In 2023, in addition to the bipartisan battle over various legislative battles at the federal level, the same is true at the state level, and the two parties are fighting over the division of congressional election maps in states such as New York, North Carolina and Alabama, just after Judge Steve Jones signed a map of Georgia's new congressional districts, which is expected to be used for the first time in 2024 due to the upcoming 2024 general election, which will inevitably have an impact on the fate of Georgia's U.S. House members.
After the 2020 U.S. Census, the number of seats in Georgia's U.S. House of Representatives remained unchanged at 14, and the map below shows a new map of congressional districts, adding 1 predominantly black voter district (the original map was 4), forming an overall 9R5D election pattern.
The biggest impact is in the 7th Congressional District, where the original 7th District was 33% white, 30% black, and 21% Latino, and after the split, white voters accounted for 67% and blacks accounted for only 9%, so the new 7th district, which is located on the outskirts of Atlanta, has changed from a solid Democratic seat to a solid Republican seat.
The 6th Congressional District has a large number of black voters (52%), so it has changed from Republican seats to solid Democratic seats, and the comparison chart of the partisan leaning and voter groups in the old and new maps below shows that the 2nd 4 5 6 13th Congressional District, where the Democrats are dominant, has a majority of black voters, and except for the 2nd district, the rest are all extremely stable Democratic seats.
The new district map will affect Georgia's 14 incumbent U.S. House members (pictured below) in their 2024 re-election bids, specifically Lucy McBath (D-GA-7) in District 7 and Rich McCormick (R-GA-6) in District 6.
Lucy McBath (D-GA-7) had a bad fate, having changed her constituency for re-election last year, and this time the 7th district changed from blue to red again and had to make another choice. McBath has previously stated that if the new map passes, then she will be re-elected in the 6th district, McBath's son was unfortunately shot in 2012, so after entering Congress in 2018, she has been active in Congress as an advocate for restricting gun rights, and her position is relatively moderate, according to McBath's legislative voting record, she is more conservative than 73% of House Democrats.
Rich McCormick (R-GA-6) is expected to change districts and run for re-election as a new member of the House of Representatives. In November, a bill (h.) condemning Muslim Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI-12).res.845) was initiated by McCormick, who in early December had a public altercation with Marjorie Taylor Green (R-GA-14), who accused him of "violence" and asked the House Ethics Committee to investigate him. In this precinct drawing, McCormick's district is the only Republican district that has changed significantly, and the state legislature is suspected of "bullying the new students".
The above are the two most influential seats under the new constituency map, with one seat for each party, but the overall pattern of 9r5d has not changed, after the Democrats violated the voting rights law and harmed the interests of black voters, although the appeal was successful and won the support of the judicial system, but it did not achieve satisfactory results, the Democrats are still expected to continue to appeal, but time is not allowed, and the Georgia primary is on May 21 (non-** Primary day), so the new district map is expected to be used in the 2024 House of Representatives election.
Republicans have been able to maintain their own constituency map because they still have some advantages at the state level, even though they have been eaten up by Democrats at the federal level. Since 1996, Republican candidates have won Georgia, but in 2020 Biden won by 0A narrow 2% margin beats Trump, so Georgia is at the center of Trump's claim of "Democratic election fraud";Republicans still held two Senate seats in the state until 2020, but they have been flipped by Democrats one after another, with Democrats Jon Ossoff (D-Ga) and Raphael Warnock (D-Ga) both in charge.
While the Republican Party has struggled in the state's federal race, the state has still had a strong fight, and since 2002 the governor has been a Republican, with Brian Kemp winning 7The 5-point re-election success saved a glimmer of face for the Republican Party. Both the state Senate (33-23) and the state House of Representatives (102-78) are controlled by Republicans, and because the power to divide gerryals in Georgia is in the hands of the state legislature, the Republicans have been able to maintain the 9r5d U.S. House of Representatives race.
As the top battlefield state in the 24-year campaign, the two parties will certainly invest a lot of manpower and material resources in Georgia, and the election and the U.S. House of Representatives will influence each other to promote more voters to vote, and from this point of view, the Republican Party maintains the advantage of the congressional district map, which can be regarded as a good foundation for the 2024 election.