hou's choice of Zhao Shaokang as his deputy may also be less attractive to female voters. The rise of Ke Wenzhe, a third-party candidate in this election, has made the blue camp face new challenges.
To sum up, next year's leadership election in the Taiwan region is not optimistic for the blue camp. Gou's decision to withdraw from the election has further weakened the Blue Camp's competitiveness, while Lai's campaign advantage and the rise of third-party candidate Ke Wenzhe have made the Blue Camp's prospects of victory more difficult.